The Future Power Rankings are ESPN Insider's projection of the on-court success expected for each team during the 2011-12, 2012-13 and 2013-14 seasons.
[h4]HOW FUTURE POWER RATING IS DETERMINED[/h4]
PLAYERS (0 to 400 points): Current players and their potential for the future, factoring in expected departures |
MANAGEMENT (0 to 200 points): Quality and stability of front office, ownership, coaching |
MONEY (0 to 200 points): Projected salary-cap situation; ability and willingness to exceed cap and pay luxury tax |
MARKET (0 to 100 points): Appeal to future acquisitions based on team quality, franchise reputation, city's desirability as a destination, market size, taxes, business and entertainment opportunities, arena quality, fans |
DRAFT (0 to 100 points): Future draft picks; draft positioning |
Consider this a convenient way to see the direction your favorite team is headed.
Each of the NBA's 30 teams received an overall Future Power Rating of 0 to 1,000, based on how well we expect each team to perform in the three seasons following this season.
To determine the Future Power Rating, we rated each team in five categories (see table at right).
As you can see, we determined that the most important category is a team's current roster and the future potential of those players -- that category accounts for 40 percent of each team's overall Future Power Rating.
At the same time, we looked at many other factors, such as management, ownership, coaching, a team's spending habits, its cap situation, the reputation of the city and the franchise, and what kind of draft picks we expected the team to have in the future. With all the big moves around the league this summer, it's time for a new edition of the Future Power Rankings. Two important notes: (1) Now that the NBA calendar has flipped, we are evaluating the 2011-12, 2012-13 and 2013-14 seasons; and (2) we are not considering the changes that might be made to the collective bargaining agreement, since there is no way to know how those changes will reshape the league.
We'll roll out our rankings for three days this week.
Here are our current rankings, from 11-30:
[h3]
Future Power Rankings: 11-15 | 16-20 | 21-25 | 26-30 [/h3]
[h3]26.
Toronto Raptors | Future Power Rating: 402[/h3]
| | | | |
94 (28th) | 81 (17th) | 110 (12th) | 47 (16th) | 70 (9th) |
[th=""]PLAYERS[/th][th=""]MANAGEMENT[/th][th=""]MONEY[/th][th=""]MARKET[/th][th=""]DRAFT[/th]
These are pretty depressing times to be a Raptors fan. Team president Bryan Colangelo miscalculated with the team he put around
Chris Bosh, failed to move the power forward when he had the chance last year and then lost him for relatively nothing this offseason. Now Toronto is in worse shape than when Colangelo arrived on the scene in 2006.
Losing Bosh didn't have the same devastating effect that losing
LeBron James had on the Cavs, but the Raptors still fell a whopping nine spots in our Future Power Rankings, a drop-off topped only by Cleveland's.
A bolting Bosh wasn't the only factor contributing to Toronto's slide. 2009 free-agent signing
Hedo Turkoglu was a major disappointment and was jettisoned to Phoenix after only one season. Meanwhile, the Raptors continue to shop starting point guard
Jose Calderon, whom at this point they would be happy to get rid of for salary-cap relief.
Furthermore, the Raptors ate up all their potential cap space by overpaying role players -- in a moment of apparent panic after Bosh's departure, Colangelo inexplicably gave
Amir Johnson $34 million. Although the other summer additions,
Leandro Barbosa and
Linas Kleiza, will contribute, they won't save this sinking ship.
The only good news comes from a couple of young players who appear to have bright futures based on their talent and performances in the 2010 Las Vegas summer league.
DeMar DeRozan had a breakout summer and has star ability if he puts it together. Toronto also lucked out when
Ed Davis slipped to it at No. 13 in the draft, as he eventually could help fill Bosh's shoes.
(Previous rank: 17)
[h3]27.
Phoenix Suns | Future Power Rating: 399[/h3]
| | | | |
136 (24th) | 55 (23rd) | 95 (17th) | 63 (9th) | 50 (15th) |
[th=""]PLAYERS[/th][th=""]MANAGEMENT[/th][th=""]MONEY[/th][th=""]MARKET[/th][th=""]DRAFT[/th]
The enthusiasm over the Suns' terrific run to the Western Conference finals was seriously dampened by a pretty crappy June and July.
When team president and GM Steve Kerr resigned, owner Robert Sarver took over front-office operations and managed to do a great deal of damage in just a few weeks.
First he lost
Amare Stoudemire in free agency, and then he took on Hedo Turkoglu's huge contract while also overpaying
Josh Childress (who plays the same position as Turkoglu),
Channing Frye and
Hakim Warrick. Sarver eventually brought on respected player agent Lon Babby as the team's new president, but at that point, most of the damage had been done.
Sarver's moves will help keep the Suns respectable for the moment, but for the future, the picture is bleak. As
Steve Nash ages, it's hard to imagine how the role players Phoenix has put around him will be able to prevent a Suns slide into irrelevance.
(Previous rank: 25)
[h3]28.
Cleveland Cavaliers | Future Power Rating: 331[/h3]
| | | | |
45 (29th) | 45 (26th) | 133 (7th) | 22 (27th) | 86 (2nd) |
[th=""]PLAYERS[/th][th=""]MANAGEMENT[/th][th=""]MONEY[/th][th=""]MARKET[/th][th=""]DRAFT[/th]
We hate to pour salt on the wound, but LeBron's "Decision" destroyed his hometown franchise now and for the foreseeable future. Cavaliers fans continue to insist that it's the
way LeBron ditched them that has caused so much anger, but over time, the real pain will be watching this Cavs team without him.
In his open letter condemning LeBron, owner Dan Gilbert guaranteed the Cavs would win a championship without their former star, but that's easier said than done. Cleveland traditionally has not been a top free-agent destination. Now, the team has another problem: Gilbert's heat-of-the-moment diatribe against LeBron was read by players around the league, and a number of player agents have told us their clients don't want to play there after seeing how Gilbert treated a guy who made him hundreds of millions during the past several years. In any case, as we've seen this summer, players just won't flock to Cleveland without the lure of LeBron.
The roster itself is another weak point.
Mo Williams,
Ramon Sessions,
Anderson Varejao and
J.J. Hickson are good pieces but not the kind of young talent that could carry the franchise forward in future seasons. The Cavs lack trade assets as well.
Cleveland did get a bounty of draft picks from Miami in the LeBron sign-and-trade. But given how stacked the Heat are right now, those picks likely will be the worst in the first round -- and the Cavs aren't going to replace LeBron with a series of No. 30 draft picks.
(Previous rank:
[h3]29.
Minnesota Timberwolves | Future Power Rating: 326[/h3]
| | | | |
101 (27th) | 6 (30th) | 140 (5th) | 13 (29th) | 66 (10th) |
[th=""]PLAYERS[/th][th=""]MANAGEMENT[/th][th=""]MONEY[/th][th=""]MARKET[/th][th=""]DRAFT[/th]
The baffling tenure of general manager David Kahn and the long-running incompetence of owner Glen Taylor combine to give the Timberwolves the lowest score for management in our ratings. A $20 million deal to
Darko Milicic, a bizarre infatuation with Milwaukee point guards and a sweetheart of a trade that sent out
Al Jefferson are the major points of contention, but there are plenty of others. In short, nobody is quite sure whether he's coming or going.
Minnesota has two other negatives. The first is a built-in one called winter, which helps make it one of the least favorable markets. But the second was inflicted by the previous and equally disastrous regime of Kevin McHale: There's a good chance the Timberwolves will owe the Clippers a completely unprotected first-round draft pick in 2012.
The Wolves aren't devoid of talent;
Kevin Love,
Michael Beasley and, if he ever arrives, Ricky Rubio, are three nice pieces. Additionally, they'll have as much cap room as anyone, and Taylor has shown he's willing to spend. But the structure isn't in place for success.
(Previous rank: 27)
[h3]30.
Charlotte Bobcats | Future Power Rating: 176[/h3]
| | | | |
40 (30th) | 25 (29th) | 40 (30th) | 26 (26th) | 45 (19th) |
[th=""]PLAYERS[/th][th=""]MANAGEMENT[/th][th=""]MONEY[/th][th=""]MARKET[/th][th=""]DRAFT[/th]
Despite the Bobcats' first playoff appearance last season, we remain more bearish on their future than on any other team's. In fact, Charlotte not only came in last in our ratings, it also achieved barely half the score of the No. 29 Timberwolves. (How's that for a slogan: "Our future is twice as bleak as Minnesota's!")
The Bobcats continue to accumulate veteran players with bad contracts and lack the financial resources to get out of the hole that awaits them. They have one decent young player (
Tyrus Thomas) but still owe a future first-round pick to the Bulls for him, and they already have started stripping the roster, losing point guard
Raymond Felton without a fight and swapping
Tyson Chandler in a deal that hardly saved any money and dashed any hope of having significant cap space in 2011.
Unfortunately, the short-term mindset of both new majority owner Michael Jordan and coach Larry Brown is likely to make matters worse. Brown's draft input has been particularly disastrous -- instead of grabbing
Ty Lawson,
Brook Lopez and
Nicolas Batum, the Bobcats' past three first-rounders were
Alexis Ajinca,
.J. Augustin and
Gerald Henderson. In that sense, perhaps it's a good thing they already traded away next year's pick.
(Previous rank: 30)
[h3]21.
Golden State Warriors | Future Power Rating: 450[/h3]
| | | | |
190 (18th) | 40 (27th) | 127 (8th) | 42 (19th) | 51 (14th) |
[th=""]PLAYERS[/th][th=""]MANAGEMENT[/th][th=""]MONEY[/th][th=""]MARKET[/th][th=""]DRAFT[/th]
Rejoice, Warriors fans. After spending a year near the very bottom of our Future Power Rankings, thanks to a terrible management rating, Golden State is moving up. Chris Cohan is selling the team, and while we don't know what the new owners will do, we're confident they can't make as big a mess as Cohan, GM Larry Riley and coach Don Nelson have made.
Still, the Warriors aren't ready to join the NBA's elite.
Stephen Curry is a terrific talent, and he'll have a solid new pick-and-roll partner in
David Lee. But the Warriors gave up promising youngster
Anthony Randolph to get Lee, whose new $80 million contract is also a big one for the team to carry. And lottery pick
Ekpe Udoh, out for five months with a wrist injury, will be an unproven 23-year-old rookie when he finally suits up with the Warriors.
In part, Golden State's future depends on how things go with
Monta Ellis and
Andris Biedrins, who appear to be available. Whether they are Warriors building blocks or can be traded for players that help the team fill its many holes, they are important young assets. That will be a big test for the new management team, when that team is in place.
(Previous rank: 2
[h3]22.
Detroit Pistons | Future Power Rating: 444[/h3]
| | | | |
103 (26th) | 113 (13th) | 111 (11th) | 38 (20th) | 79 (5th) |
[th=""]PLAYERS[/th][th=""]MANAGEMENT[/th][th=""]MONEY[/th][th=""]MARKET[/th][th=""]DRAFT[/th]
Add the Pistons to the ever-growing list of problems in Detroit. After an amazing run last decade, Detroit fans can no longer be confident in the franchise's future.
Owner Bill Davidson has passed away and the team is up for sale. The Pistons lack a legitimate star, are stuck with a couple of bad contracts on their books, have no long-term solutions in the middle and have been plagued by injuries and apathy. And fans are no longer flocking to the Palace like they used to.
One problem is that they don't have much to rally around, and team president Joe Dumars didn't shake things up this summer, either.
Greg Monroe is a rookie with potential, but Pistons fans will need to be patient after his up-and-down performance in summer league. Among the youngsters,
Austin Daye has shown promise and
Jonas Jerebko should be a good role player. Veterans
Rodney Stuckey and
Ben Gordon are solid building blocks. But none of them is enough to get fans excited.
For the Pistons to progress further than we've projected here, they'll need to get
Richard Hamilton off the books, trade
Tayshaun Prince for something of value before his contract expires after the 2010-11 season and get strong development from their young players. That adds up to a lot of ifs for a franchise that once seemed the steadiest in the NBA.
(Previous rank: 20)
[h3]23.
New Orleans Hornets | Future Power Rating: 434[/h3]
| | | | |
198 (16th) | 52 (25th) | 93 (18th) | 26 (25th) | 65 (11th) |
[th=""]PLAYERS[/th][th=""]MANAGEMENT[/th][th=""]MONEY[/th][th=""]MARKET[/th][th=""]DRAFT[/th]
It's a good-news, bad-news situation in New Orleans. The good news is that the Hornets' disastrous cap situation will ease after this season, especially if they can pay somebody to take
James Posey off their hands. Alas, New Orleans could be facing an even worse problem. Point guard
Chris Paul appears to be trying to force his way out of town, taking with him the Hornets' lone source of star power.
Even with the superstar guard, it's hard to get excited about the team's future. They have two good young guards in
Darren Collison and
Marcus Thornton and a minor star in power forward
David West. The ownership is in flux while George Shinn negotiates a sale to Gary Chouest; the threadbare front office is now under the control of Dell Demps, who was
fourth on the totem pole in San Antonio until his recent hiring; and the market is one of the least appealing for free agents. And while it's possible the Hornets could be well under the cap next summer, it's also possible West could leave as a free agent.
(Previous rank: 24)
[h3]24.
Memphis Grizzlies | Future Power Rating: 428[/h3]
| | | | |
204 (14th) | 39 (28th) | 113 (10th) | 13 (30th) | 59 (13th) |
[th=""]PLAYERS[/th][th=""]MANAGEMENT[/th][th=""]MONEY[/th][th=""]MARKET[/th][th=""]DRAFT[/th]
Memphis has some pretty decent players, even if
Zach Randolph doesn't stick around, and the fact the Grizzlies actually paid one of them to stay (
Rudy Gay) is a positive sign going forward -- even if the deal wasn't terribly sensible. Memphis is in a good position cap-wise going forward, too, so its rating in the "money" category improved significantly from last time.
Unfortunately, the negatives still strongly outweigh the positives. Owner Michael Heisley has largely usurped the GM role from Chris Wallace, with disastrous consequences -- most recently the selection of center
Hasheem Thabeet -- and that's why the Grizzlies' management ranks 28th. And it's hard to get too giddy about the money when they're locked in a salary tussle with first-round pick Xavier Henry. Regardless of Randolph's future, the Gay-
O.J. Mayo-
Marc Gasol nucleus will prevent the Grizzlies from being terrible, but it's also hard to see them taking many steps forward.
(Previous rank: 23)
[h3]25.
Philadelphia 76ers | Future Power Rating: 404[/h3]
| | | | |
164 (21st) | 77 (18th) | 62 (27th) | 36 (23rd) | 65 (12th) |
[th=""]PLAYERS[/th][th=""]MANAGEMENT[/th][th=""]MONEY[/th][th=""]MARKET[/th][th=""]DRAFT[/th]
The Sixers, coming off a 27-win season, will probably continue to struggle for a while. But the addition of college player of the year
Evan Turner and the potential of second-year point guard
Jrue Holiday provide hope. With
Andre Iguodala,
Thaddeus Young and
Lou Williams returning as well, Philly fans can be somewhat optimistic.
The problem, as Sixers fans are well aware, is that GM Ed Stefanski's plan for the team is still a mystery. In recent years Philadelphia has signed
Elton Brand to a huge contract, let
Andre Miller walk to save money, brought in another expensive veteran in
Andres Nocioni, traded away center
Samuel Dalembert, hired and fired coach Eddie Jordan, hired a new coach in Doug Collins and made other moves that demonstrate no particular direction. So while the Sixers have an interesting young core, the team is also bogged down by players with bad contracts, is overloaded with overlapping talents and lacks shooting and an inside defensive presence.
Philly also has no real ability to spend until the summer of 2013 and will be just good enough to pick in the late lottery (or lower) each year, significantly hindering its chances of becoming any better in the short term.
(Previous rank: 22)
[h3]16.
Los Angeles Clippers | Future Power Rating: 513[/h3]
| | | | |
204 (13th) | 53 (24th) | 104 (13th) | 63 (8th) | 89 (1st) |
[th=""]PLAYERS[/th][th=""]MANAGEMENT[/th][th=""]MONEY[/th][th=""]MARKET[/th][th=""]DRAFT[/th]
The Clippers squandered a tremendous opportunity this summer to upgrade their roster, going into the summer with enough cap space to sign a max contract and walking away with the underwhelming haul of
Randy Foye and
Ryan Gomes. Forget the sugar-plum visions of having LeBron line up at small forward; they couldn't even get
Rudy Gay. In retrospect, they would have been better off just keeping
Marcus Camby and
Al Thornton and soldiering on.
Part of the reason that no good free agents signed with the Clips is the disastrous tenure of owner Donald Sterling. They rank No. 24 in management rather than No. 30 largely because new GM Neil Olshey doesn't have a track record -- we can at least consider the possibility he knows what he's doing. Also, L.A. has shown more of a willingness to spend money in recent years.
And in spite of themselves, the Clippers might be pretty good.
Blake Griffin has a chance to be a big star if he can stay healthy,
Eric Gordon and
Al-Farouq Aminu are solid young pieces, and veterans such as
Baron Davis and
Chris Kaman should still contribute strongly next season and in the near future.
The Clippers also benefit from an asset that's been in their back pocket for a long time and will finally come to fruition soon: a completely unprotected 2012 first-round pick from Minnesota. Between their own picks and that one, the Clips had our top draft rating.
(Previous rank: 14)
[h3]17.
Indiana Pacers | Future Power Rating: 497[/h3]
| | | | |
126 (25th) | 85 (16th) | 167 (1st) | 38 (21st) | 81 (4th) |
[th=""]PLAYERS[/th][th=""]MANAGEMENT[/th][th=""]MONEY[/th][th=""]MARKET[/th][th=""]DRAFT[/th]
The Pacers are coming off a terrible season, yet rose a whopping nine spots from No. 26 to No. 17 in our rankings. Given that the team is essentially
Danny Granger and a lot of question marks, what gives? A couple of factors are fueling our optimism at the moment.
First, center
Roy Hibbert continues to show promise, as do three new Pacers: Via the draft, Indiana added swingman
Paul George and two sleepers,
Lance Stephenson and Magnum Rolle, to the roster. Stephenson, who has a lot of
Tyreke Evans in his game, looks like a steal.
Second, the Pacers are also flush with assets. They have a whopping $37 million in players with expiring contracts, including several --
Troy Murphy,
Mike Dunleavy,
T.J. Ford -- who could contribute to a playoff team, improving the odds that the Pacers could get a significant piece in return on the trade market.
If the Pacers can't make a deal, they can walk into next summer with the most salary-cap space of any team in the league. Given their young stable of talent, they might be able to persuade a good free agent to go to Indy.
The Pacers' struggles since the 2004 brawl are well-documented, but team execs Larry Bird and David Morway now have the franchise set up to make a big leap in 2011. It has been a painful journey in Indiana, but there isn't a team in the league with more flexibility.
(Previous rank: 26)
[h3]18.
Milwaukee Bucks | Future Power Rating: 494[/h3]
| | | | |
180 (20th) | 129 (11th) | 100 (15th) | 38 (22nd) | 47 (17th) |
[th=""]PLAYERS[/th][th=""]MANAGEMENT[/th][th=""]MONEY[/th][th=""]MARKET[/th][th=""]DRAFT[/th]
The Bucks continue their rapid rise. In our first Future Power Rankings, the Bucks were ranked 29th. Less than a year later, the team is ranked 18th. A strong rookie performance from
Brandon Jennings, a breakout year for
Andrew Bogut, a midseason trade for
John Salmons, and some hardnosed play down the stretch turned Milwaukee into a solid playoff team.
This summer, Bucks GM John Hammond did his best to keep the momentum going. He re-signed Salmons, traded away two zero-impact players for
Corey Maggette, drafted an intriguing and athletic big man in
Larry Sanders, and brought in
Drew Gooden to help on the boards.
The moves weren't entirely helpful for the long run. The Bucks overpaid Gooden and perhaps Salmons too, and they gave up future cap space to get Maggette.
But the Bucks look like a team that could be quite competitive in future seasons if things fall into place -- and if Jennings and Bogut continue to improve, they could be downright dangerous.
(Previous rank: 21)
[h3]19.
Atlanta Hawks | Future Power Rating: 484[/h3]
| | | | |
246 (9th) | 76 (19th) | 71 (24th) | 46 (17th) | 45 (18th) |
[th=""]PLAYERS[/th][th=""]MANAGEMENT[/th][th=""]MONEY[/th][th=""]MARKET[/th][th=""]DRAFT[/th]
Atlanta dropped seven spots since our last Future Power Rankings, largely due to two factors.
First, a depressing playoff performance took some of the shine off their roster -- although they won 53 games and got the third seed in the East, it's hard to credibly call this a contending bunch. A mix of three good young players --
Al Horford,
Josh Smith and
Marvin Williams -- along with a veteran in
Joe Johnson is nice, but this group needs more to get over the hump. New coach Larry Drew will have a tough time coaxing similar results given how injury-free the Hawks were last season.
Second, the enormous free-agent contract given to Joe Johnson is likely to be a significant liability going forward, especially given the franchise's reluctance to go into the luxury tax. As a result, money is likely to be extremely tight. As if to prove that point, the Hawks have barely dipped a toe into the free-agent market, and it may be difficult for them to keep
Jamal Crawford as a free agent a year from now.
(Previous rank: 13)
[h3]20.
Washington Wizards | Future Power Rating: 452[/h3]
| | | | |
152 (23rd) | 59 (22nd) | 119 (9th) | 48 (15th) | 74 (7th) |
[th=""]PLAYERS[/th][th=""]MANAGEMENT[/th][th=""]MONEY[/th][th=""]MARKET[/th][th=""]DRAFT[/th]
Washington was the biggest mover in our rankings, jumping up nine spots as a result of winning the lottery and grabbing
John Wall with the first overall pick. Other, smaller positives also improved the Wizards' score. The change in ownership to Ted Leonsis promises to usher in a more reasoned approach (if his stewardship of the Capitals is any sign) after the team largely flew by the seat of its pants under Abe Pollin.
Washington still has a toxic contract clogging up its salary cap with
Gilbert Arenas, but in spite of it the Wizards should be well under the cap next summer. That might allow them to build a roof and some windows around Wall (sorry). In any case, with two decent frontcourt pieces already in place (
JaVale McGee and
Andray Blatche), the Wizards should be reasonably competitive in our three-year window.
(Previous rank: 29)
[h3]11.
New York Knicks | Future Power Rating: 523[/h3]
| | | | |
200 (15th) | 97 (15th) | 140 (4th) | 77 (3rd) | 9 (29th) |
[th=""]PLAYERS[/th][th=""]MANAGEMENT[/th][th=""]MONEY[/th][th=""]MARKET[/th][th=""]DRAFT[/th]
The Knicks didn't hit the home run they were hoping for this summer in free agency, but they still significantly improved their roster. In fact, the Knicks moved up a whopping 12 spots in our player ratings, the most of any team this summer. Of course, the fact that they ranked 27th out of 30 in March puts the major move forward into perspective.
Last season, the Knicks didn't have a lot going for them as they tried to keep the payroll lean in an attempt to lure two superstars to New York. The addition of
Amare Stoudemire,
Anthony Randolph,
Raymond Felton and
Ronny Turiaf to holdover Knicks
Danilo Gallinari,
Wilson Chandler,
Toney Douglas and
Bill Walker should make a significant impact in the win column.
But the summer rebuilding effort wasn't enough to propel the Knicks into the overall top 10 in our future rankings. Knicks fans might have been hoping for more after years of waiting, but ranking fourth in the East (11th overall) means that fans should eventually get to see their team win a playoff series for the first time since 2000.
The good news for the Knicks is that the team will retain some cap flexibility in the future. Once
Eddy Curry comes off the books next summer, the Knicks should have enough money to make another significant addition (assuming the new CBA allows it) or could use Curry's expiring contract as a trading chip at the deadline.
The bad news for the Knicks is that they paid a high price to get Amare and Co. this summer. The team lost All-Star forward
David Lee in the Anthony Randolph swap and traded 2009 lottery pick
Jordan Hill in February to create cap space (as part of the Tracy McGrady deal). The Rockets now have the right to swap picks with the Knicks in 2011 and own the Knicks' 2012 first-round pick as well (though it's top-five protected). That has pushed the Knicks to No. 29 in our draft category.
(Previous rank: 16)
[h3]12.
Sacramento Kings | Future Power Rating: 518[/h3]
| | | | |
214 (11th) | 69 (21st) | 143 (3rd) | 21 (28th) | 71 (8th) |
[th=""]PLAYERS[/th][th=""]MANAGEMENT[/th][th=""]MONEY[/th][th=""]MARKET[/th][th=""]DRAFT[/th]
You might be surprised to see the Kings in the top half of the rankings given how the past two years have gone.
The Kings still have several negatives -- a dinosaur of an arena, a tiny market, and a front office that has saddled the team with several bad deals -- but two overwhelming positives have the Kings on the rise.
The first is financial: Sacramento should be well under the cap next year and could be in position to expand its talent base quickly.
The more tantalizing one is the current roster. Sacramento scored
DeMarcus Cousins with the fifth pick in the draft and will pair him with 2010 Rookie of the Year
Tyreke Evans -- meaning it's very possible the Kings somehow got the best player from each of the past two drafts in addition to two other solid contributors in recent drafts, 2009 first-rounder
Omri Casspi and 2008 pick
Jason Thompson.
We don't know if this is the right organization to keep Evans and Cousins on the straight and narrow, but we do know the team is in a much better position with them on the roster.
(Previous rank: 19)
[h3]13.
Boston Celtics | Future Power Rating: 517[/h3]
| | | | |
186 (19th) | 155 (7th) | 84 (20th) | 63 (10th) | 29 (24th) |
[th=""]PLAYERS[/th][th=""]MANAGEMENT[/th][th=""]MONEY[/th][th=""]MARKET[/th][th=""]DRAFT[/th]
The defending Eastern Conference champs are showing their age, but Celtics president
Danny Ainge spent his summer setting up his veteran team to make two more title runs and then begin rebuilding in 2012.
While the Celtics are likely to remain an elite team in the East in the near future, their long-term potential is still very much up in the air. The Celtics' core of
Kevin Garnett (age 34),
Paul Pierce (33 in October),
Ray Allen (35) and
Rajon Rondo (24) is among the best in the league, but age and injuries reduced the C's to a 50-32 record last season and likely will accelerate the team's decline. Adding big man Jermaine O'Neal (32 in October) to replace an injured
Kendrick Perkins didn't do anything to move the needle on our Future Power Rankings.
Rondo, Perkins and role players
Nate Robinson,
Glen Davis and rookie
Avery Bradley are the only young talent on hand, and only Rondo seems to be a potential bridge to the next great Celtics era. He's enough to keep the Celtics in the top half of our rankings, but that's all.
(Previous rank: 15)
[h3]14.
Dallas Mavericks | Future Power Rating: 515[/h3]
| | | | |
208 (12th) | 147 (8th) | 65 (26th) | 71 (5th) | 24 (25th) |
[th=""]PLAYERS[/th][th=""]MANAGEMENT[/th][th=""]MONEY[/th][th=""]MARKET[/th][th=""]DRAFT[/th]
The Mavericks continue to be more of a "now" team than a team looking to the future, which explains their low-*+@ ranking for a contender.
The Dallas core is aging, with
Dirk Nowitzki,
Jason Kidd,
Shawn Marion,
Jason Terry and
Brendan Haywood all 30 or older, past their prime and likely to provide diminishing returns in future seasons. Two other potential impact players for the Mavs --
Caron Butler and
Tyson Chandler -- are also no longer youngsters and will be free agents next summer. Their future with the Mavs is still up in the air.
The Mavs' up-and-comers consist of one guy: 21-year-old point guard
Rodrigue Beaubois, whose potential is still a question mark.
On the financial front, the free-spending Mavs are projected to be over the salary cap until 2011 or, more likely, 2012.
The good news for Dallas fans is that owner Mark Cuban is creative and has perpetually found ways to keep the Mavs competitive. After 10 consecutive seasons with 50 or more wins, this is a hard franchise to count out.
(Previous rank: 11)
[h3]15.
New Jersey Nets | Future Power Rating: 514[/h3]
| | | | |
154 (22nd) | 72 (20th) | 152 (2nd) | 52 (14th) | 84 (3rd) |
[th=""]PLAYERS[/th][th=""]MANAGEMENT[/th][th=""]MONEY[/th][th=""]MARKET[/th][th=""]DRAFT[/th]
The Nets had the worst record in the NBA last season, and almost the worst in history. But everything was supposed to change this summer, with the arrival of a new, billionaire owner, loads of salary-cap space and the groundbreaking for a new arena in Brooklyn.
As it turns out, the summer of the Nets never really happened. The team struck out with all the major free agents, team president Rod Thorn retired, and the team, while stronger than it was last season, still doesn't look like a playoff contender.
Furthermore, the Nets made two hires that are getting mixed reviews. New coach
Avery Johnson had an amazing win-loss record in Dallas, but his personality grated on players and he has already made his presence felt within the Nets' embryonic new front office. Meanwhile, Billy King is the new general manager, but his track record doesn't give him the authority to rein in Johnson.
So how do the Nets still rank in the top 15? Two reasons: talent and the opportunity to add more.
Brook Lopez could become an All-Star center, while point guard
Devin Harris seems to have regained his stride.
Courtney Lee and
Terrence Williams have shown promise on the wings.
Also, the Nets made significant additions this summer. Rookie
Derrick Favors has a chance to be special if the Nets are patient. Free-agent signees
Travis Outlaw,
Anthony Morrow and
Jordan Farmar will add some much-needed depth to the core.
Furthermore, the Nets should have about $15 million in salary-cap space next summer, and an owner who won't be shy about spending it. And they likely will be able to add another lottery pick to their up-and-coming roster of talent.
(Previous rank: 1