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The broken leg problem
Our model is pessimistic for Biden. But the reality is probably worse.
www.natesilver.net
28% chance of winning (and probably worse than that according to Silver), but it’s the media and his stutter? Democrats just love making excuses for failed candidacies.
“Joe Biden is the equivalent of OG Anunoby in Game 7 — except, obviously, it’s a much higher-stakes problem for the country. Even though Biden’s chances have fallen considerably in our forecast — to 28 percent now from 35 percent before the debate — it’s still probably too optimistic. He likely isn’t capable of providing the sort of performance he needs to fully realize his chances of a comeback.”