It's really all gonna depend on Wade. If he feels like playing worth a ****, the Spurs are done. Danny Green and Kawhi are not tryin to mess around with Bron and Wade on offense. Those two can't even dribble, much less do it with Bron and Wade houndin them.
Ray will have one of them runnin around behind him, possibly Manu, Shane will get to play in this series now, Bosh will get to play down low more, but not as much as his Toronto days or anything, but Duncan can't go 40 minutes a night, so Bosh should get plenty of time on the court without Duncan in there, and Spitter is nothing but a pick setter/se3mi rebounder, Bosh don't even have to guard that guy. Haslem, Bosh, Bird can all take turns/fouls on Duncan, wear him down over the course of the series, and I suspect Bron will get minutes late here and there on Duncan as well. (if Bron fronts Duncan, Parker or Manu will have to lob in entry passes or swing to the top of the circle, Wade/Battier/Chalmers can cut those passing lanes and get turnovers.
All the matchups favor Miami outside of Parker, and even he will have 6-7 different guys defending him in waves. If he has any sort of off night, that game is a wrap. Parker has to play lights out for them to beat the Heat. It's just like Indy, they can play a great game and barely win, Miami can play poorly and still win. Any game that Miami plays well, active, focused, hustling, and the Heat will win with ease.
Heat in 5.
I suppose, the more feasible pick would be in 6, winning on their home floor rather than winning twice in San An, but I see the Spurs losing confidence once they get a full look at the Heat roster.
As was said on Twitter last night, the Thunder waxed the Spurs with their elite speed all over the floor, the Heat are better than what the Thunder were speed wise. That's a bad matchup for SA.