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AOC in '24 is dependent on a ton of factors.
- Does she want to run?
-How open of primary will we have in 2024/what will Biden's mental and physical health look like?
-What will the economy look like?
-How will a Biden administration have responded to the economic fallout of COVID
-How will a Biden administration handle healthcare policy
-Did Democrats get a governing majority and what did they do with it.
-Did they restore the voting rights act, strength ballot access, create new States, etc?
-How alienated is the middle class in 2024? Do they have decent jobs and are "back at brunch"? Or did COVID, George Floyd and Trump generally radicalize the middle class and they stay active in terms of extra electoral politics?
-How unified and concious is the working class? Did unionization and labor action increase as a response to COVID or did a Biden administration find a way to placate that group?
A lot can happen in three or four years. From the perspective of AOC's potential run the best environment for her is one where a Democratic trifecta has done a great job with voting rights and Democrats still have majorities in Congress BUT they haven't done much to deal with all of the household debt, reduced income and medical bills lingering as a result of COVID and the downturn associated with it.
Ideally, she'd wait and run in 2028 or 2032 but, carbon isn't affording us that much time so it'll be worth a try.
- Does she want to run?
-How open of primary will we have in 2024/what will Biden's mental and physical health look like?
-What will the economy look like?
-How will a Biden administration have responded to the economic fallout of COVID
-How will a Biden administration handle healthcare policy
-Did Democrats get a governing majority and what did they do with it.
-Did they restore the voting rights act, strength ballot access, create new States, etc?
-How alienated is the middle class in 2024? Do they have decent jobs and are "back at brunch"? Or did COVID, George Floyd and Trump generally radicalize the middle class and they stay active in terms of extra electoral politics?
-How unified and concious is the working class? Did unionization and labor action increase as a response to COVID or did a Biden administration find a way to placate that group?
A lot can happen in three or four years. From the perspective of AOC's potential run the best environment for her is one where a Democratic trifecta has done a great job with voting rights and Democrats still have majorities in Congress BUT they haven't done much to deal with all of the household debt, reduced income and medical bills lingering as a result of COVID and the downturn associated with it.
Ideally, she'd wait and run in 2028 or 2032 but, carbon isn't affording us that much time so it'll be worth a try.