Official NBA 2012-2013 Season Thread

Status
Not open for further replies.
from realgm

While the NBA unfortunately does not have a pure halfway point, now seems like a proper time to do a summary of where we are in the season thus far.

What we know

Despite their travails, the Miami Heat still stand apart as the best team in the Eastern Conference…for the regular season: What makes this so startling is that the Heat have played with all of the post-title malaise that many expected yet still appear to be running away with the regular season crown. That said, I see both Chicago (with Derrick Rose) and Indiana having the talent to make life very uncomfortable for the Champs in a seven-game series if they do not turn it back on before then. I fully expect them to kick into gear, of course.

The top three teams in the Western Conference, with Memphis standing as the likely fourth: Simply put, the Thunder, Spurs and Clippers have established themselves as the elite teams in the NBA (with Miami as the only Eastern team joining them) despite each having their own difficulties thus far. Memphis has lagged a little bit behind in terms of record but should strike fear into the hearts of the top three because of their potent frontcourt and talent on the perimeter. The Golden State Warriors should make their blood run a little cold too if they can get Andrew Bogut back to full strength without losing another core piece. Even with those two and Denver lurking, the top three should be duking it out for homecourt throughout the rest of the season and one would expect for the conference champ to come out of that triumvirate even as the next tier strengthens.

Tom Thibodeau is the second-best active coach in the league: This may have been clear to some before now but his management of this Bulls squad has been incredibly impressive. What strikes me is not how he has made do without Derrick Rose- the shocking part has been how well he has done so with a Bench Mob that got savaged last offseason along with hearty minutes for Nate Robinson and Marco Belinelli. Very well done.

LeBron James and Kevin Durant are the two best players in the league: You knew that already.

Kyrie Irving will be a star very, very soon: Irving is officially an All-Star this season, yet we all know there is another chasm between All-Star and true star in the NBA. Irving has been dynamite when able to stay on the court and the appalling lack of swingman talent on the Cavs has not prevented that emergence. Here’s hoping we can see him develop with a strengthened group around him through draft picks and shrewd offseason moves over the next summer or two.

What we still do not know

Whether the Lakers can piece it together enough to make the playoffs: Others may be pouring the dirt on their season already (with good reason), yet I always hesitate to pile on a team with talent, even one with as much trouble as Mike D’Antoni’s team has already been through in 2012-13. They are done if Dwight Howard has been playing close to his new, post-back ceiling, yet I do not feel that is the case. Considering the absolute dearth of benefits for tanking since the team loses their first round pick regardless and apparently needs to sell Howard more on sticking around, the Lake Show will give it a go for as long as possible either way.

If the Pacers are for real: The emergence of Paul George has been both expected and startling because Indiana feels dangerous even though Danny Granger has not played a single minute, while Roy Hibbert has not performed up to his big deal as of this writing. To me, the Pacers have the most room to grow of any relevant team in the East over the course of this season considering their depth, energy, and the match-up problems they pose for the rest of the league.

What the Hawks do without Louis Williams for the rest of the season: The Hawks became one of the best feel-good stories in the first half of the season, yet that turned when the team announced that Williams was done for 12-13 due to a torn ACL. Now the infinite possibilities that Atlanta already had this summer with Joe Johnson’s contract off the books and plenty of free agent space take center stage while the team continues to fight for the playoffs. The flexibility Danny Ferry created last summer has provided his organization a multitude of different directions moving forward and it will be fascinating to see which way they go.

If Denver will make a major move: No playoff team has shown the willingness of the Nuggets in recent years to make changes even when the team has been doing well. The moves to acquire JaVale McGee, Danilo Gallinari/Wilson Chandler and Andre Iguodala were all smart and proactive measures that portend an interesting trade deadline for the Nuggets. They have the assets to make some interesting splashes and possess a GM with the right kind of trigger finger to make it happen.

Beyond all of these things, I am looking forward to a playoff stretch that feels dramatically less settled than last season. The West and East (besides Miami) are both relatively balanced and have the potential for some compelling clashes of styles and some must-see individual player matchups. As always, the trade deadline will give us some much-desired insight into where teams like Utah, Atlanta, Memphis, and Denver are looking both the rest of this season and next summer as we get a fun and unpredictable crop of free agents along with an incredibly unusual draft class.
 
also from RealGM

How Will Granger’s Eventual Return Affect Paul George?
By: Andrew Perna
Jan 22, 2013 4:29 PM EST


When the Indiana Pacers announced right before the season that Danny Granger would be out indefinitely with patellar tendinosis in his left knee, I foolishly assumed he’d miss about a month. Knee issues can be tricky, however, and just a week into the season it was announced that he would miss three months after receiving an injection performed by Dr. James Andrews.

Granger participated in shootaround on Friday and will resume non-contact activities any day now. The initial three-month projection, which falls two weeks from now on Feb. 7, seems like it could be met -- but the Pacers will undoubtedly be cautious with the $13 million knee.

The Pacers have played well without Granger despite a slow start. They won four of their first 11 games, but have gone 22-9 since and are presently third in the Eastern Conference. Indiana has thrived thanks to the emergence of Paul George, who has blossomed into an All-Star caliber wing in his third season.

You could see George maturing, as early as 2011’s first round series with the Bulls, but he has taken a considerable leap in the first half of the season. The question is -- would George have broken out this drastically if Granger was healthy?

He is averaging career-highs cross the board -- 17.0 points, 7.6 rebounds, 3.7 assists and 1.8 steals in 36.6 minutes per game. He’s taking 15.1 shots (including 5.6 threes per game) an increase of more than five attempts. His usage rate has increased to 23.9 percent, which is a jump of 4.6 percent, but is second to team-leader David West (24.7 percent).

George has a 17.3 PER, again second to West, and the pair are atop the team’s list of Win Shares along with George Hill at 4.5 wins contributed. He has been extremely valuable because of his ability to take on some of the shots usually reserved for Granger, while also playing tremendous defensive against the league’s best wing players.

“He’s been a little bit more assertive and carried more of an offensive load for us with Danny out, but I think he’s just going to continue to get better,” West said. “He’s also helped make us be one of the top defensive teams with his ability on the wing.”

On Jan. 18, George produced the type of performance that has both the Pacers and the rest of the league buzzing. He scored 31 points on 11-for-19 shooting, including seven threes, and added six rebounds, five steals and three assists in 43 minutes. Perhaps even more impressive was his effort on the other end of the floor. He held James Harden, the league’s fifth-leading scorer, to 17 points on 5-of-19 shooting. The outing snapped a streak of 22 straight games with 20 or more points.

“It wears you down, but it’s something that I’ve been getting better at,” George said earlier this month when I asked him if elite assignments exhausted him. “It definitely takes a lot out of you when you have to guard an elite guy and then try to come down the other end and produce as well.”

Despite his emergence as a budding star, George is an unassuming player. He can make a spectacular play in a variety of ways, but rarely changes his expression on the floor and blends well into Indiana’s locker room.

Granger is the longest-tenured member of the Pacers and the assumed leader, even though West is the roster’s backbone. There has to be some concern as to whether George’s game will change when Granger returns to the floor. As you might expect, he isn’t concerned.

“Yeah, but that’s in the long run,” he said when asked about what Granger’s return will mean for his game. “I’m taking it game-by-game right now. I haven’t really worried about his return; I’ll just continue to play at this level and try to be aggressive.”

It will take some time before Granger returns to the level of play we’ve come to expect and he’ll likely see reduced minutes and might even sit out the second night of back-to-backs early on. Still, if he returns in early February, he should be assuming the role he had in 2011-12 as the playoffs arrive.

In Frank Vogel’s first full season, using a balanced attack, Granger played 33.3 minutes, attempted 15.2 shots per game and had a 25.9 percent usage rate. Let’s assume for the sake of argument that by April, Granger is not only back, but also playing 30 minutes per game and attempting 14 shots.

It’s unlikely that George will see a reduction in minutes, unless Vogel tries to keep the young buck rested for the postseason, but with Granger back in the fold Lance Stephenson and Gerald Green will see less time. Dominic McGuire, currently on his second 10-day contract, will have to look for employment elsewhere.

The main concern is that George will defer to Granger, but his teammates don’t believe either player will let that happen. George said recently that Granger has been pushing him along all season.

“I have no worries about that,” Roy Hibbert said. “He’s got to stay aggressive and keep doing what he’s doing on the offensive side of the ball.”

“Danny’s only going to add to what we are doing,” West predicted. “PG’s gotten better and he’s on track in terms of his career, Year 3 is a big year for most guys, and he’s proven that he’s capable of playing at a high level. If anything, it’s going to help him having another high caliber threat like Danny out there on the floor.”

West might be onto something. George is shooting a career-low 42.5 percent from the floor and his TS% (.528) and eFG% (.496) are also three-year lows. He’s had to carry more of a load and with Granger drawing attention he’ll have better looks with fewer forced looks. For those that watch the Pacers regularly, it should also mean fewer 10-second segments of the Paul George Dribbling Show.

The best case scenario would simply see Granger absorb minutes currently reserved for Stephenson and Green, with Green seeing the biggest reduction in minutes. Stephenson has shown flashes, while Green has been a disappointment.

Green, a poor defender signed for his offense and athleticism, is shooting just .354 this season. Close to half of his shots have come from three-point land and he’s hitting just .286 of those attempts. On a defensive-minded club, he can be exposed.

The Pacers lead the NBA with a 98.8 defensive rating, but Green carries a 103 rating. That’s a large differential. George leads the team with a 95 defensive rating and Granger is a much better pure defender than Green.

Conventional wisdom suggests that Granger’s return will make the Pacers that much better, but that hinges on George remaining the two-way force he has been. Vogel doesn’t simply want to swap George for a health Granger. He wants two above-average wing players leading what should immediately become an improved defense.
 
How many years are we going to hear about Denver's ridiculous depth but they need to make a big move in order to go deep?
 
laugh.gif

Report: Lakers Jim, Jeanie Buss not speaking after Phil Jackson debacle dlvr.it/2rbzXQ #PBT #NBA
— Kurt Helin (@basketballtalk) January 25, 2013
 
i wish teams would still wear their team's jersey to the asg
numbnuts would be exposed because they dont know who to pass to
 
So wait im confused are we going by numbers or the teams records cause if im not mistaken the Nets are 3rd in the East no Dwill no Lopez or JJ, Knicks 2 in the East just Melo and Chandler no JR Smith cant tell me aint up for 6th man of the yr as well as Crawford Clips 2nd in the West and the worst of it all the GS Warriors out of no where deserve more than just Lee Curry got super SNUBBED as like the rest...
 
So wait im confused are we going by numbers or the teams records cause if im not mistaken the Nets are 3rd in the East no Dwill no Lopez or JJ, Knicks 2 in the East just Melo and Chandler no JR Smith cant tell me aint up for 6th man of the yr as well as Crawford Clips 2nd in the West and the worst of it all the GS Warriors out of no where deserve more than just Lee Curry got super SNUBBED as like the rest...
no lie, i didnt breathe reading this
 
So wait im confused are we going by numbers or the teams records cause if im not mistaken the Nets are 3rd in the East no Dwill no Lopez or JJ, Knicks 2 in the East just Melo and Chandler no JR Smith cant tell me aint up for 6th man of the yr as well as Crawford Clips 2nd in the West and the worst of it all the GS Warriors out of no where deserve more than just Lee Curry got super SNUBBED as like the rest...


Talk about a Run on Sentence :lol :lol
 
I was only 10 at the time, but from what I remember he was really, really good off the bench before the actual game. Then he kind of stunk (maybe the hype got to his head?) afterwards.
yeah, everybody was talking talking about how the Lakers had this kid coming off the bench that was better than the starters and that he'd be the next MJ. At this time tons of Bulls fans were switching to the Lakers because of it. 
 
Status
Not open for further replies.
Back
Top Bottom