Yeah, that sounds about right. If you go on 247 and look up five star QB's over the last decade you'll see how many of these guys are complete busts. I think QB is a particularly hard position to project coming out of high school because you can't really equate for the mental aspect of things, how much help they have around them plays a huge factor and scheme fit is a huge deal for QBs.
Kellen Mond was recruited to play in a more wide open offense under Kevin Sumlin and now he's being forced to play a more pro style offense. It's a "square peg in a round hole situation."