While a certain Big Three in South Beach have hogged most of the national spotlight, our TrueHoop Network bloggers are here to dish on the under-the-radar storylines in the NBA that deserve more attention. We started in
the East on Tuesday, and hit the West today.
[h4]DALLAS MAVERICKS[/h4]
What upbeat story deserves more attention?
Jason Terry is quietly having his best season in assists since 2006-07, a testament to JET's underrated playmaking abilities and a slightly altered configuration in Dallas' backcourt. Terry now has two very distinct roles: When playing with
Jason Kidd, he fires at will, but when sharing the court with the more limited J.J. Barea, Terry takes over a considerable share of the ball-distributing responsibilities.
What downbeat story deserves more attention?
The Mavs dropped some considerable coin on draft night in order to select the seemingly NBA-ready
Dominique Jones, a savvy scorer out of South Florida. However, despite Jones' effectiveness in the NCAA, he's struggled to finish at the rim in the NBA thus far, and his defensive awareness could use some fine-tuning. Jones is still an intriguing prospect, but he's not quite ready for consistent NBA playing time right now.
-- Rob Mahoney, The Two Man Game
[h4]DENVER NUGGETS[/h4]
What upbeat story deserves more attention?
Carmelo Anthony has one foot out the door, but the Nuggets are so much more than Melo. With players like Nene,
Arron Afflalo,
Ty Lawson and
J.R. Smith all taking a step forward, Denver has been winning even when Melo is playing poorly or isn't playing at all. Add in undrafted rookie
Gary Forbes and a healthy, uber-tatted Chris "Birdman" Andersen, and Denver is as deep as it has ever been.
What downbeat story deserves more attention?
Chauncey Billups was an All-Star last season, but he did not play well down the stretch. Billups was the veteran leader of the 2010 U.S. World Championship team, but played poorly; the team was better off when he was on the bench. And Billups has followed it all up with a very slow start to this season. The sad thing is he seems to have no idea he has slipped so far so quickly.
-- Jeremy Wagner, Roundball Mining Company
[h4]GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS[/h4]
What upbeat story deserves more attention?
Stephen Curry has been spectacular: 21.5 player efficiency rating, 21.2 points, 5.7 assists, 59.7 true shooting percentage. Someone tell his coach, Keith Smart -- Curry is playing
fewer minutes this season. Someone tell Warriors PR -- they seem to push only
Monta Ellis. Someone tell the fans -- my Twitter feed is choked with Curry complaints. Curry is one of the league's best young point guards, but an ingredient sacrificed to a rancid stew of recent Warriors play.
What downbeat story deserves more attention?
The
Jeremy Lin situation is … awkward. He adds energy, hustle and some of the most cringe-prompting play seen outside of a rec league. Lin was supposed to resonate as symbolic and he did that -- for a time. But it's hard to keep cheering when he seems capable of blocking his own layups. Oracle used to roar when Lin entered games. These days, the cheers are muting into nervous brow sweat. This isn't the heartwarming story it could have been.
-- Ethan Sherwood Strauss, Warriors World
[h4]HOUSTON ROCKETS[/h4]
What upbeat story deserves more attention?
Lost amid the chatter about the Rockets' disappointing season has been the development of
Jordan Hill. After a shaky start, Hill has come on strong, bolstering Houston's front line with his physical talents. Hill triggered the Rockets' Dec. 1 win over the Lakers by frustrating
Pau Gasol (season-low eight points) with his length in single coverage. Assumed to be mostly a trade throw-in, the dreadlocked one may be making management reconsider its plans.
What downbeat story deserves more attention?
The plan all along, it seemed, was to flip the "Knicks Picks," the real prize from last season's
Tracy McGrady trade. With light protections, the two draft picks obtained from New York were to form the basis of a package for a true star or at least help Houston rebuild through the draft. Unfortunately, with New York looking poised to finish higher in the standings than the Rockets, the circumstances serve as the true indignity from what has thus far been a disastrous season.
-- Rahat Huq, Red94
[h4]LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS[/h4]
What upbeat story deserves more attention?
It's hard to imagine
Blake Griffin doing anything that isn't documented for posterity on YouTube, but it's true. Lost in the theatrics of the dunks, Griffin has a select repertoire of moves: a right-handed hook bank shot on the right block, the over-the-right-shoulder fadeaway off the left block, a decent shot out to (for now) 16 feet, and a spin move that he can unleash anywhere on the floor. He's also emerging as a very capable passing big man.
What downbeat story deserves more attention?
As the image-conscious league touts its NBA Cares program, Clippers owner Donald Sterling attempts to void contracts and faces racial discrimination suits, among assorted other examples of mismanagement, all of which hangs over the franchise. Unfortunately, Sterling has been such a comically bad owner that, other than a report or two a year, nothing seems to gain traction anymore. His behavior is accepted as nothing more than a byproduct of his eccentricity instead of being called what it is -- bad for basketball and beneath the standards of the league.
-- Breene Murphy, ClipperBlog
[h4]LOS ANGELES LAKERS[/h4]
What upbeat story deserves more attention?
Matt Barnes' strong play has not been talked about enough. While his strengths -- good defense, rebounding, shooting, slashing ability -- were known commodities, he's provided great consistency off the Lakers' bench with his nonstop motor and fearlessness on both sides of the ball. His strong production (8.6 points, 5.1 rebounds, 2.0 assists per game) has earned him opportunities late in tight games, a trend few saw coming when he signed this summer.
What downbeat story deserves more attention?
Ron Artest's play to start the season has been less than inspiring. His average play on offense is one concern, but more worrisome is his up-and-down defense, with inconsistent focus and intensity. Every player will have bad nights on defense, but elite D is Artest's calling card and he's been below the high standard he set last season.
-- Darius Soriano, Forum Blue & Gold
[h4]MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES[/h4]
What upbeat story deserves more attention?
The intelligent decisions the Grizzlies made to re-sign
Rudy Gay and
Mike Conley. They have been the two most consistent performers on the team and neither is 25 years old. The team took heat for signing them but their performances this season have earned the contracts. Both players would have been offered similar or larger deals had the market been able to determine their worth.
What downbeat story deserves more attention?
Zach Randolph and
O.J. Mayo's performances. Z-Bo has failed to maintain the discipline he showed last season, and that has hurt the Grizzlies. Mayo lost his starting role in part because the team needed his contribution more off the bench. The experiment started out well, as Memphis went 3-1 in its first games with the lineup, but overall, Mayo's scoring (12.2 points per game) and field goal percentage (40 percent) have dipped to career lows.
-- Chip Crain, 3 Shades Of Blue
[h4]MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES[/h4]
What upbeat story deserves more attention?
Over the first two weeks of the season,
Darko Milicic was pretty clearly the worst starter in the league. These catastrophic performances got plenty of national attention, and rightly so. But lately, there have been some signs of renewal. He's occasionally drawing double-teams. He's showing a little energy on defense. He's starting to move the ball like the deft passer he's supposed to be. No telling if this will continue, but we can hope.
What downbeat story deserves more attention?
The Wolves are 5-16. This is not news. What's been really painful, though, and a little under the radar has been their propensity for the late-game collapse. They've lost two big fourth-quarter leads to San Antonio. They folded late in Oklahoma City and Charlotte. This -- the inability to execute late in games, the epic losses of poise -- is what a truly young team looks like.
-- Ben Polk, A Wolf Among Wolves
[h4]NEW ORLEANS HORNETS[/h4]
What upbeat story deserves more attention?
Monty Williams has been a breath of fresh air for a Hornets team that is constantly in the middle of media speculation.
Chris Paul rumors, attendance benchmarks, talk of relocation or contraction -- none of it fazes the youngest coach in the NBA. His focus is on cultivating a winning culture. He preaches "no excuses" to his players, and although others may see a sinking ship, these players believe in their captain.
What downbeat story deserves more attention?
The focus has been on the possible exodus of Paul in the summer of 2012, but a full year before that happens, the Hornets' other cornerstone will likely be an unrestricted free agent.
David West holds a player option that he will likely exercise next summer, and if he leaves, the Hornets will lose a talented player, a community advocate and the big brother figure of one CP3.
-- Michael McNamara, Hornets247
[h4]OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER[/h4]
What upbeat story deserves more attention?
Very quietly,
Jeff Green is having the best statistical season in his four-year career. Green didn't receive a contract extension from the Thunder and is playing this season knowing he'll be a restricted free agent. He is averaging 18.9 points and 6.6 rebounds (both career highs) in 40.3 minutes per game (second most in the league). While Green may not be a prototypical power forward, he's playing some of the best ball of his career.
What downbeat story deserves more attention?
OKC traded two picks in the 2010 draft to move up and select center
Cole Aldrich. Most saw it as a move to help solidify the Thunder's somewhat soft front line against the bigs of the West -- except Aldrich was quietly sent to the D-League two weeks ago after failing to make much of an impact early on. He was recently recalled, but it's disappointing that he wasn't able to crack the rotation and make an immediate impact.
-- Royce Young, Daily Thunder
[h4]PHOENIX SUNS[/h4]
What upbeat story deserves more attention?
Jason Richardson is playing up to his $14.4 million price tag this season. Before Tuesday, J-Rich had scored at least 20 points in seven straight games, and he averages a team-high 20.5 ppg while drilling 46.8 percent of his league-high 59 treys. With Richardson filling it up from the outside and punishing smaller guards in the post, Phoenix's offense has hardly missed a beat without
Amare Stoudemire, as the Suns once again lead the NBA in scoring (109.3).
What downbeat story deserves more attention?
The Suns' defensive rebounding has been historically bad this season. Their 68.5 defensive rebound rate is one of the lowest in the NBA in years, and only
Channing Frye averages more than five boards overall per game (5.7). The bright side? Since
Earl Barron became a starter, Phoenix has won or tied the rebounding battle in three of four games after doing so in only one of its first 17.
-- Michael Schwartz, Valley of the Suns
[h4]PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS[/h4]
What upbeat story deserves more attention?
That the Rose Garden has gone green? Seriously, it's that bleak in Portland. After another mysterious, season-ending microfracture surgery for
Greg Oden and a career-altering knee injury to
Brandon Roy, there's little left above water. The Blazers even lost beloved Portland great Maurice Lucas, who succumbed to cancer at the season's onset. Hope of an Aldridge-Roy-Oden championship-caliber nucleus has vanished. Now they're in a free fall.
What downbeat story deserves more attention?
The Blazers knew Roy's knees were problematic when they signed him to a max extension in 2009. Roy was rushed back in the 2010 playoffs, eight days after a meniscus tear and subsequent surgery. Now in his other knee Roy has no meniscus left to operate on, basically dooming him to a career of pain and limited mobility. While Roy deserves credit for helping turn the franchise around, his contract likely will strangle Portland if he can't produce.
-- Andrew Tonry, Portland Roundball Society
[h4]SACRAMENTO KINGS[/h4]
What upbeat story deserves more attention?
Jason Thompson has been a bright spot for the Kings. He's doing everything asked of him on the basketball court and not complaining about any of it, despite his inconsistent minutes and the trade rumors involving his name. JT has just showed up to work throughout the season and played as hard as he can. It would be easy for a young guy to get frustrated with an always-changing role, but he continues to be a positive influence on the Kings in this tough start.
What downbeat story deserves more attention?
The Kings don't really have an offense this year. They've scaled everything way back and basically run an isolation set the majority of the time. NBA scouts don't even know what offense the Kings throw at teams. A lot of this could be because the Kings don't trust
Tyreke Evans and the young team with a complicated offense, or they know they don't have the personnel to run intricate sets. Whatever it is, the Kings are struggling to find efficient offense most nights.
-- Zach Harper, Cowbell Kingdom
[h4]SAN ANTONIO SPURS[/h4]
What upbeat story deserves more attention?
Manu Ginobili is quietly putting together an MVP-caliber season. It's a shame that many will disqualify him for averaging too few minutes per game (32.6), despite the fact those minutes represent a career high. Still, Ginobili motors the Spurs forward, registering a career-best PER (24.8, fifth-best in the league) and leading San Antonio to an NBA-leading 17-3 record.
What downbeat story deserves more attention?
Tiago Splitter, San Antonio's heralded rookie center, has yet to find consistent playing time. The Brazilian big was injured for most of training camp and finds himself buried in a frontcourt featuring
Tim Duncan,
Matt Bonner,
Antonio McDyess and
DeJuan Blair. But Splitter does have one thing going for him -- even in limited minutes, he's displayed Ginobili-esque flopping skills. Surely, coach Gregg Popovich will eventually reward that kind of gamesmanship.
-- Timothy Varner, 48 Minutes of Hell
[h4]UTAH JAZZ[/h4]
What upbeat story deserves more attention?
Jerry Sloan is quietly putting together a virtuoso performance on the sidelines for the Utah Jazz. The longest-tenured coach in North American sport amazingly still hasn't been honored as Coach of the Year. Though he would be the first to tell you that things haven't traditionally worked out well for recipients of the award, Sloan deserves recognition for once again pushing a team to contender status when many predicted mediocrity instead.
What downbeat story deserves more attention?
The amazing comebacks have been the defining story for the Jazz this year, but the dramatic wins help hide long lapses by Utah's defense. The addition of Al Jefferson and the addition by subtraction of Carlos Boozer's matador defense were hailed as the beginning of a new era that would no longer allow opponents to feast at the rim. Instead, the Jazz appear to once again have serious defensive problems that are as unpredictable as the team itself.
-- Spencer Hall, Salt City Hoops
[h4]WESTERN CONFERENCE[/h4]
What upbeat story deserves more attention?
In the world of NBA coaching, different is risky and risky is bad. But Gregg Popovich's and Rick Carlisle's teams are threatening the Lakers' playoff supremacy by adding new tricks. The Spurs' permitting Tony Parker to push the pace exploits the Lakers' one defensive weakness (remember Russell Westbrook lapping Derek Fisher in April?) and Dallas' commitment to developing the league's best zone defense could wrong-foot L.A. like last season's Suns.
What downbeat story deserves more attention?
It's depressing to see Steve Nash's organization failing his loyalty. I'm not quite ready to count the Suns out of the playoffs -- their style is too hard to handle -- but the days of contending left with Amare. Unquestioningly the franchise's most beloved player ever, Nash appears prematurely entombed by an inept front office that has its greatest asset sealed up until age 38, when his only chance at the Chip might be Paytonesque ring-trolling.
-- Beckley Mason, HoopSpeak
PORTLAND -- Nate McMillan is one of the most successful offensive coaches in recent NBA history. This belies his reputation as a player, when he was a defensive specialist, and he doesn't carry the demeanor of an offensive savant.
But the numbers don't lie: Stylistically, his teams have been among the most unusual in league annals, and fairly consistently overachieved on offense. In Seattle, he had a top-five team in offensive efficiency three times in his last four seasons; in Portland, he had the second-ranked team in 2008-09 and, despite massive injuries, was seventh a year ago.
This fact has largely been obscured by his rather unusual operating method. Unlike most good offensive teams, McMillan's clubs don't run. Ever. Portland has ranked either last or second to last in the NBA in pace factor each of the past four seasons, while Seattle was 27th and 28th in his final two seasons there. This is his 11th full or partial season at the helm of an NBA team, and none of those clubs played at a pace faster than the league average.
Instead, his teams have mastered the volume approach. Both in Seattle and in Portland, he's overseen phenomenal offensive rebounding teams with low turnover rates; they also shot the ball reasonably accurately, but the main cause of their success was that they took so many more shots than most teams.
This approach has produced some legitimate criticism of whether it makes his teams too easy to load up against in the postseason, but its more enduring feature has been to obscure how well his teams were at playing on offense. Without a gaudy points-per-game average or a high shooting percentage, confused observers couldn't easily divine why McMillan's clubs succeeded.
I mention all this because it's extremely relevant to the 2010-11 Blazers, and the ways in which they are failing to live up to our expectations. Simply put, McMillan is in something of a new situation for him: His team is struggling to score.
Want to know the really amazing part? They're doing exactly the same things they do every other year ... they're just missing all their shots.
The Blazers still play the same sluggish pace, ranking 28th in pace factor after landing dead last a year ago. And they still average more shot attempts per possession than any other team.
A lot more, actually. They're the only team averaging better than a shot attempt per possession, with shot attempts here defined to include free throw attempts times 0.44 (see chart). The reasons are twofold: Portland tops the NBA in
offensive rebound rate at 31.4 percent, and its turnover rate is well below the league average.
[h4]Most shot attempts* per 100 possessions, 2010-11[/h4]
| |
Portland | 100.4 |
L.A. Lakers | 99.9 |
Sacramento | 99.1 |
Milwaukee | 99.0 |
Golden State | 98.2 |
League average | 96.7 |
* Shot attempts = FGA + (FTA * 0.44) | |
[th=""]Team[/th][th=""]Shots/100 Poss.[/th]
So the Blazers take a ton of shots. The problem is that none of those shots are going in -- the Blazers rank only 27th in true shooting percentage.
Essentially, Portland's volume strategy is backfiring because its conversion rate has been so poor. The Blazers come out behind on the bargain, ranking a mere 15th in offensive efficiency.
As to why the Blazers are struggling, most of the discussion has centered around one player, and certainly
Brandon Roy's decline has been impactful. The All-Star guard's true shooting percentage has dropped from 56.8 to 52.9, and as the team's second-most frequent shooter that's gonna leave a mark. Additionally, he's barely averaging half as many assists per minute as a year ago, so secondary players aren't getting the easy looks that he used to locate for them.
Nonetheless, the decline of Roy from All-Star to merely quality starter doesn't begin to explain the off-the-table nature of Portland's shooting decline. Actually, it's obscured an even greater production dip from one of his heralded teammates.
With Roy's knees paining him,
LaMarcus Aldridge is getting the rock in the low post more than ever. Unfortunately, he's struggling to convert. Aldridge is hitting a career-low 43.4 percent from the floor, a pathetic percentage for a big who doesn't shoot 3s. His 49.4 true shooting mark is the worst of any power forward who plays at least 30 minutes a game, requiring one to scroll to the benighted
second page of our power forward listings. Look at the top half of power forwards in usage rate, and only two -- Sacramento's
DeMarcus Cousins and Milwaukee's
Drew Gooden -- convert at a lower rate.
Even pinning the struggles on Aldridge, however, may be somewhat wide of the mark. Despite the struggles of Portland's top two scorers, and all the attention on the misfit between guards Roy and
Andre Miller (a talking point that will only increase in volume after the Blazers beat the Suns without Miller on Tuesday night), the facts are that the Blazers' starting lineup is carrying them. According to basketballvalue.com, almost all the Blazers' best lineups this year have at least four starters on the floor, including Roy and Miller. And in terms of PER, Miller is actually having the best season of his career.
Instead, it's the bench that's killing them.
It was interesting to note, for instance, that McMillan discussed the team's offensive woes before Sunday's win over the Clippers by constantly referring back to the weakside players' inability to punish defenses that trap and double Roy and Aldridge. Roy made similar comments, saying his inability to score is partly because of a lack of spacing.
Look at the bench stats and you'll see why.
Rudy Fernandez (36.3 percent) and
Dante Cunningham (42.7 percent) haven't made shots, while subs like
Armon Johnson and
Sean Marks have been too feeble offensively to provide much aid. Overall, Portland is 24th in 3-point accuracy, with alleged floor-spacers like
Wesley Matthews (34.3 percent on 3s),
Nicolas Batum (34.1 percent) and Fernandez (36.1 percent) struggling to punish sagging defenses.
"What happened to all their depth?" lamented one league source to me recently, and it's a fair point. We're used to thinking of the Blazers having vast waves of talent waiting in the wings, to the point that the team barely skipped a beat when it suffered one horrific injury after another a year ago.
This time around, the injuries cut into bone. Losing three centers at once in
Greg Oden,
Joel Przybilla and
Fabricio Oberto left the Blazers scrambling for frontcourt bodies; not to mention forcing 36-year-old
Marcus Camby to suit up on a few nights when he probably shouldn't have.
Trading
Jerryd Bayless to New Orleans seemed the right move in preseason, but with Roy unable to be the Roy of old one wonders if Bayless' shot-creating skills could help keep defenses more honest. Losing first-round pick
Elliot Williams for the season also proved hurtful, as did the draft day salary dump of
Martell Webster to Minnesota -- especially since rookie
Luke Babbitt, who was just sent to Idaho in the D-League, has yet to provide any return on the trade.
Help may be on the way. Przybilla recently returned to solidify the frontcourt, and second-year pro
Patty Mills looks like a keeper as a backup point guard and energizer. Nonetheless, it doesn't appear Portland's offensive woes have an instant cure. For instance, Tuesday night's win over Phoenix -- the league's
worst defensive team -- came partly because of an energy boost from Mills, but largely because of a flukish 32-of-33 mark from the line that they won't be repeating any time soon.
With Roy and Aldridge missing shots and the second unit a liability rather than a strength, Portland's offensive mojo still appears severely lacking. Roy is the lightning rod, obviously, but in reality he's just the tip of the iceberg. The Blazers are running McMillan's peculiar offensive style just as methodically as ever; but for a variety of reasons, they no longer can get the ball to go in the basket.