- 69,435
- 105,849
- Joined
- Apr 30, 2010
Can't lie I been hella lazy during the pando and I love it. Not looking forward to being back to the grind.
Follow along with the video below to see how to install our site as a web app on your home screen.
Note: this_feature_currently_requires_accessing_site_using_safari
I do think people are overcompensating right now. it's mostly young people out, just looking to do something stupid, like the people who took advantage of the protests last year. so that'll die down after the kids get over their phase.
Well, well, well lol.UK's MHRA says there's no evidence that drinking alcohol interferes with COVID vaccine protection, so at least there's that!
No evidence drinking alcohol interferes with Covid vaccines, says UK regulator
The Medicines and Healthcare products Regulatory Agency (MHRA) was responding to social media reports that people should abstain from drinking for up to two weeks after a vaccine.www.irishexaminer.com
Good thread
I don't know what models the nyt is using but herd immunity is not a fixed number. it's higher in a big city vs out on a farm. and spread isn't equal -- it's the super spreader nodes that we really need to knock out. and those nodes are more likely to have already been exposed to the virus. and vaccination isn't equal -- I think it's higher in bigger cities, which is where we need more protection.
based on what's happening in Israel and the UK, getting ~60% vaccinated MIGHT be enough to get us to a point where the virus will eventually die out, given all these caveats.
and I agree with Blake that any hope for an effective contact tracing strategy in the USA with covid is not practical given our behavior.
based on what's happening in Israel and the UK, getting ~60% vaccinated MIGHT be enough to get us to a point where the virus will eventually die out.
60% fully or single shot?
By "die out," I would mean the virus gets to a low enough level in the community that it's a rare event to see an infection... We're still at 50k cases/day, so maybe when we're down below 1k/day.What do you consider "die out" though? Unless immunity is long-lived and breakthrough/reinfections are super rare, I think it's more likely the virus will eventually circulate endemically and effect people more like a common cold.
I have never had to be this much of a parent to my mother until recently. She is becoming increasingly irritable and acting as if she will catch covid and die if she ever dares to leave her house again. Someone behaving like this in their mid-fifties is still mind-boggling to me despite seeing this from so many of the older generations.
My mom turn 70 sunday. She ain't going out like that (eating out and whatnot) but shes attending church again and never really stopped hitting the store daily.On the other hand, my 65+ y/o parents are acting like they’re bulletproof after getting vaccinated, eating indoors at packed restaurants, planning vacations and going everywhere like it’s no big deal.
Ima have to disagree bro. With the weather turning and summer coming up I think the young folks will only wild out more. The silver lining is that since it is they might be migrating from the city to local beaches like they would in pre-pandemic summers.I do think people are overcompensating right now. it's mostly young people out, just looking to do something stupid, like the people who took advantage of the protests last year. so that'll die down after the kids get over their phase.
True, true. In my old age, I've forgotten what summers are normally like. I'm going to be laying low until Memorial Day.Ima have to disagree bro. With the weather turning and summer coming up I think the young folks will only wild out more. The silver lining is that since it is they might be migrating from the city to local beaches like they would in pre-pandemic summers.
For my purposes, I was using cases as a measure of covid-19 dying out and no longer infecting people. Deaths are also still at 650 per day, which is higher than I thought we would be at this point. True, it's not a surge, but it hasn't really gone done in the past month. It's close to "acceptable" levels though in terms of opening back up. Keep in mind, it's not about the current level, but about whether numbers would explode if we open back up. A year ago, we'd be crazy to open up with 50k cases and 600 deaths per day because that would become 250k cases and 2000 deaths per day in a couple weeks. But now with the vaccine we can do so without these numbers blowing up.A surge in cases is not the same as a surge in hospitalizations or deaths, unless variants turn more deadly. The winter surge should save all of the vulnerable. But yes, we can have 2500 cases in a bigger city of all younger folks who likely won’t die
Too many scientists feel cases is the ultimate measure
weren’t we initially concerned about overrunning hospitals? If that never happens again, this becomes a new type of seasonal flu, right?
Getting my second dose of Moderna on Friday. Looking forward to not being scared of particles in the air anymore or the saliva of random women.