Todd McShay's first 2008 NFL Mock Draft - 1st Rd

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Underclassman Dominate First Mock Draft

By Todd McShay
Scouts Inc.

In the first of many mock drafts to come, a few things jumped out. The first is that New England, which was forced to forfeit its 32nd pick, made out just fineby having San Francisco's pick, which the Pats received in a draft-day trade last April and right now is the second overall. That means there will be highdrama; Bill Belichick and Co. will have to decide whether to take Darren McFadden or trade down as the Patriots look to continue their run of great drafts.

Another thing is the abundance of underclassmen here (they're the ones with the * next to their name). Just to be clear, we never promote juniorsleaving early, but it's a fact of life that they do. So instead of ignoring it, we add those players who belong in the first round. Obviously, there arelot of decisions to be made between now and Jan. 15 -- the early entry deadline -- as the process goes on and players officially declare their intentions,we'll adjust the mock draft accordingly. But for now, 16 of the 31 picks are underclassmen.

A couple other notes:

LSU's Glenn Dorsey would become the first defensive tackle selected No. 1 overall since Cincinnati took Dan Wilkinson first in 1994.

A case of mock draft vs. my personal rankings jumps out with Atlanta taking Brian Brohm. I think Boston College's Matt Ryan is the best QB prospect, butAtlanta would take Brohm based on his ties with his former coach at Louisville Bobby Petrino.

Finally, while Atlanta and St. Louis and Oakland and Kansas City would flip a coin to determine their slot based on being tied in record and opponentswinning percentage, the players they are projected to take wouldn't change.

Remember, this is the first of many mock drafts and things will change as we move closer to the 2008 draft, but if the draft were today, here's how itwould shake out.
[h2]NFL Mock Draft[/h2]
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[h2]1. Miami Dolphins[/h2]Current record: 0-12
Scouts Inc.'s three biggest needs: OT, OG, DT
Projected pick: Glenn Dorsey, DT, LSU
One of the Dolphins' top priorities is to upgrade the talent level along the offensive and defensive lines with an injection of youth. Dorsey played mostof the second half of the season with a minor knee injury and a back injury and was still the most disruptive defensive tackle in the country. He should beready to contribute immediately in the NFL.

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[h2]2. New England Patriots (from 3-9 SanFrancisco)[/h2]Current record: 12-0
Scouts Inc.'s three biggest needs: ILB, CB, OLB
Projected pick: Darren McFadden*, RB, Arkansas
This hardly seems fair. The league's best team lands the draft's top talent -- or strikes another lucrative draft-day deal for him. Both McFadden andLaurence Maroney split carries in college. A two-back rotation would make both last longer, not to mention the possibilities for an offense already overloadedwith talent.

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[h2]3. New York Jets[/h2]Current record: 3-9
Scouts Inc.'s three biggest needs: WR, NT, ILB
Projected pick: James Laurinaitis*, ILB, Ohio State

There simply is not a wide receiver to get excited about with the third overall pick and USC DT Sedrick Ellis is not a good fit as atwo-gap NT in this scheme. McFadden should be the pick, if he falls to the Jets, but in this scenario, Laurinaitis makes the most sense. He would solidify thelinebacker corps next to another young talent in David Harris (2nd round pick in '07). Michigan OT Jake Long is a possibility, as well.

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[h2]4. Atlanta Falcons[/h2]Current record: 3-9
Scouts Inc.'s three biggest needs: QB, OL, DT
Projected pick: Brian Brohm, QB, Louisville
It almost makes too much sense. The Falcons, in desperate need of a franchise quarterback in the wake of the Michael Vick mess, use their first-round selectionon a signal-caller who played for current Atlanta head coach Bobby Petrino at Louisville from 2004-06.

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[h2]5. St. Louis Rams[/h2]Current record: 3-9
Scouts Inc.'s three biggest needs: OT, CB, DE
Projected pick: Jake Long, OT, Michigan
The season-ending injury to perennial Pro Bowl tackle Orlando Pace and the Rams' overall poor play along the offensive line this season make Long a realpossibility with this pick. He is unquestionably the most dominant offensive-line prospect in the 2008 class.

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[h2]6. Cincinnati Bengals[/h2]Current record: 4-8
Scouts Inc.'s three biggest needs: DT, LB, OT
Projected pick: Sedrick Ellis, DT, USC
It would be tough to pass on DE Chris Long, but the Bengals have a much bigger need for interior help. Ellis is a quick, tough and relentless defensive tackle.He has the potential to disrupt plays in the backfield while occupying blocks, which would make the Bengals' entire front-seven better.

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[h2]7. Oakland Raiders[/h2]Current record: 4-8
Scouts Inc.'s three biggest needs: OL, WR, DL
Projected pick: Chris Long, DE, Virginia
Outside of McFadden, there isn't a player I value more in the 2008 class than Chris Long. He plays the game with rare passion and nearly flawlesstechnique. In addition to controlling blockers as a 3-4 end in college, Long also disengages from blocks and makes big play after big play. The fact that hefinished the regular season with 14 sacks playing in that scheme tells you all you need to know about his talent and motor. Raider Nation would certainlywelcome another Long with open arms.

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[h2]8. Kansas City Chiefs[/h2]Current record: 4-8
Scouts Inc.'s three biggest needs: OL, WR, CB
Projected pick: Ryan Clady*, OT, Boise State
Clady only makes sense here if Chiefs QB Brodie Croyle makes strides during the final few weeks of the season. If not, QB Matt Ryan would have to be apossibility with this pick. Clady is still improving his strength but he possesses impressive feet to go along with his enormous wingspan.

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[h2]9. Baltimore Ravens[/h2]Current record: 4-8
Scouts Inc.'s three biggest needs: QB, CB, LB
Projected pick: Matt Ryan, QB, Boston College
Ryan is the top quarterback prospect in the 2008 class. In this scenario, the Ravens would send a thank-you letter to the Falcons and gladly take Ryan with theninth overall selection.

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[h2]10. New Orleans Saints[/h2]Current record: 5-7
Scouts Inc.'s three biggest needs: MLB, TE, DT
Projected pick: Keith Rivers, LB, USC
This is a bit high for Rivers, but the Saints need linebacker help and could fall in love with his leadership and tempo. Rivers could possibly play inside inthe NFL, but his more natural fit is on the weakside. Regardless, he is a first-round talent with very good instincts, quickness and tackling skills.

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[h2]11. Houston Texans[/h2]Current record: 5-7
Scouts Inc.'s three biggest needs: DB, OG, RB
Projected pick: Malcolm Jenkins*, DB, Ohio State
Jenkins spends most of his time in soft-zone coverage at both corner and safety at Ohio State. It's unlikely he will ever emerge as a shutdown man-to-mancover corner in the NFL, but Jenkins is a ball hawk with excellent size and straight-line speed. His versatility could help solidify the Texans'secondary.

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[h2]12. Denver Broncos[/h2]Current record: 5-7
Scouts Inc.'s three biggest needs: OL, DT, S
Projected pick: Kenny Phillips*, S, Miami (Fla.)
Phillips had a substandard season, and it would say a lot about his character if he returns to Miami for his senior season and take on a leadership role. Onthe flip side, Phillips is likely to be the top safety selected if he bolts school early for the 2008 draft. Denver is aging at the position, making it one ofPhillips' potential first-round landing spots. His speed and athleticism would be a good complement to the Broncos' existing group of comparativelyslow-footed tough guys.

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[h2]13. Carolina Panthers[/h2]Current record: 5-7
Scouts Inc.'s three biggest needs: QB, WR, DE
Projected pick: Andre Woodson, QB, Kentucky
Woodson has the size, arm strength and accuracy as a passer to develop into a good starter in the NFL. Some teams will be concerned about his occasional lapsesin decision-making and lack of mobility. However, I would consider the Panthers fortunate if Woodson drops to them at No. 13 overall. In this scenario, Woodsonwould be the third and final quarterback off the board in the first round, leaving the Bears to adjust their plans quickly.

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[h2]14. Chicago Bears[/h2]Current record: 5-7
Scouts Inc.'s three biggest needs: QB, OT, S

Projected pick: Mike Jenkins, DB, South Florida
If the team can't get one of the top three quarterbacks, it likely will look for help along the offensive line and at safety. Jenkins plays mostly cornerat South Florida but he may be a better fit at free safety in the NFL. Regardless, Jenkins has excellent speed and ball skills for his size. He has shown muchbetter discipline and technique as a senior, which is why he is shooting up many NFL draft boards.


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[h2]15. Philadelphia Eagles[/h2]Current record: 5-7
Scouts Inc.'s three biggest needs: OT, S, WR
Projected pick: DeSean Jackson*, WR, Cal
Sam Baker would be a possibility, but will the Eagles really take another USC tackle considering Winston Justice's struggles thus far? From my vantagepoint, Jackson would be tough to pass on here if he leaves following a disappointing junior season at Cal. Sure, critics will attack Jackson for being lean andstruggling to stay healthy. But none of his injuries project to have long-term ramifications. Plus, he's a better pure wide receiver than Ted Ginn Jr.(picked by Miami No. 10 overall in 2007) and Jackson is just as explosive in the return game.

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[h2]16. Washington ********[/h2]Current record: 5-7
Scouts Inc.'s three biggest needs: WR, DE, S
Projected pick: Derrick Harvey*, DE, Florida
Harvey could use another season in Gainesville to improve his bulk and strength, but don't count on him returning. The 6-foot-4, 255-pound junior notched17.5 sacks the past two seasons and will wow scouts with his speed and athleticism during workouts. Harvey could upgrade the ********' perimeter pass rushimmediately.

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[h2]17. Arizona Cardinals[/h2]Current record: 6-6
Scouts Inc.'s three biggest needs: OT, DT, RB
Projected pick: Sam Baker, OT, USC
Baker has the feet and balance of a future Pro Bowl left tackle. Unfortunately, he is neither aggressive nor strong enough to start in the NFL right now.Depending on how many underclassmen come out, Arizona could have more to choose from with this pick -- at both the offensive and defensive tacklepositions.

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[h2]18. Buffalo Bills[/h2]Current record: 6-6
Scouts Inc.'s three biggest needs: TE, CB, OLB
Projected pick: Ali Highsmith, LB, LSU
Paul Posluszny, Buffalo's second-round pick in 2007, showed lots of promise prior to his season-ending injury. The Bills, however, could still use help atthe position even if Posluszny returns to form. Cornerback and tight end are bigger needs, but Highsmith is rated higher than the next-best prospect at eitherposition. Highsmith possesses the athleticism and speed to emerge as a playmaking starter in the NFL, but only if his bulk and recognition skillsimprove.

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[h2]19. Minnesota Vikings[/h2]Current record: 6-6
Scouts Inc.'s three biggest needs: DE, S, C
Projected pick: Calais Campbell*, DE, Miami (Fla.)
Yes, it's true. The Vikings are really in the market for another first-round defensive end. Campbell is first-round material despite failing to live up toexpectations in 2007. Sure, he could improve his stock to the top-10 range by returning to school and maximizing his talents as a senior. Though somethingtells me an athletic 6-7, 285-pound end with 4.7-speed and 17 sacks the past two seasons won't slip far -- even if he's not fully developed.

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[h2]20. Detroit Lions[/h2]Current record: 6-6
Scouts Inc.'s three biggest needs: OT, CB, TE
Projected pick: Jeff Otah, OT, Pittsburgh
It looks like the Lions will be selecting outside of the top 10 for the first time since 2001. Now the trick is to find quality players this far down the line.Otah is a late-rising prospect from Nigeria with quick feet for such a massive frame. Otah will take some time to develop but he might be worth thewait.

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[h2]21. Dallas Cowboys (from 7-5Cleveland)[/h2]Current record: 11-1
Scouts Inc.'s three biggest needs: S, OT, WR
Projected pick: Limas Sweed, WR, Texas
Sweed is the most naturally gifted receiver in the 2008 class if healthy. Unfortunately, the homegrown product's senior season was cut short by a wristinjury. Although durability is a concern, some team could get a steal in the bottom-half of the first round if Sweed returns to form as expected. Owner JerryJones has never been one to shy away from risks.

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[h2]22. Tennessee Titans[/h2]Current record: 7-5
Scouts Inc.'s three biggest needs: WR, DT, CB
Projected pick: Malcolm Kelly*, WR, Oklahoma
The Titans need to surround franchise quarterback Vince Young with better perimeter weapons. Young may be forced to befriend a Sooner if his former teammate,Sweed, is off the board. Kelly could use another season of polishing but word out of Norman is the 6-4, 220-pound glider will take his chances in the upcomingNFL draft.

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[h2]23. San Diego Chargers[/h2]Current record: 7-5
Scouts Inc.'s three biggest needs: ILB, DL, RB
Projected pick: Rey Maualuga*, ILB, USC
Maualuga is finishing strong as a junior. He publicly stated he plans on returning to Southern California next fall, but Maualuga wouldn't be the first torenege on such a promise. A strong showing at the combine could catapult the 250-pound middle linebacker into the top-half of the first round.

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[h2]24. Seattle Seahawks[/h2]Current record: 8-4
Scouts Inc.'s three biggest needs: OL, S, TE
Projected pick: Jonathan Stewart*, RB, Oregon
The Seahawks have some tough questions to ponder at the running back position in the upcoming offseason. Will Shaun Alexander return to form? Can MauriceMorris be the full-time load-carrier if not? Stewart has yet to indicate his intentions but it wouldn't be a bit surprising if he followed QB Dennis Dixonout of Eugene. Stewart has the versatility, power and burst to thrive in coach Mike Holmgren's system.

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[h2]25. Tampa Bay Buccaneers[/h2]Current record: 8-4
Scouts Inc.'s three biggest needs: OT, CB, OLB
Projected pick: Aqib Talib*, DB, Kansas
Talib is a versatile athlete with the size, toughness and ball skills to fit well in the Tampa 2. Who knows, maybe coach Jon Gruden would get him some time atwide receiver like Mark Mangino did at Kansas.

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[h2]26. New York Giants[/h2]Current record: 8-4
Scouts Inc.'s three biggest needs: OLB, OT, DB
Projected pick: Dan Connor, LB, Penn State
Connor is a bit overrated, but the Giants would be getting a solid value on him at No. 26 overall. Connor moved inside to middle linebacker as a senior but itseems his better fit in the NFL will be at the Will (weakside linebacker) position.

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[h2]27. Jacksonville Jaguars[/h2]Current record: 8-4
Scouts Inc.'s three biggest needs: WR, OLB, S
Projected pick: Vernon Gholston*, DE/OLB, Ohio State
This would have to be worst-case scenario for Gholston, who has 21.5 sacks the past two seasons, including eight in his last four outings. Gholston is a bitundersized but he is powerfully built with above-average speed. The Jaguars would jump at the opportunity to select the junior here, even if end is not a toppriority.

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[h2]28. Pittsburgh Steelers[/h2]Current record: 9-3
Scouts Inc.'s three biggest needs: OL, WR, S
Projected pick: Michael Oher*, OT, Mississippi
The Steelers should use this picks to upgrade their offensive line. Oher is reportedly on the fence in regards to staying in school or turning pro. Should heleave early, Oher has all the physical tools a team looks for in a potential starting left tackle. He comes with some baggage, though, and his technique stillneeds polishing.

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[h2]29. Green Bay Packers[/h2]Current record: 10-2
Scouts Inc.'s three biggest needs: RB, S, OL
Projected pick: Felix Jones*, RB, Arkansas
Ryan Grant has been a nice story this season but the Packers can't count on him as its premier back moving forward. The verdict is still out on rookieBrandon Jackson, who has failed to meet expectations so far. A proven veteran would be ideal but Jones has proven capable of contributing as a complementaryweapon. He brings world-class speed to the table as a runner, receiver and return specialist.

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[h2]San Francisco 49ers (from 10-2Indianapolis)[/h2]Current record: 3-9
Scouts Inc.'s three biggest needs: WR, OL, S
Projected pick: Early Doucet, WR, LSU
Obviously, the 49ers would like to have that No. 2 pick back from the Patriots, but they'll have to make due with the 30th pick. Doucet has been botheredby a nagging groin injury, which prevented him from emerging as a reliable No. 1 weapon at LSU this fall. But a couple fast 40 times and a big week at theSenior Bowl could help affirm his big-play potential for NFL decision-makers.

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[h2]31. Dallas Cowboys[/h2]Current record: 11-1
Scouts Inc.'s three biggest needs: S, OT, WR
Projected pick: Gosder Cherilus, OT, Boston College
The Cowboys can use this pick to bolster their offensive line depth after selecting a wide receiver (Sweed) earlier in the round. Cherilus has struggled in hisfirst year on the left side and in a new system. A team patient enough to rebuild his confidence -- which probably includes moving him back to ROT -- couldreap the rewards.

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[h2]New England Patriots[/h2]Current record: 12-0
Scouts Inc.'s three biggest needs: ILB, CB, OLB
Projected pick: Pick forfeited.


http://insider.espn.go.com/nfl/draf...y_todd&id=3144001&lpos=spotlight&lid=tab3pos1
 
i don't think the eagles will take a wr in the 1st round this year, and laurinaitis at 3???
 
I totally agree that the Pats need some help in the LB corp, but Chris Long is a beast.
Chris Long, Laurinaitis, or Mcfadden? damn tough choice right there.
I see the Pats trading the pick away though.

-J-
 
My 'Phins need to trade down into the #5-#8 range to stockpile more picks, and draft Jake Long.

And IMO, the 1st rounder the Pats should have to forfeit is the first 1st rounder they have, i.e. the one that' gonna be a top-5 selection, and not thelast pick of the 1st which is basically a 2nd.
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Originally Posted by raw120

i don't think the eagles will take a wr in the 1st round this year, and laurinaitis at 3???

I think they will.
The Pats are not taking McFadden because they will not pay their first round pick that kind of money. I think they go with Long, andif Long isn't there, they trade down.
 
I'm not so sure about Dorsey as the number 1 pick but whatever. Good to see my dude Talib still in the first round.
 
Does another team get the patriots pick? If not woulnt that throw off the pay scale? I mean the 32nd pick of the 1st round has to make more than the 1st pick of the 2nd
I think the slot is vacated.

In the NBA, when the TWolves forfeited their #1 pick (like 4 times) the spot was vacant and actually the agents of the players who went #1 in the second roundwere ALWAYS trying to say their client should have the 1st rd guarantee because of the dead spot, it happened every year. I dont think they won their casesthough.

Say though the Phins have the 1st pick in the 2nd round. They are going to want to pay the money that is slotted for that spot, not one spot higher. They willsay its not their fault the Pats cheated and they technically should be having the 1st pick in the 2nd round so thats where the pay scale should be at. I dunnotho
 
well well well, what can I say. Mr. McShay ...
why would Ellis not fit in the Jets 3-4 one gap scheme, but he fits in Marvin Lewis's 3-4 one gap scheme ...

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who remembers over the summer when McShay said Andre Woodson's lack of height is a MAJOR CONCERN
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I know he is a big time system QB, but i think Brennan should be first round




I know he would be a nice pick for my Bears if they cant get a guy like McNabb or if rex dont work out.
 
Originally Posted by GUNNA GET IT

well well well, what can I say. Mr. McShay ...
why would Ellis not fit in the Jets 3-4 one gap scheme, but he fits in Marvin Lewis's 3-4 one gap scheme ...

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who remembers over the summer when McShay said Andre Woodson's lack of height is a MAJOR CONCERN
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Well, ol' Todd says they run a two-gap....
And I remember that height +%#%....Ain't Dre like 6-5 ????

No noles in the 1st round, but 2 'Caines and 1 Gayturd
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My, my , my.....He got my dude Limas Going before Malcolm Kelly...
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why would the Pats take McFadden when their needs lie in the defense? and the 1st rd happens to be full of defensive playmakers.
 
more proof the nfl is out to help the pats

them cheaters should of got the niners pik taken away but goodwell is so far up belechick...
 
Originally Posted by kobeskool2009

more proof the nfl is out to help the pats

them cheaters should of got the niners pik taken away but goodwell is so far up belechick...
mad much? maybe you wouldnt feel this way, if he didn't accept you guys HC position and then resign the next day.
 
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at laurinaitis going 3rd. dude is overrated as hell. desean aint going to be the #1 wr taken and sweed aint going before kelly.

Animal at 3 is a big stretch, unless he runs like a 4.4
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which I dont see happenin,
Desean busts a 4.3 and he might be 1st WR off the board.
I honestly dont see what people see in Sweed.

IMO 5 - 7 QBs going in the 1st round

ATL
KC
BAL
CARO
DET
S.F
and a couple strong possibles.
 
the Pats shouldnt lose the #2 pick, seeing as how it was traded to them. They lose their original draft slot only, the commish cant deny them an asset theyacquired via trade, as that would then make the trade void (just my thought on that).
 
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