OFFICIAL STOCK MARKET AND ECONOMY THREAD VOL. A NEW CHAPTER

I think about this all the time, not only because of the taxes but also because there is no RMD. Right now, I have a traditional 401k with a Roth IRA, but maybe one day, I will flip it all.

Playing the tax arbitrage game, though there is no real right answer.
Yeah I’d prob need to do it in a few phases
 
I tried one year to max out a Roth 401k. I don't think I can afford it. But one day hopefully.

I’m about to job hop and the bump is where I’m actually thinking I do the Roth 401k finally. Take home wouldn’t be affected compared to current gig if I do it. But man not seeing the payoff for another 20+ years sucks.

But like you mentioned a few pages back, taxes will have to be raised to pay for things so it’s the long term right outlook if one can afford it.
 
Better question. What’s your conviction on palantir that has you wanting to dump it all in for 2025?
Very simplistic but I believe in the AI trade and who else to benefit but the company using AI to help the government spy on us.
 
Very simplistic but I believe in the AI trade and who else to benefit but the company using AI to help the government spy on us.

Hey since you’re in wealth management you may have done some research on this.

So say I move to a company that offers a ESPP with a 15% discount. Strike price is lowest of either day one of period or last day of period. With a 10% contribution max. Have you done any research or is there a good source where I can analyze maybe difference of maxing this out vs 401k first? Am curious to see what is best prioritized. If you’re curious about the stock of the firm I maybe joining. It underperformed the S&P by around 8% since 2015 cumulatively.
 
Please explain how a slight news about Broadcom developing AI created a tsunami today while an established and reputable AI maker like NVDA can barely tread water with even better and larger news 🤷🏽‍♂️
 
Please explain how a slight news about Broadcom developing AI created a tsunami today while an established and reputable AI maker like NVDA can barely tread water with even better and larger news 🤷🏽‍♂️
The implications of china invading Taiwan are going to outweigh everything until they can’t get manufacturing stateside
 
Hey since you’re in wealth management you may have done some research on this.

So say I move to a company that offers a ESPP with a 15% discount. Strike price is lowest of either day one of period or last day of period. With a 10% contribution max. Have you done any research or is there a good source where I can analyze maybe difference of maxing this out vs 401k first? Am curious to see what is best prioritized. If you’re curious about the stock of the firm I maybe joining. It underperformed the S&P by around 8% since 2015 cumulatively.
I have. The answer is simpler than one thinks, too. We run a Monte Carlo on the Pre-Tax S&P 500 vs. after-tax venture private equity to help properly assess the risk of the single stock concentration (we can also use another index as a proxy if someone is trying to get specific about it).

The S&P 500 outpaces in all outcomes except the 90th percentile and above because of the diversification and pre-tax benefit.

I just changed my 401k allocations yesterday after talking with broncos19dm broncos19dm about it for an hour. I added an allocation to company stock back in. I'm constructive on banks in 2025. Deregulation and cap markets are opening back up. I am a fan of concentration, it's how one gets wealthy. If this was a Roth 401k, I'm prob leaning toward ESSP, a 15% inherent buffer is crazy. I have to buy company stock at cost and it bothers me to no end.
 
Thinking about adding exposure to UBER OKLO and IONQ

UBER is getting beat up on nonsense. The infrastructure already established is valuable and makes UBER a takeover candidate from GOOGL if anything

OKLO has a high upside opportunity to do something special by utilizing recycled nuclear waste to power SMRs for data centers

And IONQ is a leader in quantum (still need more conviction on this one at this valuation) which is a hot theme and is in a stage 2 incline.
 
I mean QUBT just multiplied to levels in less than a year that NVDA took 5+ years to do. Did they just discover the cure for cancer and GOAT level computing machines?!
 
If they pull back 50%, I’d buy. I’m in no rush and have enough high beta exposure. These companies are pre revenue and probably won’t exist in the long term (buyouts at best). We see this every few years. 3d printers, car-t, EV’s, etc.

I’d also love to get some RKLB exposure on a big dip. But as a whole, these stocks are gambles and I’m literally throwing 1% of my account at them.
 
Thats how i feel bro. I’d do the same as you (small buy if it dips in half just to gamble). There’s no concrete reason IMO that it jumped like crazy; solely based on speculation.
 
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