OFFICIAL STOCK MARKET AND ECONOMY THREAD VOL. A NEW CHAPTER



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The new $AMT (they're major investors too)
Major banks picking up coverage, FCC approval, DOD approval, 1st ever successful sat to regular cell 4g/5g broadband test from deadzone in Maui to Tokyo call and zoom call. $100 is just the beginning.
I remember following it as a spac and felt it was fake garbage, but if it’s becoming a real business, that’s pretty cool. They’re gonna dilute the **** out of shareholders as it goes up,and rightfully so, so just be ready for offerings and all of those games.
 
Never done options before, but I'm confident that a large healthcare company will decrease -10%+ in 2025 (second half 2025).

Is the best way to maximize gains for this option to do a long term put on a day the stock pumps (receive better options?). Better to have longer term or shorter term put option?
 
Never done options before, but I'm confident that a large healthcare company will decrease -10%+ in 2025 (second half 2025).

Is the best way to maximize gains for this option to do a long term put on a day the stock pumps (receive better options?). Better to have longer term or shorter term put option?

Which company is this?
 
Never done options before, but I'm confident that a large healthcare company will decrease -10%+ in 2025 (second half 2025).

Is the best way to maximize gains for this option to do a long term put on a day the stock pumps (receive better options?). Better to have longer term or shorter term put option?

Long term options are a little more tricky, you're losing money (time value) everyday so if your timing is off that 10% dip may not net you much, or as much.

When a stock pumps (or drops) options become more expensive. Any % movement up or down that is outside of its normal or historical range of movement will increase volatility value. When the stock drops back in to its normal range of daily movements that volatility value evaporates.

Your other options are straight up shorting the stock if your broker will allow you. Or finding an inverse healthcare ETF with a high weighting of your particular healthcare company in it.
 
Which company is this?
Abbott

Long term options are a little more tricky, you're losing money (time value) everyday so if your timing is off that 10% dip may not net you much, or as much.

When a stock pumps (or drops) options become more expensive. Any % movement up or down that is outside of its normal or historical range of movement will increase volatility value. When the stock drops back in to its normal range of daily movements that volatility value evaporates.

Your other options are straight up shorting the stock if your broker will allow you. Or finding an inverse healthcare ETF with a high weighting of your particular healthcare company in it.
So it would be best for me to wait until the dump is imminent (or close as possible) and start up my put option then to maximize gain?
 
Abbott


So it would be best for me to wait until the dump is imminent (or close as possible) and start up my put option then to maximize gain?

Ideally yes, but can you do that? I'm not one to advocate gambling with stock options but as long as you're aware of the risks.
 
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ASTS: UBS upgrades Price Target to $30 from $13 and maintains Buy rating. "While UBS still sees AST SpaceMobile as a high-risk, high-reward investment, initial U.S. regulatory approval, the imminent launch of its first commercial satellites, and partner/funding progress add to the firm's conviction in the commercialization and scalability of AST's plans, the analyst tells investors in a research note."

B. Riley upgrades Price Target to $26 from $15 and maintains Buy Rating."The company took advantage of strong stock performance to raise $80M, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The firm says AST is "armed with ample cash" and $51.5M of additional liquidity available to draw on its senior secured facility as it gears up for launch of its first five Block 1 BlueBird satellites. Riley believes AST remains the clear leader in the race to enable true direct-to-device broadband connectivity."

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Every year I go through this logic exercise, should I keep maxing out my 401k or just go up to the company match. I usually arrive at the conclusion to keep maxing it (and its a traditional), but I'm actually really starting to worry about the deficit/US's need to start raising tax rates.

Next year I'm gonna try and flip to Roth 401k, but who knows. My 401k is my beta exposure, so there is that component to it as well.
 
Every year I go through this logic exercise, should I keep maxing out my 401k or just go up to the company match. I usually arrive at the conclusion to keep maxing it (and its a traditional), but I'm actually really starting to worry about the deficit/US's need to start raising tax rates.

Next year I'm gonna try and flip to Roth 401k, but who knows. My 401k is my beta exposure, so there is that component to it as well.

Yea I’ve been debating this as well but losing about 800 per month would hurt.
 
Every year I go through this logic exercise, should I keep maxing out my 401k or just go up to the company match. I usually arrive at the conclusion to keep maxing it (and its a traditional), but I'm actually really starting to worry about the deficit/US's need to start raising tax rates.

Next year I'm gonna try and flip to Roth 401k, but who knows. My 401k is my beta exposure, so there is that component to it as well.
Do you anticipate having a pension or any other taxable income streams aside from RMDs in retirement? If so, look into the Roth. Might be worth it to pay the tax upfront to stay in a lower tax bracket later in life.

Either way, keep maxing out the 401k if you are in a position to do so.
 
Yea I’ve been debating this as well but losing about 800 per month would hurt.
Yup... Feels like a trap TBH. Not to mention that your 401k being taxed at ordinary income, when all of the increase is technically Cap Gains feels like a scam to me. But yeah its a lot of money to just give up to taxes.

The taxes is why I started maxing it in the first place honestly. I did the math and the tax arbitrage is significant.
Do you anticipate having a pension or any other taxable income streams aside from RMDs in retirement? If so, look into the Roth. Might be worth it to pay the tax upfront to stay in a lower tax bracket later in life.

Either way, keep maxing out the 401k if you are in a position to do so.
Nah no pensions or anything to speak of. Will be living off the portfolio when it comes down to it (Trad 401k, Roth IRA, taxable).
 
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