NT: Sportsbook Thread

Originally Posted by venom lyrix

got the Yankees ML today

I like the over in the SF v PHI game later

and really thinking bout Oregon -24 tomorrow at home
i really like oregon. after seeing what cal did to ucla...
 
Hmm.. stupid Canucks kept me from recovering all of yesterdas losses and then some. Oh well, 2-1 not too bad.

Halladay vs Lincecum tomorrow. O/U is 5.5. My god.. i've never seen a baseball total THAT low.
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Originally Posted by bjm5295

Hmm.. stupid Canucks kept me from recovering all of yesterdas losses and then some. Oh well, 2-1 not too bad.

Halladay vs Lincecum tomorrow. O/U is 5.5. My god.. i've never seen a baseball total THAT low.
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Game 1 was also 5.5 which went over with 7.


Lost 5 pts juice last night as I split on NHL.  Was sweating that Blackhawks game with them winning in a shootout for a game I paid heavier juice on.


As for tonight's college game, I understand if you don't want to play UCLA, but I can't see taking Oregon at this point.  The game opened at -21.0 and now is at -25.5.  You lost any value on this game a long time ago.


Locked in my NHL plays for tonight early:
Coyotes -115 2 units
Lightning o 5.5 -120 2 units
 
Here are my picks for this weekend in college. I'm extremely confident this will be a huge week. I went 4-3 last week, which puts me at 21-10 on the year in college.

Notre Dame vs. Navy (+6.5)

 Notre has won three in a row and has looked good in doing so. However, they’ve lost their TE for the year, their second best receiver is out and their top guy is hampered by a hamstring. Navy is fundamentally sound and does not turn the ball over. Most of ND’s takeaways come via the pass. Navy does not pass and despite the injuries on offense for ND, will have to maximize every opportunity to drive the ball as Navy can eat up the clock. Not sure they can do that for a full four quarters. Navy has won 3 of the last 4 meetings in this long standing rivalry making me believe that even if Navy loses, they’ll keep it close.

Penn St. vs. Minnesota (+9.5)

 In keeping it simple, both teams are a disappointment this year. This is purely an instinctive play on my part due mainly to the fact that I’ve always been high on Minnesota’s Adam Weber to keep them in games with his arm. Tack on some possible inspiration with a coaching change and I think they keep it closer than 9.5 points.

Wisconsin (+5.5) vs. Iowa

 The big matchup in this game is on the front line. Wisconsin has one of the best offensive lines and Iowa’s one of the best on the defensive line. If Wisconsin wants to keep this game close they have to establish a run game. And they have the backs to do just that. If their beasts up front can create any type of room, this game will probably go Wisconsin’s way. After their good performance against Ohio State, the Badgers will come into Iowa with a nothing to lose mentality and keep the momentum rolling. Iowa will be tight early on and ultimately, I see this game going Wisconsin’s way.

LSU (+6) vs. Auburn

 I’m not betting against Cam Newton, but I am betting that LSU’s defense can find a way to contain him better than their predecessors. No matter what you say or think about LSU’s team, in the end they’ve found ways to win. Their defense is studly and this game should not be any different. Jefferson and Lee have talent and I’m betting that one of them steps up just enough to keep this game competitive as the weakness on this Tiger team is their defense. Look for a typical SEC slugfest with the game coming down to a few key plays in the 4[sup]th[/sup] quarter. I'll take LSU and the points.

North Carolina vs. Miami (-6.5)

 North Carolina is now playing like the team people thought they would be coming into the year. After all the suspensions and the circus that’s going on at Chapel Hill, the Tar Heels have found a way to utilize all the talent that remains to compete in the ACC. However, the suspensions and injuries are about to loom large in this game. Miami is a good team and has a very good defense and will get back on the winning track after being embarrased by FSU two weeks ago. Yates can’t get around this and I think the problems UNC has had early on catches up to them. Miami covers at home.



Washington (+6.5) vs. Arizona.

 Point blank, Washington has caught Arizona at the right time. Foles is out and Washington has gained a lot of confidence during their three pac 10 games. Going 2-1 beating both USC and Oregon State their passing game is finally starting to show itself and their defense is playing a lot better. Arizona still has the talent to take this game, but Washington is on  mission right now and they'll cover. Probably will win. Regardless of the outcome, this will be a close game.



Nebraska vs. Oklahoma St. (+5.5)

Ok St. returns home for the first time this month! What better game for homecoming than the Cornhuskers? Oklahoma State flies under the radar because of their main departures in QB Robinson and  WR Dez Bryant, but they still have Kendall Hunter and they still play very good football. They've played some pass heavy teams and have defended them well. Nebraska currently has an identity problem and no matter which way they turn, Ok St is going to put up a huge fight. Nebraska is still a good team, but this is the point in the year where they become separated from the true contenders. Take Oklahoma State straight up.



Book 'em!
  
 
1 unit on UCLA +26.5.  May add some by gametime.


I like this writeup:

As much as I love Oregon, as much as I think Autzen Stadium is one of the toughest stadiums for visiting teams, and as much as UCLA has been wildly inconsietent this year, I just cannot lay this incredibly inflated price with the newly-minted top-ranked Ducks. How inflated is this line? Back in June, Oregon was a 10-point favorite in this game. When the numbers came out this week, Oregon was laying 21. And by Wednesday evening, the line had crossed 24 and hit 25 in some spots.


Translation: There is absolutely no value in laying the chalk with the home team, even if that team is 6-0 with six double-digit wins and has scored at least 42 points in every game (as the Ducks have). After all, since blowing through its three non-conference games – wins over New Mexico, Tennessee and Portland State by a combined tally of 189-13 – Oregon has found the going much tougher. The Ducks rallied to win 42-31 at Arizona State (failing to cover as an 11½-point road favorite); they fell behind Stanford 21-0 and rallied to win 52-31; and they even got behind crappy Washington State, coming back to post a comfortable 43-23 win but failing to cover as a 36½-point road chalk.


So while Oregon’s first three Pac-10 games have all resulted in sizeable victories, not one was by more than 21 points.


Meanwhile, UCLA started the season with ugly losses to Kansas State (31-22 on the road) and Stanford (35-0 at home) and looked hedaded for another long season. But the Bruins rallied to beat nationally ranked Houston (31-13), nationally ranked Texas (34-12) and Washington State (42-28), putting up gaudy rushing numbers in the process. Then, just as it looked like UCLA was hitting its stride, it went to Cal two Saturdays ago and got clobbered 35-7 as a 7½-point underdog (the same Cal that followed up the UCLA win with a 48-7 loss at USC on Saturday).

So why take a shot with the Bruins tonight? More than anything they have a one-dimensional offense – all they do is run the football, averaging 223 yards per game (5.2 yards per game). That pales in comparison to Oregon’s rushing attack (321.2 yards per game, 6.6 yards per carry), but it means that UCLA should be able to control the football (and thus the clock) and shorten the game (the Ducks’ defense is giving up 159.3 rushing ypg in Pac-10 play).

Two more positives for the Bruins: They’ve been very competitive against Oregon recently, losing three of the last four meetings but those three losses were by 14, 7 and 10 points. And its last three trips to Autzen have resulned in two losses (31-24 and 30-20) and a victory (34-26 as an 8½-point underdog). Also, the road team and underdog are both on a 6-2 ATS roll in this series.

Oregon wins, and wins comfortably again, but not by as big a margin as the oddsmakers suggest – look for something along the lines of 37-21.
 
i'm tempted to call in a bet on ucla but god damn that oregon home field advantage at night is something serious.....i know ucla is gonna try their best to control the clock but i feel like they need to score at least 17 points to cover and i honestly don't know if they can do it....

now that i typed this ima just sit this one out and just watch the game ....good luck to both sides
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i
 
Love the Minnesota and LSU plays, Paul. (Well, I don't really love the anti-Penn St play, but I agree with it).
 
4-2 today. my 2 losses coming from teams i root for. i seriously need to stop rationalizing a win from them and look at things more logically.
 
taking the Yankees ML tomorrow to send it to game 7.

The Yankees hit Cj Wilson hard the 2nd time they saw him, I expect more of the same when they face Colby Lewis for a 2nd time. Hughes was solid in his last start, and if you guys remember Hughes was throwing 6 no hit innings in Texas a couple yrs ago before he pulled a hammy. I know thats probably not relevant but I always remember that when Hughes plays in Texas.

go get em Yanks
 
Yankees/ Rangers Over 9

Lightning +110
Senators/ Sabers Over 5.5
Wild/ Canucks Over 5.5

Knicks/ Raptors Over 208
Magic -8.5
Grizzlies -2.5

South Florida +8.5
 
Originally Posted by Cels The YoungGod

I wanna go with the Yankees tonight but I don't know if that's just the fan in me
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im leaning towards the yanks. the bats came alive the previous game and i think momentum will ride towards this game as well.
 
bron probably playing less minutes since he logged heavy mins last night against the hawks...
 
Originally Posted by ryanbbn23

Magic are -9.5 vs the heat tonight. Lebron not playing?

LeBron is playing but the Magics have a 20+ game exhibition win streak so I would stay away from that game; it's a tough call
 
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