***$$$-NT Sportsbook Thread vol.2- Props props props props props props... EVERYBODY!

[olx9o]

Nice xmas day yall! Good teamwork.

 

[stork]

 

[TheGodFresco]

Hit on an OKC, Miami ML, and warriors/clips Over

 

[vtotheinay]

wow good day today. took a 3 team parlay, Chi ML, OKC ML, and Mia ML. hit on that, then hit on over/under 206.5 on GS/LAC. then made 2 in game bets, 2nd quarter i took 1u on GS +6 and 4th quarter took 1u on GS -1.5 again cause i felt they would win by at least 2/3. hit on everything. feels good man

 

[prez t]

everyone for the most part did well on NBA bets in here

its starting to become apparent to me that people are hitting more than 50% when following the NT consensus . lets keep it up fellas

what are your thoughts on the two bowl games tonight

BGU -5.5 vs. Pitt
Utah State vs UNI pk

paging 651akathepaul

for the NBA , im liking Dallas +3.5 vs. Spurs and Trailblazers ML vs. Clippers

 

[JL415]

Im liking blazers -4.5 with clippers on a back to back. Also liking hawks -2.5

 

[xxpizzo]

bout to cash out its crazy what 50$ turned into what a way to end my year. Gonna start fresh for the new year ( next gamble is only going to be on the Superbowl) 

Also put 100$ on the Eagles at +2400 to win the superbowl

Good luck to the rest of yall doe

 

[651akathepaul]

Good work, xxpizzo. Smart to take a break while you're ahead as well.


Prez: I'm going to take a look the matchups today in more detail and get back here with my thoughts.



And I fogot who the poster was, but I asked for that predictions book by Nate Silver (The Signal and the Noise) for Christmas and I got it! Just started it. Seems like a compelling read, so good looks on that one.

 

[DeadsetAce]

bout to cash out its crazy what 50$ turned into what a way to end my year. Gonna start fresh for the new year ( next gamble is only going to be on the Superbowl) 

Also put 100$ on the Eagles at +2400 to win the superbowl

Good luck to the rest of yall doe

props man

 

[olx9o]

Good stuff xpizzo, prez t, everybody else.
I'm also up 1000% for the year tryna make that 10,000%.
Tybg time to check the lines

 

[mr marcus]

 
bout to cash out its crazy what 50$ turned into what a way to end my year. Gonna start fresh for the new year ( next gamble is only going to be on the Superbowl) 

Also put 100$ on the Eagles at +2400 to win the superbowl

Good luck to the rest of yall doe

wish I could bow out after being up lol....the 2 week break I did take was the longest in awhile....enjoy your winnings


thinking about pitt/bsu over 50 (personally think this total is a few points higher than it's suppose to be) .....idk I have 4 hours to mull over it 

Edit: think ima pass on the game and see if I like a 2nd half play

 

[prez t]

now BGU is giving 7 points i/o 5.5 and Utah State is giving 1/5 i/o a pk from this AM ...

edit -- seems like a lot of people are buying .5 and betting Pitt +7.5

 

[stork]

And I fogot who the poster was, but I asked for that predictions book by Nate Silver (The Signal and the Noise) for Christmas and I got it! Just started it. Seems like a compelling read, so good looks on that one.

I posted about it a while back. glad you are enjoying it. I'm around halfway through the book, it really gets better and better as you read. I like how he floats in and out of theory, then back to an example.

I'm sitting until sunday comes, most likely will make a play on the eagles -6 and take advantage of romo's absence

 

[651akathepaul]

^I thought it was you, but wasn't 100%. I'm gonna dig into a lot more of the weekend, but as you say, it's already apparent that he backs up theory with real life applications. Thanks again.

The line movement has been crazy.

Pitt +7 and UTST/NIU Under 56.5

The MAC is garbage. Bowling Green looks amazing on paper, with a stud on every level of the defense (DL, LB, DB) and their offense is balanced. At 4.5 I was seriously considering BG, but the public is all over these guys. Pittsburgh played much better competition while BG got a way with one of the easiest schedules in the nation...And they play in the MAC. Pittsburgh destroys the MAC (26-3 all-time). Pitt is out a receiver and a few O-line, but they have a quarterback that can move the ball and I really like that about Savage. He can get it done. BG might win this, but getting 7 points is a gift when a team plays MAC competition and betting history sides with the Panthers here (.666 or greater MAC bowlers off a SU win have failed to cash a ticket in four straight tries and ACC bowl dogs off a loss are 17-4-1 ATS, including 12-1 ATS as dogs of +3.5 or more points). Gimme Pitt plus the 7.

People know about Jordan Lynch. He can run very well. He passes okay too, but his go-to is his legs. Utah State has a very good defense (ranks 12th in total D, 9th in rushing D, and 7th in scoring D). Bowling Green could contain Lynch in the MAC Championship game and overall their defense isn't as good as Utah State. UTST also played a much tougher schedule and played some good competition and still had very good defensive numbers. On their offense though, they lost their starting Q and are relying on a true freshmen. They're not totally inept, but they won't light it up either. These factors play right into the under in my opinion.

Just locked it in, but noting that I did an If Bet. I'm most confident in the under bet so I put that first and Pitt +7 as the second action.

 

[olx9o]

Hawks ML

 

[prez t]

Paul coming through

3u on Pitt and 2u on the UTST/NIU under

going to post my NBA bets later

 

[postup23]

Just starting back up again yest for the new year
went 2-0, rockets & over on the gsw/clips games

today I'm looking at spurs -1.5 in first half and rockets/memphis under 99 in the first half

 

[pauliepeppas]

Nice write up Paul, going with Pitt 7.5 bought the hook

 

[prez t]

2 team parlay

Hawks -2
Blazers ML

 

[DeadsetAce]

651 and Prez...riding your bets tonight in a mixed teaser:

Dec 26 09:30 PM EST - Football NCAA - 216 Utah State Aggies / No Illinois Huskies Under 62 for Game (taking 6 points)
Dec 26 10:35 PM EST - Basketball NBA - 508 Portland Trail Blazers -½ for Game (taking 4 points)

for some reason, mixed teaser was the only option available. typically there's a whole bunch of teaser options. was ideally looking for a 3 point teaser.


let's get it

 

[651akathepaul]

Added Utah st. -2.

Line shifted heavily in No. Illinois favor, yet all the publics money is on them...The books f'd up initially...UT ST is the play...and the under.

 

[mr marcus]

Got bored at work last night and put 50 online...started off 8-0 and up like 1100

Guess I made a good return...just wondering how much money I skipped out on being the local recently (less options)

Hopefully I take it to 9-0 with clippers +4.5 ...prob jinxed my self tho

 

[DeadsetAce]

651...you're the tom brady of this thread...so clutch

 

[651akathepaul]

Gisele. *licks lips*

 

[651akathepaul]

Tomorrow should be a fun day. Back to work though so I gotta multi task to get my studies in.

First blush is Marshall, Minnesota or Under and UW/BYU Over