***Official Los Angeles Dodgers 2024 Thread*** Thank you Fat Joe: Los Angeles Dodgers World Series Champions!!!!

Glued on, but at least they’re embroidered patches and not those crappy felt or plastic ones from years before.
2017 and 2018 were plastic or whatever they’re called, 2020 and 2024 are glued on patches
 

paywalled. anyone? :nerd:
It's a wall of text, so I just copied and pastied the blurbs on Soto, Dodger free agents and potential Dodger targets. LMK if there's someone you want to specifically read.

1. Juan Soto, OF
2024 Team: New York Yankees
2025 Opening Day Age: 26
Projected Contract: 13 years, $611 million ($47M average annual value)
Soto is a generational free agent at the top of this class, and I've written a ton about his potential contract. I solicited predictions from 28 industry insiders in June, ranked him atop the whole free agent class in August and collected predictions from 15 industry insiders last week, helping to shape that projected total guarantee of $611 million.
This will be the biggest contract Scott Boras has ever negotiated, blowing Bryce Harper's $330 million deal from 2019 out of the water. I think the numbers to beat for Boras/Soto are the deferral-adjusted (aka NPV) total and yearly average (AAV) from Shohei Ohtani's deal: $460.8 million and $46.08 million. From there, it seems that maximizing the top-line number will be the primary goal, with deferring money or adding years the tools for that. If things don't get to the numbers Boras is expecting, adding opt-outs will be the tool to use. I would not be surprised if Soto gets a heavily deferred contract totaling more than $700 million in nominal value, but there's also a chance a bidding war doesn't materialize and it ends up under $600 million. It comes down to how aggressive the Yankees, Mets and other potential suitors want to be for the clear headliner of the winter, or if they see a combination of the below alternatives more attractive.

2. Roki Sasaki, RHP
2024 Team: Chiba Lotte Marines
2025 Opening Day Age: 23
Projected Contract: $5 million (signing bonus in a minor league deal)
With indications pointing to Sasaki joining this year's class, we'll include him here as he immediately would be among the most sought-after players available. Given the rules in place for players coming over from Japan before they turn 25 years old, it doesn't make any financial sense for him to get his club to post him this year because, like Shohei Ohtani, he would be limited to the international bonus pools that are all under $8 million; if he comes after Dec. 15, the pools reset and he could get as much as $7 million or so, but if he comes before he'll be limited to roughly $2.5 million at most.
Coincidentally, the team with that roughly $2.5 million remaining in its pool, the most in baseball, is the Dodgers: They are heavily favored to land Sasaki just as they landed Ohtani and Yoshinobu Yamamoto last offseason. There are some complicating factors for the Dodgers this time, though: Some scouts think Sasaki would prefer a smaller market, and his velocity was down this year, leading some to believe he's nursing an injury. But teams would be bidding on all of the traditional peak years of a pitcher who has been elite for years. That's easily worth $200 million to almost any team, but he'll come at a giant discount. That gambit paid off for Ohtani and could also pay off for Sasaki, or he could wait two offseasons and get a big payday up front, like Yamamoto did.

3. Corbin Burnes, RHP
2024 Team: Baltimore Orioles
2025 Opening Day Age: 30
Projected Contract: 7 years, $225 million ($32.1M AAV)
Burnes is the top free agent pitcher with MLB experience on the market and comes with the normal concerns most high-end free agent starters offer: He's already 30 years old, and a team will have to guarantee him at least five years. Burnes will get paid because he has been durable (28 to 33 starts each of the past four years), throws strikes at an elite rate, still has a strong (but declining) strikeout rate, and throws with velocity that is still climbing (career high 95.3 mph average on his cutter, 97.0 mph on his sinker in 2024) with stuff grades to match.
This is a typical deal in which the team that signs him will be hoping to win the first half of the contract, ideally with deep playoff runs and a ring, then wishing for health on the back half of the contract -- but Burnes does appear to be aging better than the average nine-figure pitcher. He's widely expected to clear $200 million with Stephen Strasburg's $245 million deal, which included significant deferrals, before the 2020 season (also represented by Scott Boras, like Burnes is) as the stretch goal. Surpassing that mark would give Burnes the third-biggest pitcher guarantee ever (behind Gerrit Cole and Yamamoto).

4. Willy Adames, SS
2024 Team: Milwaukee Brewers
2025 Opening Day Age: 29
Projected Contract: 7 years, $189 million ($27M AAV)
On the heels of a strong 2024 season in Milwaukee, Adames has floated to the top of this position player group with Alex Bregman just behind him. Adames is about a year and a half younger than Bregman and also offers more defensive value and in-game power. I'd expect something like the Marcus Semien deal (seven years, $175 million before the 2022 season) adjusted for inflation for both of them, even though neither player is an exact comp to the Texas infielder on the field.
There wasn't a real everyday shortstop in last year's free agent class, so Adames is the first true shortstop to hit the market since the 2022-23 bonanza that included Carlos Correa, Trea Turner, Dansby Swanson and Xander Bogaerts. Interest in Adames will be high because he can fit into a lot of situations, whether it is staying at shortstop or moving to third base for a team already set at the position.

9. Jack Flaherty, RHP
2024 Team: Los Angeles Dodgers
2025 Opening Day Age: 29
Projected Contract: 5 years, $115 million ($23M AAV)
Flaherty's 2024 performance was much more in line with the strong start to his career than his 2023 struggles before hitting free agency last winter. In short, he improved his fastball shape, used it in the zone more to get ahead, then threw more breaking balls out of the zone for chases. It sounds simple, but baseball can be simple. Flaherty is younger than the other elite starters on the market but has just one recent season of this level of performance along with merely average fastball velocity (93.4 mph), so his longer-term prospects are more as a No. 2 or No. 3 starter than potential ace, thus the lower projected AAV than Corbin Burnes and Blake Snell -- but still on a five-year deal.

13. Teoscar Hernandez, OF
2024 Team: Los Angeles Dodgers
2025 Opening Day Age: 32
Projected Contract: 3 years, $66 million ($22M AAV)
After signing a one-year contract coming off a down year in Seattle, Hernandez helped his stock with a strong rebound campaign with the World Series champion Dodgers. His age and limited defensive value will likely limit the length of his deal, so a three-year deal with an AAV in the range of the $23.5 million he got last winter seems about right.

18. Walker Buehler, RHP
2024 Team: Los Angeles Dodgers
2025 Opening Day Age: 30
Projected Contract: 3 years, $54 million (18 AAV)
Buehler underwent some changes in his return from Tommy John surgery, likely making him more of a finesse No. 3 starter than the power-based ace he was in the past. That said, he started to find himself late in the season and into the playoffs, so taking the qualifying offer seemed like his best move: he can post a full healthy season as his new self in 2025 and hit the market with no QO attached, maybe getting close to $100 million if everything goes right. But something funny happened yesterday: the Dodgers didn't offer the QO. Now Buehler hits the market without the QO attached, but as a potential buy-low candidate for a strong pitching development team.

35. Blake Treinen, RHP
2024 Team: Los Angeles Dodgers
2025 Opening Day Age: 36
Projected Contract: 2 years, $23 million ($11.5M AAV)
Treinen is on the older side and has dealt with injury issues over the years, but he still has a hellacious slider and has been near untouchable since 2020. I'd expect him to return to the Dodgers on a one- or two-year deal.
 
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