NT: Sportsbook Thread

Originally Posted by JUS3

Lately I've been playing a lot of games (5-6 games) on NCAA/NBA... I've been doing pretty well, but today was all bad..
smh.gif


Do you guys think it's better to play 2 or 3 games and put more money?

Just wondering what methods you guys are using..
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2 games, and more money. The MOST I would ever do is 3. And that's only during the NFL season (I feel confident and more knowledgeable in that sport than any other). Playing over 3 teams is playing right into "the books" hands.
  
 
whats going on people, been gone the last 3 days, i was in AC.

But im back for championship saturday, lets make this bread
 
Originally Posted by NuJerzLoyalty

Originally Posted by JUS3

Lately I've been playing a lot of games (5-6 games) on NCAA/NBA... I've been doing pretty well, but today was all bad..
smh.gif


Do you guys think it's better to play 2 or 3 games and put more money?

Just wondering what methods you guys are using..
Click to expand...

2 games, and more money. The MOST I would ever do is 3. And that's only during the NFL season (I feel confident and more knowledgeable in that sport than any other). Playing over 3 teams is playing right into "the books" hands.
  
Click to expand...

Typically you're right. In fact, most suggest focusing your bets into one conference/league/division so that you have that familiarity and you some-what know what you're talking about as opposed to just betting all over the board in hopes of getting lucky.
I tend to be the latter of those two and like to bet small and spread my bets over a whole bunch of games. So far so good in my betting career. Especially baseball.

Here's what I have for the first half of today:

Houston vs. UTEP (Hou +7.5)

Boston vs. Vermont (Under 135)

Rhode Island vs. Temple (Under 127.5)

Tennessee vs. Kentucky (Tenn +5)

Illinois vs. Ohio St. (Under 128)

Richmond vs. Xavier (Over 136.5)

Vanderbilt vs. Mississippi St. (Miss St. +2)

Lots of over/under plays so far today. It just happened like that.
 
Alright here is what I have so far today....


Kentucky -2.5 (1H)
Kentucky -5
Duke/Miami ^131
Temple -3
Temple/Rhode Island ^58.5 (1H)
Illinois +8 & Under 130.5

Also thinking about Vandy -1.5  Probably too many plays as I usually like to play four at the most but I did well yesterday. Hoping to continue my hot streak.
 
Nonstop, you're the kenpom guy right? That site is dope. It's really helped me win some bets.

What is it that you look at to try and decipher which way to bet? I'm big on looking at how often a team gets to the line when going with an over/under and a whole combination of things factor into betting the spread for a particular team. I'm just curious as to the way you go about it because there is so much info there I'm not sure I know what to do with all of it. 
 
I'm liking that play, prob going to do it

I'm tryin to stack up on early college games for some NBA plays later
 
Played a couple more games. Wont help anyone some are over some are middle some just began but I had...

UTEP/HOU U79.5 (2H)
URI/TEMP U67.5 (2H)
DUKE/MIA ^72 (2H)
 
Originally Posted by SamB

Who likes Vandy over Mississippi St.?

Man Demarcus Cousin sucks at the line
Click to expand...

I'm high on Vandy this year but I've decided this is basically a toss up.  I wouldn't play MSU personally but I'm not placing anything on Vandy either.
 
Originally Posted by 651akathePaul

Nonstop, you're the kenpom guy right? That site is dope. It's really helped me win some bets.

What is it that you look at to try and decipher which way to bet? I'm big on looking at how often a team gets to the line when going with an over/under and a whole combination of things factor into betting the spread for a particular team. I'm just curious as to the way you go about it because there is so much info there I'm not sure I know what to do with all of it. 
Click to expand...
Yeah. I think I wrote something about that in here. I use that very regularly.   I would say my biggest thing I use when betting over/under atleast for full game is trends.  I will go back 5-6-8 years and research scores.  Also another very important thing is the venue.  It's something that a lot of people don't think about but certain venues (mostly talking neutral sites) especially ones that a much larger than what players are used to playing are good for unders.  Madison Square Garden for example is an under machine.  Doesn't always work as good for Big East tourney or I should say it does but don't expect Cuse to score 60 instead of 80. But teams taht shoot a lot of jumpers often have a hard time adjusting to venues with a lot of room behind the basket.  Also I look at offensive/defensive efficiency and pace of play.  People see games involving teams like Air Force with O/U of like 110 one 112 and think over but they play at such a snails pace often times unless there is 30+ fouls or teams shoot over 50% its not getting over because there just isnt enough possessions in the game if teams play to their pace.  And like you said I also look at where teams tend to get their points.  ex.  3 pt shooting team versus a team with good perimeter defenders.

I play a lot of second half over/under too but that has more to do with feel than anything.  Often times you can just tell from watching the game.  But more than anything it helps a lot no matter what your betting to know the teams.  I watch tons and tons and tons of games. Sometimes I watch three at the same time.  The better you know the teams the easier it is.  It's still definitely not easy and I'm not gonna come in here and claim that I know all and hit 70-80% like some people in here have because that's simply not possible. Maybe in one day or over the course of a week but its not sustainable. One day last year in NCAA I hit 16 games in a row one weekend.  I usually don't play that many games but I was hot so I road it out.  I also have gone 0-5 before in a day.


But there are all kinds of other factors that come in to play but I'm not about to write a novel on here but some other things to remember.

Situations (Key in NCAA especially earlier in season.  Look ahead games.  3 game weeks. etc,
Injuries.   (Try to find out as much as you about the teams recent games and possible injuries/suspensions.)
Meaning of Game (I don't think you can put a ton of weight on this but its still something to remember. Especially non-conference ex. small schools get up for games against bigger schools. For some its like there NCAA tourney.)


Hope some of this helps.  I am really tired today so so I'm sure I made some errors.

Good luck to everyone on their picks this weekend.  The most exciting time of the year.
pimp.gif
 
Originally Posted by Nonstoptalk

Originally Posted by 651akathePaul

Nonstop, you're the kenpom guy right? That site is dope. It's really helped me win some bets.

What is it that you look at to try and decipher which way to bet? I'm big on looking at how often a team gets to the line when going with an over/under and a whole combination of things factor into betting the spread for a particular team. I'm just curious as to the way you go about it because there is so much info there I'm not sure I know what to do with all of it. 
Click to expand...
Yeah. I think I wrote something about that in here. I use that very regularly.   I would say my biggest thing I use when betting over/under atleast for full game is trends.  I will go back 5-6-8 years and research scores.  Also another very important thing is the venue.  It's something that a lot of people don't think about but certain venues (mostly talking neutral sites) especially ones that a much larger than what players are used to playing are good for unders.  Madison Square Garden for example is an under machine.  Doesn't always work as good for Big East tourney or I should say it does but don't expect Cuse to score 60 instead of 80. But teams taht shoot a lot of jumpers often have a hard time adjusting to venues with a lot of room behind the basket.  Also I look at offensive/defensive efficiency and pace of play.  People see games involving teams like Air Force with O/U of like 110 one 112 and think over but they play at such a snails pace often times unless there is 30+ fouls or teams shoot over 50% its not getting over because there just isnt enough possessions in the game if teams play to their pace.  And like you said I also look at where teams tend to get their points.  ex.  3 pt shooting team versus a team with good perimeter defenders.

I play a lot of second half over/under too but that has more to do with feel than anything.  Often times you can just tell from watching the game.  But more than anything it helps a lot no matter what your betting to know the teams.  I watch tons and tons and tons of games. Sometimes I watch three at the same time.  The better you know the teams the easier it is.  It's still definitely not easy and I'm not gonna come in here and claim that I know all and hit 70-80% like some people in here have because that's simply not possible. Maybe in one day or over the course of a week but its not sustainable. One day last year in NCAA I hit 16 games in a row one weekend.  I usually don't play that many games but I was hot so I road it out.  I also have gone 0-5 before in a day.


But there are all kinds of other factors that come in to play but I'm not about to write a novel on here but some other things to remember.

Situations (Key in NCAA especially earlier in season.  Look ahead games.  3 game weeks. etc,
Injuries.   (Try to find out as much as you about the teams recent games and possible injuries/suspensions.)
Meaning of Game (I don't think you can put a ton of weight on this but its still something to remember. Especially non-conference ex. small schools get up for games against bigger schools. For some its like there NCAA tourney.)


Hope some of this helps.  I am really tired today so so I'm sure I made some errors.

Good luck to everyone on their picks this weekend.  The most exciting time of the year.
pimp.gif
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Nice subliminal.
 
Alright day so far.  Hopefully Illinois can hold on.  Rained too many threes before half to get under but it would be nice to cover the game.


Afternoon card...

Georgia Tech -2 (1H)
Georgia Tech -4
Xavier -1.5 (1H)
PUR/MN ^125.5
KSU/KU U146
 
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