***$$$-NT Sportsbook Thread vol.2- Props props props props props props... EVERYBODY!

Eagles -6 seems so trappy

but

  • Away Favorites (coming off bye): 48-23 (67.6%) against-the-spread

The sweet spot for betting teams off a bye are when they are favored on the road. In our database, following this simple system would have returned 22.73 units since 2003. This system improves further if you focus only on games where the road team is favored by a field goal or more. This is an indication of a good team. Home teams are often favored, only 33% (approximately) of teams are road favorites.

Teams coming off a bye that are favored by 3 or more points on the road have gone 38-13 (74.5%) against-the-spread, +23.45 units.

pretty solid trend. Cowboys missing their 3 most important players on top of that got me saying **** the trap.

I took eagles
 
Bets for Monday:
NCAA Basketball
Stanford Cardinals +7 over the North Carolina Tar Heels
LSU Tigers +5 over the Michigan Wolverines
 
Eagles -6 seems so trappy

but



pretty solid trend. Cowboys missing their 3 most important players on top of that got me saying **** the trap.

I took eagles

does this apply for both teams coming off bye facing each other? panthers jets this week as an example
 
^ didn't see it mentioned but i'd guess they're just focusing on the road favorite coming off bye alone regardless of their opponents situation. So even with Jets coming off bye as well it doesn't matter id guess. Would be interesting to see how that would skew the record though, good question.
 
Falcons PK - throwing a tiny bit extra down on this.
Cavs ML
Blazers ML - this too. Conley out indefinitely 2 days ago and Blazers only favored by a point?
 
decided to lay off tonight's game. just can't get a read and with the Hawks going from favored to dogs...throwing me way off


i'll sit on my 1 win streak for a couple more days till Turkey day :smile:
 
Well i hedged the hell out of Falcons bet with seahawks at +200 before this final drive by Russ.

Not sure how the line was that high but Russ too clutch for me to ride Falcons
 
1-1 again today:smh:

NT Record 108-72-9 60%
Dogpolice UnderDog of the Day 27-18-2 60%
Football Record 25-22-5 53%
Football Game Record 21-17-4 (No Props and Over/Unders) 55% Winners
NFL Record 18-17-1 51%
NBA Record 15-10-1 60%
Basketball Record 19-11-1 63%
College Basketball Record 4-1 80%
 
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knicks getting points at home is a treat!

if heyward never got hurt, would the C's be on this run? Their ATS record is crazy! amazing they covered yesterday
 
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