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Originally took FSU -10 and doubled down on this play. Glad I did.***$$$-NT Sportsbook Thread vol.2- Props props props props props props... EVERYBODY!
- Thread in 'Sports & Training' Thread starter Started by bijald0331,
- Start date
Originally took FSU -10 and doubled down on this play. Glad I did.
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Try Kelly Criterion.ive been awful as of late . another negative night for me
need to become more conservative with my betting . ive been pretty loose lately
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Good.
Live betting is just another angle I need to get involved in. Experience is limited there, but for true bettors (those that make a living), live angles is how they always level their losses and win in the long run.
mr marcus
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Live betting is beautiful if you know what you like before the game starts......you can get good value
or if you can read the flow of a game
just wish 5dimes was deep w/ it like bet365 (basically for international bball) because that **** is super easy to ready when I track my bets on bet365
Edit: just saw the opening total was 64.5 .....so earlyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy bettors won on that
or if you can read the flow of a game
just wish 5dimes was deep w/ it like bet365 (basically for international bball) because that **** is super easy to ready when I track my bets on bet365
Edit: just saw the opening total was 64.5 .....so earlyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy bettors won on that
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TheGodFresco
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bet on Auburn +9 and under 69points parlay..
Wanna see what DSA has to say about the NHL
Wanna see what DSA has to say about the NHL
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Early leans for NFL weekend:
SF -1
Indy +7.5
N.O. +7.5
For me, one player makes a difference in this Seattle/New Orleans matchup. Percy Harvin. He doesn't play, Saints cover, but lose SU. He plays, then Seattle wins by double digits. Hawks offense has been stagnant the past few weeks and in its current state won't pull away from the Saints. Revenge factor for N.O. in play as well. The one thing they didn't see in their first matchup and that they can't really plan for is the dynamic ability of Percy and the flexibility that that gives Seattle. Keep posted on that.
SF knows what it means to shut down a dual threat to make his game suffer (happens when teams shut down Kaep), but moreso, SF has the defense to do so. The weakness of Carolina's pas game vs. the weakness of that Niners D (secondary). Deciding factor there is physicality of DB's. Also, Carolina's D is stout, but experience goes to SF and that's the angle I'll take in a defensive battle as Carolina doesn't have that luxury. Only way Panthers win is if Cam completely takes matters into his own hands....Again...I side with experience.
Colts are just magic right now. Patriots SU, but Colts can cover, no doubt. No explanation neccessary.
SF -1
Indy +7.5
N.O. +7.5
For me, one player makes a difference in this Seattle/New Orleans matchup. Percy Harvin. He doesn't play, Saints cover, but lose SU. He plays, then Seattle wins by double digits. Hawks offense has been stagnant the past few weeks and in its current state won't pull away from the Saints. Revenge factor for N.O. in play as well. The one thing they didn't see in their first matchup and that they can't really plan for is the dynamic ability of Percy and the flexibility that that gives Seattle. Keep posted on that.
SF knows what it means to shut down a dual threat to make his game suffer (happens when teams shut down Kaep), but moreso, SF has the defense to do so. The weakness of Carolina's pas game vs. the weakness of that Niners D (secondary). Deciding factor there is physicality of DB's. Also, Carolina's D is stout, but experience goes to SF and that's the angle I'll take in a defensive battle as Carolina doesn't have that luxury. Only way Panthers win is if Cam completely takes matters into his own hands....Again...I side with experience.
Colts are just magic right now. Patriots SU, but Colts can cover, no doubt. No explanation neccessary.
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DeadsetAce
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Wanna see what DSA has to say about the NHL
tomorrow mid morning, i should have my plays set
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TheGodFresco
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Warriors -8... thinking about taking this, but draymond green may not play and has been key for the warriors off the bench in thier 9 game streak
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I'll repost on this page just in case we can get conversation started on these matchups.
Early leans for NFL weekend:
SF -1
Indy +7.5
N.O. +7.5
For me, one player makes a difference in this Seattle/New Orleans matchup. Percy Harvin. He doesn't play, Saints cover, but lose SU. He plays, then Seattle wins by double digits. Hawks offense has been stagnant the past few weeks and in its current state won't pull away from the Saints. Revenge factor for N.O. in play as well. The one thing they didn't see in their first matchup and that they can't really plan for is the dynamic ability of Percy and the flexibility that that gives Seattle. Keep posted on that.
SF knows what it means to shut down a dual threat to make his game suffer (happens when teams shut down Kaep), but moreso, SF has the defense to do so. The weakness of Carolina's pas game vs. the weakness of that Niners D (secondary). Deciding factor there is physicality of DB's. Also, Carolina's D is stout, but experience goes to SF and that's the angle I'll take in a defensive battle as Carolina doesn't have that luxury. Only way Panthers win is if Cam completely takes matters into his own hands....Again...I side with experience.
Colts are just magic right now. Patriots SU, but Colts can cover, no doubt. No explanation neccessary.
Early leans for NFL weekend:
SF -1
Indy +7.5
N.O. +7.5
For me, one player makes a difference in this Seattle/New Orleans matchup. Percy Harvin. He doesn't play, Saints cover, but lose SU. He plays, then Seattle wins by double digits. Hawks offense has been stagnant the past few weeks and in its current state won't pull away from the Saints. Revenge factor for N.O. in play as well. The one thing they didn't see in their first matchup and that they can't really plan for is the dynamic ability of Percy and the flexibility that that gives Seattle. Keep posted on that.
SF knows what it means to shut down a dual threat to make his game suffer (happens when teams shut down Kaep), but moreso, SF has the defense to do so. The weakness of Carolina's pas game vs. the weakness of that Niners D (secondary). Deciding factor there is physicality of DB's. Also, Carolina's D is stout, but experience goes to SF and that's the angle I'll take in a defensive battle as Carolina doesn't have that luxury. Only way Panthers win is if Cam completely takes matters into his own hands....Again...I side with experience.
Colts are just magic right now. Patriots SU, but Colts can cover, no doubt. No explanation neccessary.
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Another good day!
I'm looking at these early morning Soccer lines. Got no idea who is who and I wanna bet again cause those were clutch today!
I'm looking at these early morning Soccer lines. Got no idea who is who and I wanna bet again cause those were clutch today!
DeadsetAce
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this is one path i cannot follow you down, my friend. i can't bet against my team. you understand
seriously though, we talked about keeping personal bias out of it and i mentioned i have trouble doing that with the NFL for some reason. so i never touch pats games. between emotions and superstition, i just can't
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this is one path i cannot follow you down, my friend. i can't bet against my team. you understand
seriously though, we talked about keeping personal bias out of it and i mentioned i have trouble doing that with the NFL for some reason. so i never touch pats games. between emotions and superstition, i just can't
Hear ya, brotha.
Very hard to stay objective when your team is in the running. This is my weakest lean if that means anything...But still, I have N.E. SU. Just loving that number for the Colts.
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Warriors have plenty of weapons to take advantage of - Steph, Lee, Thompson, Iguodala. The only reason the bucks won twice against GS last year was because of Monta and Jennings. both are gone and the western conf is undefeated vs bucks.
I see the line up now but i'll wait until tomorrow morning when it's finished to put a half u on it.
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im looking at em right now as well. not a whole lot i like to be honest. probably the only one is man U, but sunderland has been playing decent as of late so im not sure if ill touch it. other than that theres valencia/atletic madrid which is a legit toss up game. if i HAD to pick a team id roll with atletico madrid. i might just throw 1u on the ML of each team (man u/atletico madrid) before i go to bed tonight. we'll see
edit: eff it threw down 1U on ML of each game. lets see what happens
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Capital One Cup Semi-Final Leg 1: Manchester United @ Sunderland
Man U in terrible form right now playing away vs Sunderland who are at the bottom of the EPL table. I think Gus Poyet will have Sunderland up for the challenge but Man U has a more talented squad with a lot to prove coming off back to back defeats. The pressure is starting to build on Man U manager David Moyes and I think the team comes through for him. This semifinal matchup will be played over 2 legs (each team gets a home match) so a tie cannot be ruled out. I lean Man U ml and the odds are not terrible at -150
Spanish Copa del Rey Leg 1: Atletico Madrid @ Valencia
Valencia has started to gain momentum and strung together some good results. They are performing much better than earlier this season. Atleti are tied on points atop La Liga with Barcelona. Diego Simeone has the squad firing on all cylinders. 2 leg matchup like above so cannot rule out a draw. I lean Atletico Madrid ml +115
French Coupe de Grance Leg 1 Paris Saint Germain @ Stade Brestois
PSG is stacked with stars. Worth putting into a parlay at -400 ml
Man U in terrible form right now playing away vs Sunderland who are at the bottom of the EPL table. I think Gus Poyet will have Sunderland up for the challenge but Man U has a more talented squad with a lot to prove coming off back to back defeats. The pressure is starting to build on Man U manager David Moyes and I think the team comes through for him. This semifinal matchup will be played over 2 legs (each team gets a home match) so a tie cannot be ruled out. I lean Man U ml and the odds are not terrible at -150
Spanish Copa del Rey Leg 1: Atletico Madrid @ Valencia
Valencia has started to gain momentum and strung together some good results. They are performing much better than earlier this season. Atleti are tied on points atop La Liga with Barcelona. Diego Simeone has the squad firing on all cylinders. 2 leg matchup like above so cannot rule out a draw. I lean Atletico Madrid ml +115
French Coupe de Grance Leg 1 Paris Saint Germain @ Stade Brestois
PSG is stacked with stars. Worth putting into a parlay at -400 ml
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PSG game isnt even on the sheet for 5dimes. weak woulda took them easy
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Hmm I got them at Bovada. Put all 3 in a parlay for half a unit
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Which NBA underdogs are going win outright today?
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Here's the entirety of my write-ups for my initial leans for the NFL Divisional Round:
Added note - Please add anything you can that agrees or disagrees with these thoughts. Biggest thing I've learned in gambling is that taking in all sides of the argument helps bettors discern which angle is the main factor in gaining that edge, so please...DON'T be discouraged from adding your .02. These are not locked in plays.
This goes for you too! Yes, I'm talking to the lurkers.
Added note - Please add anything you can that agrees or disagrees with these thoughts. Biggest thing I've learned in gambling is that taking in all sides of the argument helps bettors discern which angle is the main factor in gaining that edge, so please...DON'T be discouraged from adding your .02. These are not locked in plays.
This goes for you too! Yes, I'm talking to the lurkers.
Seahawks/Saints - For me, one player makes a difference in this Seattle/New Orleans matchup. Percy Harvin. He doesn't play, Saints cover, but lose SU. He plays, then Seattle wins by double digits. Hawks offense has been stagnant the past few weeks and in its current state won't pull away from the Saints. Revenge factor for N.O. in play as well. The one thing they didn't see in their first matchup and that they can't really plan for is the dynamic ability of Percy and the flexibility that that gives Seattle. Keep posted on that. Saints -7.5
49ers/Panthers - SF knows what it means to shut down a dual threat to make his game suffer (happens when teams shut down Kaep), but moreso, SF has the defense to do so. The weakness of Carolina's pass game vs. the weakness of that Niners D (secondary). Deciding factor there is physicality of DB's. Also, Carolina's D is stout, but experience goes to SF and that's the angle I'll take in a defensive battle as Carolina doesn't have that luxury. Only way Panthers win is if Cam completely takes matters into his own hands....Again...I side with experience. 49ers -1
Colts/Patriots - Colts are just magic right now. Patriots SU, but Colts can cover, no doubt. No explanation is really necessary because the Colts keep pulling these W's out of late, despite a no name RB duo and even deeper no-namers at WR. Bill, the mad scientist, Belichick should have a very sound gameplan to reroute any pregame emphasis for the Colts, but right now Andrew Luck is just on fire. Turnovers haunted him against KC, but Luck was never shook. He's special, we know that. The Patriots aren't even close to 100% on either side of the ball. So why the TD spread against a hot team?...History...History and past results aren't playing this game. Neither team is decisively better and both are equally opportunistic. Colts cover, but the lean is Patriots SU due to homefield and Patriots on rest. Colts +7.5
Chargers/Broncos - Rivers owns Manning in the playoffs...So it seems. Plus, they seem to bring this loosey goosey style of play that gets under the craw of the methodical and precise nature of a Peyton Manning led team and cold weather never sides with Peyton...Right? Well, we can play the underdog angle all we want and go with what we think we know, but usually when that happens, we're left holding our drinks at the bar with reluctance to pay due to a large wager lost. No need to overthink here. There's a lot of *****s in the armor of the Broncos team, but it doesn't get fully exposed against the Chargers. They win going away. Backdoor cover, maybe, or pure dominance. Either way, 10 points is generous to a Charger team that plays sound and mistake-free football. They haven't done that all year. Broncos are the play...Look for value in the AFCCG if you want to go against Manning, but don't look here. Broncos -10
49ers/Panthers - SF knows what it means to shut down a dual threat to make his game suffer (happens when teams shut down Kaep), but moreso, SF has the defense to do so. The weakness of Carolina's pass game vs. the weakness of that Niners D (secondary). Deciding factor there is physicality of DB's. Also, Carolina's D is stout, but experience goes to SF and that's the angle I'll take in a defensive battle as Carolina doesn't have that luxury. Only way Panthers win is if Cam completely takes matters into his own hands....Again...I side with experience. 49ers -1
Colts/Patriots - Colts are just magic right now. Patriots SU, but Colts can cover, no doubt. No explanation is really necessary because the Colts keep pulling these W's out of late, despite a no name RB duo and even deeper no-namers at WR. Bill, the mad scientist, Belichick should have a very sound gameplan to reroute any pregame emphasis for the Colts, but right now Andrew Luck is just on fire. Turnovers haunted him against KC, but Luck was never shook. He's special, we know that. The Patriots aren't even close to 100% on either side of the ball. So why the TD spread against a hot team?...History...History and past results aren't playing this game. Neither team is decisively better and both are equally opportunistic. Colts cover, but the lean is Patriots SU due to homefield and Patriots on rest. Colts +7.5
Chargers/Broncos - Rivers owns Manning in the playoffs...So it seems. Plus, they seem to bring this loosey goosey style of play that gets under the craw of the methodical and precise nature of a Peyton Manning led team and cold weather never sides with Peyton...Right? Well, we can play the underdog angle all we want and go with what we think we know, but usually when that happens, we're left holding our drinks at the bar with reluctance to pay due to a large wager lost. No need to overthink here. There's a lot of *****s in the armor of the Broncos team, but it doesn't get fully exposed against the Chargers. They win going away. Backdoor cover, maybe, or pure dominance. Either way, 10 points is generous to a Charger team that plays sound and mistake-free football. They haven't done that all year. Broncos are the play...Look for value in the AFCCG if you want to go against Manning, but don't look here. Broncos -10
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Seems like most here are going with the colts and saints
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this is one path i cannot follow you down, my friend. i can't bet against my team. you understand
seriously though, we talked about keeping personal bias out of it and i mentioned i have trouble doing that with the NFL for some reason. so i never touch pats games. between emotions and superstition, i just can't
agree 100% . all signs lead to buying the hook and taking Indy , but the Pats bias in me is holding me back
couple of factors that have me favoring Pats (and i acknowledge they probably arent bias)
1. last years match up . we demolished the Colts at home and confused Luck by mixing up secondary coverages and blitz packages . offensively i can see the Pats neutralizing the pass rush by Mathis by getting the ball out of Brady's hands extremely quickly and running the ball with Blount and Ridley
2. the coaching staff has done a great job utilizing the bye week over the past two years . weve been lights out in the divisional round , beating the Broncos and Texans by an avg of 24 points . if this game gets out of hand in favor of the Pats ill be somewhat surprised but not overly shocked
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initial thoughts on NHL tonight :
Leafs ML
Sharks ML
Kings ML
Coyotes ML
*** Coyotes is my strongest play. im taking the better team at home against a Calgary team that will be tired after their overtime match last night . Phoenix is also on a two game losing streak at home and will look to right the ship tonight
may also do another parlay adding the Blues in . they are clearly the better team but their on the road and their streak scares me
Leafs ML
Sharks ML
Kings ML
Coyotes ML
*** Coyotes is my strongest play. im taking the better team at home against a Calgary team that will be tired after their overtime match last night . Phoenix is also on a two game losing streak at home and will look to right the ship tonight
may also do another parlay adding the Blues in . they are clearly the better team but their on the road and their streak scares me
mr marcus
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Pats fans, don't bet against our team .......especially in the playoffs
plenty of other options on the board this weekend
plenty of other options on the board this weekend
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How many parlays?
