***$$$-NT Sportsbook Thread vol.2- Props props props props props props... EVERYBODY!

[DeadsetAce]

651...are you really apologizing? stop that, man

you been more than clutch for us

 

[651akathepaul]

Appreciate it bro...Thought I had a good read on these is all...Gambling humbles a man though for sure.

 

[john2st]

I know it's a bit late now to post a sure system. but for what it's worth next year you guys can try it out.

if a team is favorite multiply the spread by 3. if that number is greater than the total (over/under). bet the favorite and over for equal amounts.

ex. ore -24. total 70.
24 x 3 = 72. which is higher than the total.

in order to make money you have to bet the board with all of these plays. it usually only occurs in college football.

 

[prez t]

Paul -- its all good man , you cant win em all . the analysis you provide is spot on . if not for a lack of execution (Marshall couldnt convert on several 3rd and shorts in the middle of fhe field in the 3rd quarter , and both teams had a bunch of red zone/edge of the red zone FGs) it wouldve covered im sure

waiting for Pauls write ups since hes the expert on NCAAF , but initially Rutgers +14.5 and Cincy +2.5 stick out to me . with Cincy id buy the hook

DSA -- youve taught me well with this NHL betting i cant believe the parlay hit -- one game went to OT and the other to a S/O ...

thinking about a 3 team parlay in NHL tonight , but might stay away for the following reasons :

Bruins ML
Kings ML
Ducks ML

Concerns
Bruins . they walloped the Senators 5-0 yesterday at home and play them again today . now a 5-0 win makes me confident the Bruins are clearly better than the Senators , but i dont know the stats on when teams play each other back-to-back going from home to away and that concerns me . im sure the Senators will come out on fire after being embarrassed last night

Ducks . theyve won 8 straight games , which is frightening . in hockey , teams dont usually extend winning streaks past 5 or 6 , so they are more than due for a loss . still -- they are clearly a better team than the Coyotes

 

[prez t]

I know it's a bit late now to post a sure system. but for what it's worth next year you guys can try it out.

if a team is favorite multiply the spread by 3. if that number is greater than the total (over/under). bet the favorite and over for equal amounts.

ex. ore -24. total 70.
24 x 3 = 72. which is higher than the total.

in order to make money you have to bet the board with all of these plays. it usually only occurs in college football.

interesting strategy . can you provide a bit more insight as to why that makes sense ?

 

[john2st]

interesting strategy . can you provide a bit more insight as to why that makes sense ?

I have no clue why it works. but the explanation goes. if a team giving that many points covers it's usually a blowout wit the other team scoring a few points. or there is a lot of times that it splits because the favorite doesn't cover but the game goes over because the underdog is scoring back and forth.

I did this system since week 3 of college, 500 each side ( 500 fav 500 over), and made over 18k

 

[prez t]

I have no clue why it works. but the explanation goes. if a team giving that many points covers it's usually a blowout wit the other team scoring a few points. or there is a lot of times that it splits because the favorite doesn't cover but the game goes over because the underdog is scoring back and forth.

I did this system since week 3 of college, 500 each side ( 500 fav 500 over), and made over 18k

holy . balls . thats all i needed to hear homey

the Oregon line is now at 13.5 -- none of the bowl games in the 5D book have this scenario

 

[john2st]

holy . balls . thats all i needed to hear homey

the Oregon line is now at 13.5 -- none of the bowl games in the 5D book have this scenario

street books where I'm from shut down plays I had to get an out of state guy to take my action. and most of the street bookie websites banned plays on reverses and teasers Bc bookies were getting cracked left and right

 

[prez t]

heading out and wont have time to see Pauls write up before the ND and Rutgers game . im going to put 3u on Rutgers +14.5 ; fingers crossed !

 

[diego]

Will wait for Pauls write up before today's game. No pressure.

I think I'm going to take a break for a little bit but I'm actually going to the ND game today at Yankee Stadium so I figure I'll put done action on it.

Or I might just stay away from it completely. Glad I took it easy yesterday cause none of the teams I was leaning on hit. Would've been a blood bath for me.

 

[DeadsetAce]

Prez...you're pretty much spot on in terms of how i'd read those games tonight. despite the huge win streak, the ducks are totally rested and playing a coyote team that went to OT last night against the sharks, who definitely run you around a rink. they should be a good play. kings are also playing a team that played last night and traveled. should be good to go there. and the bruins SHOULD win, but a home and home sweep always makes me hesitate. maybe consider the redwings. their big gun is back in the lineup tonight and florida sucks. i've got burned by det a couple times this year

 

[651akathepaul]

Sup dudes?

No write-up for the first game. I have work and live on the west coast (just woke up not too long ago ) so it wouldn't be fair to rush and put something together. I'll get something going for the other games.

For now, I put some money on the over for this Rutgers/Notre Dame game. Rutgers might be a play too. Their coach really needs it and ND possibly disinterested since coming of that Nat'l Championship bid last year and looking forward to next year when they get their Q back. Both D's suck though and if Rutgers is balls to the wall then ND will have to at least put up a respectable fight, which seems fitting for a Brian Kelly coached team. The number was at 53.5, so I'm just gonna roll the dice with it.

 

[651akathepaul]

North Carolina -2.5

The coaching situation favors Cincinnati here as UNC is going through a transition. However, this Tar Heel team is fresh off a two-year bowl ban and should be very hungry to get back in the bowl mania mix, especially after starting the season 1-5. They went on a run late in the year to revive their bowl hopes. On top of it, the majority of their playmakers are Freshmen and Sophmore (those two classes have scored a ridiculous percentage of the teams TD's), so first bowl action should really have these kids revved up. Did I mention the game is in Charlotte, NC? The Bearcats are the more experienced bunch and have a strudy offensive line and a sixth-year senior at Q. They also played in this bowl game last year, so you could make an argument that Cincy offsets UNC's somewhat HFA because of the experience and familiarity aspect. Call it a wash, but what isn't is the SOS these two teams faced. Cincinnati played some bad bad teams. Five teams they played were in the bottom 10 in the nation in total defense. There's mention of their great D, which means they're probably pretty good, but the two best offenses they faced, they ended up giving up over 400 yards. While UNC only lost to bowl teams ("Isn't Cincy a bowl team?"...Well, yes), but what's most intriguing is the runt hey finished on. They have gotten better and better and better and come into this bowl hot. QB is a dual threat who keeps defenses alert and while he can't pass like Bryn Renner (who he replaced due to injury). Bearcats have no 1,000 yard rushers or receivers. Last but not least is the oft-overlooked special teams. HUGE advantage to UNC. Led the nation in punt returning and special teams happens to be a weakness of Cincy. I'll roll with UNC on this one.

 

[champcruthik]

Like Vince Vaughn says, people helping people.

I missed on Syracuse yesterday.

I have ND winning by 10, so Rutgers covering. Even though the pass D is food. 34-24 ND wins, RU covers.

Tuberville has Cincy slinging the rock, but UNC lean here. I'm banking on a big performance from Ebron. NT loves this guy, better come through. Tar Heels by a TD. 37-30.

Miami has been plagued by injuries. Teddy Ball Game has to show out and put Louisville on his back before jumping to the pros. 5.5 is generous, Louisville wins by a TD. 31-24.

K-State can't lose with Morris filling in for Gardner. Without checking, I'm sure the line moved a point or two after Hoke's QB announcement. Gallon is the key to the game. 31-24 KSU.

 

[prez t]

Prez...you're pretty much spot on in terms of how i'd read those games tonight. despite the huge win streak, the ducks are totally rested and playing a coyote team that went to OT last night against the sharks, who definitely run you around a rink. they should be a good play. kings are also playing a team that played last night and traveled. should be good to go there. and the bruins SHOULD win, but a home and home sweep always makes me hesitate. maybe consider the redwings. their big gun is back in the lineup tonight and florida sucks. i've got burned by det a couple times this year

yeah , i just dont trust the Wings ; they havent been good to me with bets . i think im going to proceed with the Bruins , Ducks and Kings . 1u

*** just upped my unit amount fellas

 

[yeahitsrust]

I'm with Carolina - 2.5 I think ebron has a big day. And like Paul said, cincy has played some scrub defenses.

Also on Louisville - 5.5 no Brainer as far as I'm concerned. Teddy Bridgewater's last game before he goes pro? He will play his butt off to look NFL ready.

Good luck everyone!

 

[champcruthik]

I'm also surprised with the 5.5. Almost too good to be true. Expected a TD minimum if not up to 10 points.

 

[651akathepaul]

Louisville -5.5

Louisville's roster is chalk full of floridian's. Some spurned by the U, so there is the motivation factor. Another angle is Lousiville's defense. One of the best units around and it plays right into Morris being an inconsitent quarterback. Maybe that's not the word, but he's definitely prone to mistakes and can get rattled as evidenced by a subpar completion percentage. No Duke Johnson is a plus for Louisville backers. Then there is Bridgewater. I just love his efficiency. He completes passes and doesn't turn the ball over. It's that coupled with Morris' prone to mistakes that make this game balloon from a 3 or 4 point spread to what I and others think should be around a TD.

 

[champcruthik]

South Florida factor is huge. Good point, 651.

 

[mr marcus]

As a Miami I don't see how we don't get blown out but I never bet against my football teams (Canes and Patriots) unless they're a double digit fav (room to win and not cover)

So I'm sitting this one on the sideline...good luck to y'all

 

[stork]

Louisville appears to be a great play for today. Most likely will put a half u on -5.

 

[prez t]

2u on UNC -2.5 and Louisville -5.5

feeling good about the Rutgers +14.5 play . their secondary is atrocious ; dont know how my Pats make stars out of em

 

[diego]

Let's go Rutgers......

 

[champcruthik]

Definitely miss Schiano, the McCourty twins, Logan Ryan, Courtney Greene.

 

[prez t]

dont forget Duron Harmon

1 for 1 so far with bowl games . lets go UNC