***$$$-NT Sportsbook Thread vol.2- Props props props props props props... EVERYBODY!

[651akathepaul]

USC/Fresno St.:

I was initially on USC, but I shifted my focus after really divulging myself into this. Much of the talk is placed on the coaching carousel of USC and bettors/fans are curious how the team will react after the players favorite, Orgeron, rightfully resigned once he was overlooked for the HC job. A lot of people think they'll be disinterested given the schools stature relative to this bowl game and considering the coaching situation. I disagree. What I did was place myself back in college and thought about how myself and my team would react to sometihng like this. Happy? No. However, college kids are resilient and these are athletes, so they're competitive by nature. There's draft positioning for those planning to leave for the NFL and Sark will be watching in the booth to see who really wants to be there. On top of it all is the sheer talent level that USC has. They can run and pass and I highly doubt Fresno St. can shut these guys down. Another key I found here is with interim coach Clay Helton. With Kiffin around, he probably didn't have much offensive opinion. The second the defensive minded Orgeron took the reigns, the offensive duties were squared solely with Helton and what we saw as a huge boost in production that matched the talent level of the Trojans. Now this same guy is running the ship and he's auditioning for an OC or possible HC job in this one. With only 7 practice days due to finals, I expect the play calling to be fun and loose and the Trojans have the talent to pull off putting tons of points on the board against this D.

On the other side, it's rather simple for me. Fresno just missed on a BCS berth. I still don't buy a disinterest. They get a chance to play a big brother in the state of California and they have one of the best Q's in the nation leading the way. They have offensive weapons and should be able to score. I felt if I went USC I would see a backdoor cover by Fresno, so I'm going with my instincts here and saying that we see a shootout at some point and if USC pulls away then the number should still be reached with garbage points.

Over 63

 

[651akathepaul]

Washington State/Colorado St:

I wavered on this one after my instincts initially said WSU. Had to shake off any potential home-state biases that could have came with that and looked deeper. What scares me? CSU's run game. They can gash. The passing is decent and it seems they have a solid Q. Much more balanced than their counterparts. What I like? CSU's pass defense. One of the worst. Considering they're going up against a team who attempted over 80 passes in a game this year, I'd say that's a recipe to get burnt. The Rams can somewhat control the clock with the run game, but WSU should ram it right back down their throats and score at will. I mean, this is a Couger team that faced two of the best backs in the nation in Kadeem Carey and Bishop Sankey and they beat Arizona and only lost by 7 to UW, so they obviously weren't too adversely affected by getting beat on the ground. This is a step down in competition for WSU and if Connor Halladay can avoid more than 2 interceptions then they should win this game by double digits. I also favor coach Mike Leach in this game. This is just another big step in the rebuilding of the Cougars who are in their first bowl since 2003. Look for David Bucannon on the WSU defense. A poor unit as a whole, but this guy is a bright spot. He can lay the wood and he's one of those "football player" types. He'll be out to send a message real quick.

Washington State -5.5

 

[651akathepaul]

Lousiana Lafayette/Tulane:

Both "home" teams, but Tulane plays it's games in the Superdome so this is just another day at the office for them. Cajuns Q, Broadway broke his wrist three weeks ago and may not play. Many who know these teams way more than I do felt Tulane is a strong play even if Broadway plays, so if he's out then I'll feel even better about this selection. Nick Montana (Former Washington backup and Joe's son) is the starter and while he's been underwhelming under center, he's improved on ball security, which was a semi-issue with him prior to his last two games where he didn't throw any interceptions. They should control the ball and the defense, which is better than average, should get enough stops to make this a grind-it-out victory.

Tulane -1.5

 

[651akathepaul]

Buffalo/San Diego St:

Khalil Mack. That is all. Really, on that defense, that is all. If you were an above average high school athlete and got offers from only these two schools, which would you choose? Not much thought went into choosing SDSU, I'm sure. Point is, Buffalo has a rough time recruiting even though they got very lucky with Mack and they have so many holes around that Mack helped cover up for and also not-so-stiff MAC competition. If I remember right, Buffalo lost 2 of their last 3 to Bowling Green and Toldeo to close the year out. Because it was tougher competition? I don't know, but the trend doesn't favor the Bulls. The game will be played on the blue turf of Boise State and it's supposed to be really cold. You can't be a simple minded capper here and say Buffalo is used to the cold and has the better D, therefore, they win. That may be the case, but it would be for other factors than that. SDSU has a very good run game and have been in many close games this season. I hear they have poor FG/PAT kicking so that could be a factor that works against them, but I like their bowl experience more and I like that the public should be on Buffalo just because of Mack. All signs pointed to Buffalo at first glance, but again going the gut route. Hoping the Aztecs experience in close games gives them the edge. Buying a hook wasn't need and the spread is right where it needs to be for it to appeal to me.

San Diego State -2

 

[prez t]

loving the write ups

 

[DeadsetAce]

i'm in on your tulane and WSU bets


good ****, 651

 

[DeadsetAce]

Bruins
Kings
Sharks
Possibly Caps

 

[pauliepeppas]

Good start for the day, rolling with mich st -145 for 20 units

 

[prez t]

Bruins
Blues
Sharks
Penguins

 

[yeahitsrust]

Hmmm, got SDSU +1.5 on 5d. Jumped on it for 5u. I need this to kick off my bowl games. Not so hot this past week on CBB and NBA after winning big on Navy last weekend.

 

[DeadsetAce]

this CSU surge

running at will just like 651 mentioned

 

[651akathepaul]

Ridiculous.

 

[pauliepeppas]

Keeping this going, ohio st mline

 

[TheGodFresco]

Wsu collapse ****** me big time

 

[651akathepaul]

Umm...That one hurts. I wish it didn't count, but now I feel dumb for putting money on a team that just embarrassed themselves. Sucks.

Not gotta hope Fresno and USC don't lay down and they finish this game with points. Need to go 3 for 3 the rest of today to make money.

 

[651akathepaul]

I needed that over to hit after that WSU debacle. Was getting nervous, but got it.

SDSU And Tulane need to round this out.

 

[mr marcus]

Good vibes to all the cfb bets y'all have

 

[yeahitsrust]

My alma mater came up huge for me. 1.5u on the Ragin Cajuns.

 

[yeahitsrust]

Should have pushed more on Lafayette....:\

 

[yeahitsrust]

 

[651akathepaul]

Split.

F-ing Cougars.

 

[yeahitsrust]

 

[champcruthik]

Ravens aren't losing at home. Fighting for a playoff spot. No Gronk. Tucker on fire creating magic.

I believe Baltimore is going for 4 in a row at home, and 3 in a row over the Pats.

 

[mr marcus]

If Miami lose @ 1pm I might be tempted to take the ravens ...patriots might slack knowing they clinched

 

[DeadsetAce]

hit on this tonight....

Parlay:
Ice Hockey NHL - 56 Los Angeles Kings -190 for Game
Ice Hockey NHL - 63 Montreal Canadiens -110 for Game
Ice Hockey NHL - 66 Boston Bruins -310 for Game
Ice Hockey NHL - 68 Tampa Bay Lightning -150 for Game
Ice Hockey NHL - 71 St Louis Blues -175 for Game
Ice Hockey NHL - 74 San Jose Sharks -210 for Game





was 1 for 3 on the day, but this one won me big money