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Anyone can feel free to correct me, but to be honest with you, it's probably tougher. My rationale is that although there are more jobs in general for people w/o a college education compared to people w a college degree. The supply of people who can potentially fill the jobs not requiring a degree is much greater.
Two factors: There are more people w/o degrees + people with degrees can get hired for those jobs as well.
Therefore there is more competition, I think that makes sense.
For the most part I agree with you except the bolded.
A lot of lower-wage, less skilled jobs will shy away from hiring those with a degree because they assume you won't stay there long.