Joel Embiid – C – University of Kansas
19 years old
7’0” 240 lbs, 7’ 5” wingspan
NBA Comparison – Hakeem Olajuwon
Strengths:
-Extremely huge upside, very skilled for someone who only started playing basketball 3 years ago.
-Runs the floor well, he can start a fast break and finish a fast break.
-Work of art in the low post. Knows how to seal his man to increase his chances. Has a plethora of post moves. For where he’s at, and where his post game could be (and he’s vastly improved from beginning of season to now) it’s dangerous.
He can face up, rip through and blow past defenders.
-Has the ability to become a solid shooter from 10-15 feet.
-Unselfish player, willing to pass out of the post.
-Dwight Howard effect on defense. He can alter shots like few can because he is quick, he can jump, he has size, and is willing to defend.
-When he figures out how to defend P&R, he won’t be a liability on switches due to having lateral quickness, and even against fast guards he can give more of a cushion and still close with long reach.
Weaknesses:
-He is a project. He is very raw. He is the #1 overall because Wiggins & Parker are comparable, and Embiid has so much room to grow. The problem is what if potential doesn’t become results. The fear is that not having the experience that a lot of the other guys in the lottery projection have as basketball players, he is a risk, he is still learning the way basketball is played. Many of his flaws are still very fundamental oriented, and he gets lost on some of the conceptual skills necessary to be an elite player. This is something that veterans, and superstars will take advantage of early and often. If he gets discouraged, or if he fails to grow in the first few seasons, he may fall apart.
-Doubtful that he will have a huge impact in his first couple of years. If he grows the way he is supposed to, year 3 or 4 will be where he makes a huge leap.
-As I stated before, almost all of his weaknesses are because he just doesn’t have the experience of playing basketball to know what to do. The game is moving too fast for him to really put what he is learning into practice.
-On offense his biggest problem is he has trouble reading the defense. Double teams force him to panic, will force shots. Many times he makes a move right into another defender, he loses his balance, and throws up an ugly shot.
-A lot of turnovers. Forces passes too often. Again goes back to inability to read defense.
-On defense, lack of experience again. He lacks the fundamentals to know when to help and when not too. He will help off his man for a well defended player, and leads to an easy look.
-On pick & roll, he does not contain the ball well. Instead of cutting the ball handler’s lane off, he will hesitate on the hedge by just a split second (not knowing what to do), and gives an open lane to the ball handler.
-Bites on fakes. A good post player will cook him with pump fakes, and good footwork.
-Lack of fundamentals lead to extremely stupid fouls.
-Lacks toughness. Does not like contact. Does not go up strong. Will give up position because he isn't physical enough.
Overall:
He is a very flawed prospect. There are glaring weakness, and huge fundamental gaps that many players throughout the draft do not have. This is due to lack of experience. Some of the guys who will be in the draft have been playing since they were wearing diapers. Joel is 20 years old in March, started playing when he was 17. The fundamentals that you would learn in Junior High, and High School, traveling teams, AAU, and even just messing around in the Summer playing ball everyday like kids do, he is just learning. Nonetheless, if we were to just imagine that every player in this draft will live up to their potential, Joel Embiid would be the best player from this draft 20 years from now. He has the opportunity to be not only an Elite Big Man on the defensive end due to size, speed, and athleticism, but has the potential to be an Elite Big Man on the offensive end. If you’ve ever seen Hakeem play, he was changing the court from every single facet. Scoring from the post, 10-15 footers, great passes, off & def rebounding, altering shots, and stepping in the passing lanes. Embiid shows flashes of greatness in all of these aspects as well. He also shows his inexperience and how far he has to go at the same time. With risk comes great reward, if he was drafted # 1 by the Lakers, I would not be worried.