- Aug 5, 2007
- 16,549
- 21,147
hawaii
Hide Ya Wives, Hide Ya Kids: Worldwide Coronavirus Pandemic!
- Jan 20, 2002
- 54,301
- 31,851
crazy that nfl is starting up and allowing fans
- Mar 27, 2004
- 18,386
- 34,061
What a painful read:
www.politico.com
"
Emails obtained by POLITICO show Paul Alexander — a senior adviser to Michael Caputo, HHS’s assistant secretary for public affairs — instructing press officers and others at the National Institutes of Health about what Fauci should say during media interviews. The Trump adviser weighed in on Fauci’s planned responses to outlets including Bloomberg News, BuzzFeed, Huffington Post and the science journal Cell.
"
"
“I think over time as I examine the good nonrandomized research, well conducted, strong methods, then I am saying that RCT evidence should not be considered the gold standard,” Alexander said.
"
The Trump admin is surrounding itself with pseudoscientific frauds. No wonder 193,000 people have died.
Emails show HHS official trying to muzzle Fauci
Emails obtained by POLITICO show a top aide at the department dictating what the nation's top infections disease expert should say during media interviews.
www.politico.com
"
Emails obtained by POLITICO show Paul Alexander — a senior adviser to Michael Caputo, HHS’s assistant secretary for public affairs — instructing press officers and others at the National Institutes of Health about what Fauci should say during media interviews. The Trump adviser weighed in on Fauci’s planned responses to outlets including Bloomberg News, BuzzFeed, Huffington Post and the science journal Cell.
"
"
“I think over time as I examine the good nonrandomized research, well conducted, strong methods, then I am saying that RCT evidence should not be considered the gold standard,” Alexander said.
"
The Trump admin is surrounding itself with pseudoscientific frauds. No wonder 193,000 people have died.
- Dec 23, 2003
- 18,412
- 5,848
Coronavirus News: Parishioners at NYC church urged to quarantine after monsignor tests positive
Msgr. John Graham, of St. Francis de Chantel on Hollywood Avenue in the Throggs Neck section, hosted Masses last week and has tested positive for the novel coronavirus.
- Aug 6, 2012
- 57,871
- 61,621
A new COVID-19 forecast predicts more than 400,000 deaths by the end of 2020. Will the fall wave really be that big?
After a spring that saw America’s coronavirus toll spiking to more than 36,000 cases and 2,700 deaths per day, followed by a summer in which daily cases climbed as high as 75,000 and daily deaths again cleared 1,400, it appears for the moment that the overall trajectory of the U.S. pandemic is headed in the right direction. On average, new daily cases are back down to 36,000. Daily deaths have fallen to about 700.
So is it time to freak out about the fall?
Maybe not just yet.
On Thursday, the team at the University of Washington’s Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) released its latest pandemic forecast. It was not encouraging. In the likeliest scenario, the IHME researchers now predict that an additional 220,000 people will die of COVID-19 by the end of 2020, bringing America’s total death toll to 410,000 and more than doubling the current tally of 190,000, which took the U.S. nine tragic months to reach, in less than half that time.
Estimated daily infections — which include all reported cases plus those undetected by testing, and which the IHME currently pegs around 140,000 — would nearly triple to 373,000 by mid-November. In early December, daily deaths would surpass April highs.
And things could get even worse than that, the institute warns. If, for instance, America continues “the gradual easing of social distancing mandates” and refuses to “re-impose” them even if the pandemic worsens — essentially pursuing the sort of natural “herd immunity” strategy that President Trump’s new coronavirus adviser favors — then the IHME predicts that total U.S. COVID-19 deaths would soar to 620,000 by the end of the year, with daily deaths surpassing 12,000 and daily infections surging to 1.8 million.
The only way to keep the death count below 300,000 this year, according to the IHME, is for everyone — that is, 95 percent of Americans — to immediately start wearing a mask whenever they leave the house. Given that just 45 percent of Americans currently mask up in public, that’s probably not going to happen.
www.yahoo.com
After a spring that saw America’s coronavirus toll spiking to more than 36,000 cases and 2,700 deaths per day, followed by a summer in which daily cases climbed as high as 75,000 and daily deaths again cleared 1,400, it appears for the moment that the overall trajectory of the U.S. pandemic is headed in the right direction. On average, new daily cases are back down to 36,000. Daily deaths have fallen to about 700.
So is it time to freak out about the fall?
Maybe not just yet.
On Thursday, the team at the University of Washington’s Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) released its latest pandemic forecast. It was not encouraging. In the likeliest scenario, the IHME researchers now predict that an additional 220,000 people will die of COVID-19 by the end of 2020, bringing America’s total death toll to 410,000 and more than doubling the current tally of 190,000, which took the U.S. nine tragic months to reach, in less than half that time.
Estimated daily infections — which include all reported cases plus those undetected by testing, and which the IHME currently pegs around 140,000 — would nearly triple to 373,000 by mid-November. In early December, daily deaths would surpass April highs.
And things could get even worse than that, the institute warns. If, for instance, America continues “the gradual easing of social distancing mandates” and refuses to “re-impose” them even if the pandemic worsens — essentially pursuing the sort of natural “herd immunity” strategy that President Trump’s new coronavirus adviser favors — then the IHME predicts that total U.S. COVID-19 deaths would soar to 620,000 by the end of the year, with daily deaths surpassing 12,000 and daily infections surging to 1.8 million.
The only way to keep the death count below 300,000 this year, according to the IHME, is for everyone — that is, 95 percent of Americans — to immediately start wearing a mask whenever they leave the house. Given that just 45 percent of Americans currently mask up in public, that’s probably not going to happen.
A new COVID-19 forecast predicts more than 400,000 deaths by the end of 2020. Will the fall wave really be that big?
Experts have long feared that colder weather and other factors could create a fall wave of the coronavirus with the potential to dwarf previous peaks — and America’s most prominent COVID-19 modelers are projecting just that. So is it time to freak out about the fall? Maybe not just yet.
- Feb 24, 2009
- 11,540
- 7,443
Only 45% of Americans mask up? It sounds about right but how did they get that number?A new COVID-19 forecast predicts more than 400,000 deaths by the end of 2020. Will the fall wave really be that big?
After a spring that saw America’s coronavirus toll spiking to more than 36,000 cases and 2,700 deaths per day, followed by a summer in which daily cases climbed as high as 75,000 and daily deaths again cleared 1,400, it appears for the moment that the overall trajectory of the U.S. pandemic is headed in the right direction. On average, new daily cases are back down to 36,000. Daily deaths have fallen to about 700.
So is it time to freak out about the fall?
Maybe not just yet.
On Thursday, the team at the University of Washington’s Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) released its latest pandemic forecast. It was not encouraging. In the likeliest scenario, the IHME researchers now predict that an additional 220,000 people will die of COVID-19 by the end of 2020, bringing America’s total death toll to 410,000 and more than doubling the current tally of 190,000, which took the U.S. nine tragic months to reach, in less than half that time.
Estimated daily infections — which include all reported cases plus those undetected by testing, and which the IHME currently pegs around 140,000 — would nearly triple to 373,000 by mid-November. In early December, daily deaths would surpass April highs.
And things could get even worse than that, the institute warns. If, for instance, America continues “the gradual easing of social distancing mandates” and refuses to “re-impose” them even if the pandemic worsens — essentially pursuing the sort of natural “herd immunity” strategy that President Trump’s new coronavirus adviser favors — then the IHME predicts that total U.S. COVID-19 deaths would soar to 620,000 by the end of the year, with daily deaths surpassing 12,000 and daily infections surging to 1.8 million.
The only way to keep the death count below 300,000 this year, according to the IHME, is for everyone — that is, 95 percent of Americans — to immediately start wearing a mask whenever they leave the house. Given that just 45 percent of Americans currently mask up in public, that’s probably not going to happen.
A new COVID-19 forecast predicts more than 400,000 deaths by the end of 2020. Will the fall wave really be that big?
Experts have long feared that colder weather and other factors could create a fall wave of the coronavirus with the potential to dwarf previous peaks — and America’s most prominent COVID-19 modelers are projecting just that. So is it time to freak out about the fall? Maybe not just yet.
I’m hoping fall/winter doesn’t get bad. You would think that with masks and constant hand washing Even the common cold and flu will be subdued this year more than years past
- Mar 30, 2007
- 151,216
- 202,649
swendro
formerly swendro88
- Aug 1, 2005
- 13,016
- 9,399
I just got my unemployment $ from April thru...idk July.
Oh it feels good.
Oh it feels good.
- Mar 27, 2004
- 18,386
- 34,061
This forecast is heavily flawed. There's just way too much uncertainty about how things will look 2-4 months from now. 400k is certainly possible but 250k or so is much more likely.A new COVID-19 forecast predicts more than 400,000 deaths by the end of 2020. Will the fall wave really be that big?
After a spring that saw America’s coronavirus toll spiking to more than 36,000 cases and 2,700 deaths per day, followed by a summer in which daily cases climbed as high as 75,000 and daily deaths again cleared 1,400, it appears for the moment that the overall trajectory of the U.S. pandemic is headed in the right direction. On average, new daily cases are back down to 36,000. Daily deaths have fallen to about 700.
So is it time to freak out about the fall?
Maybe not just yet.
On Thursday, the team at the University of Washington’s Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) released its latest pandemic forecast. It was not encouraging. In the likeliest scenario, the IHME researchers now predict that an additional 220,000 people will die of COVID-19 by the end of 2020, bringing America’s total death toll to 410,000 and more than doubling the current tally of 190,000, which took the U.S. nine tragic months to reach, in less than half that time.
Estimated daily infections — which include all reported cases plus those undetected by testing, and which the IHME currently pegs around 140,000 — would nearly triple to 373,000 by mid-November. In early December, daily deaths would surpass April highs.
And things could get even worse than that, the institute warns. If, for instance, America continues “the gradual easing of social distancing mandates” and refuses to “re-impose” them even if the pandemic worsens — essentially pursuing the sort of natural “herd immunity” strategy that President Trump’s new coronavirus adviser favors — then the IHME predicts that total U.S. COVID-19 deaths would soar to 620,000 by the end of the year, with daily deaths surpassing 12,000 and daily infections surging to 1.8 million.
The only way to keep the death count below 300,000 this year, according to the IHME, is for everyone — that is, 95 percent of Americans — to immediately start wearing a mask whenever they leave the house. Given that just 45 percent of Americans currently mask up in public, that’s probably not going to happen.
A new COVID-19 forecast predicts more than 400,000 deaths by the end of 2020. Will the fall wave really be that big?
Experts have long feared that colder weather and other factors could create a fall wave of the coronavirus with the potential to dwarf previous peaks — and America’s most prominent COVID-19 modelers are projecting just that. So is it time to freak out about the fall? Maybe not just yet.
- Jun 1, 2007
- 9,714
- 3,630
What makes you say 400k is unlikely but 250k is more likely.
- Dec 23, 2003
- 18,412
- 5,848
Two Brooklyn school staffers test positive for COVID-19 one day after teachers, staff return to buildings
Two staffers at Brooklyn public schools tested positive for COVID-19 — just a day after teachers and other school employees reported to school buildings to plan classes, the Daily News has le…
www.nydailynews.com
Coronavirus News: Parishioners at NYC church urged to quarantine after monsignor tests positive
Msgr. John Graham, of St. Francis de Chantel on Hollywood Avenue in the Throggs Neck section, hosted Masses last week and has tested positive for the novel coronavirus.
- May 29, 2016
- 7,131
- 7,261
Why the F would you end this minimum safety precaution?
Temperature checks for some air passengers will end next week
The federal government is changing the way it screens travelers from China and certain other countries. Beginning next week, the government plans to end the current system of temperature checks and…
www.8newsnow.com
- Mar 27, 2004
- 18,386
- 34,061
We're going to get ~750 deaths/day for the next month, so about 20k per month.
Even with the surge in the summer, we only really got up to 1000/day at the peak. But cases are trending down in most places, so deaths will probably stay in the 500-750/day range for a while.
There's a lot of uncertainty about a couple things. First is the impact of immunity on spread. Some models say that, once the first 15-20% get covid and become immune, it becomes much harder for it to spread rapidly in the community. But this is just theory for now. Second is the impact of cold weather and an overlapping flu season. It's possible we get a lot more transmission because of that and a lot more mortality because of the flu. Third is whether people will keep up compliance with masks and social distancing. People are getting fatigued by this, but also people have gotten in the habit of wearing masks. So each of these factors could swing the deaths in either direction, either down below 500/day or back in the 1000+ range. The IHME model assumes the worst in all 3 (spread isn't slowed, cold weather leads to more cases, and people stop wearing masks). So 400k could happen, but it's unlikely. Also, new treatments will continue to blunt the impact of covid.
- Mar 27, 2004
- 18,386
- 34,061
It's a very low-yield screening tool. What we need is rapid saliva tests. The technology is there. I think it just needs approval.Why the F would you end this minimum safety precaution?
Temperature checks for some air passengers will end next week
The federal government is changing the way it screens travelers from China and certain other countries. Beginning next week, the government plans to end the current system of temperature checks and…www.8newsnow.com
- May 29, 2016
- 7,131
- 7,261
But if they say temp of 100.4 is a common symptom, using a temp gun when you talk to immigration guard isn’t much time. Or using those thermal screen screens. People get tagged for further questioning for less.
- Apr 30, 2010
- 69,667
- 106,299
I've seen the temp check catch a few folks who may have lied. So it may be low yield, but it's also low effort so it's worth keeping.
- Jul 22, 2012
- 37,344
- 32,213
Someone needs to get knocked the F out.
you can really and truly feel the entitled indignance in this note...it´s leaking from every letter.
this is a person who has not been told ¨no¨ since being an actual toddler.
big BIG B I G M A D
it´s ****ing delicious.
- Jul 22, 2015
- 3,043
- 7,177
This person seems upset, but I am not a clinical psychologist.
you can really and truly feel the entitled indignance in this note...it´s leaking from every letter.
this is a person who has not been told ¨no¨ since being an actual toddler.
big BIG B I G M A D
it´s ****ing delicious.
- Jul 1, 2016
- 5,891
- 12,009
probably at first, but just look at the prize they won for their skillful gameplay!
American Airlines bans passenger over note to flight attendant
The incident took place on September 3 and was purportedly sparked by a dispute over American Airline's policy requiring all passengers to wear face masks to prevent the spread of COVID-19.
I TOLD YOU this **** was ******* delicious!
- Mar 27, 2004
- 18,386
- 34,061
I agree with both of you. It is low cost and low effort. It's just that it's not foolproof, but that doesn't mean we shouldn't use it.
- Feb 16, 2011
- 8,393
- 8,124
The stay at homes have been a ******* joke. It’s embarrassing
I read today hawaii is currently the only state that has not let some retail business reopen.
- Mar 27, 2004
- 18,386
- 34,061
- Mar 27, 2004
- 18,386
- 34,061
Good thread about Sweden. They have not achieved herd immunity. They have actually pursued many of the same restrictions that we have in place. They didn't lockdown like we did initially, but they haven't been fully open either.
- Aug 5, 2007
- 16,549
- 21,147
some of the closures have been idiotic. the orders have been stupid. a parent and their kids can’t sit on the beach but some loser with no friends can?
- Aug 21, 2010
- 11,201
- 17,280
Reading that another vaccine trial may have lead to neurological symptoms in the test subject. They will conduct testing to see if the condition is a result of the vaccine.
