The "other guy" in the
Jose Quintana trade, along with top-five-overall prospect Eloy Jimenez, Cease took a huge step forward as a pitcher in 2018, reaching 100 innings for the first time in a pro season, showing his best curveball since high school and generally looking looser and easier on the mound than he had in years. Cease is a three-pitch right-hander who hit 102 mph in short stints in the Cubs' system as he came back from Tommy John surgery.
He has hit the upper 90s as a starter for the White Sox, but now he complements his speed with a tight, hard-breaking mid-80s curveball and a changeup that has become a legitimate third weapon and allowed him to fare slightly better against left-handed batters than righties last year. He also just looked better last year, less restricted or timid when throwing, which is probably tied to the better curveball, and he overpowered hitters at two levels. He still has work to do on his command and control, and one year of 100-plus innings doesn't quite equal "durable," but all indicators are pointing up, and he has No. 1 starter stuff if he can hold up in that role.
Touki Toussaint, RHP, Atlanta Braves
Age: 23 (6/20/96)
Bats: R | Throws: R
6-foot-3 | 185 pounds
Top level: MLB | 2018 rank: 90
Touki made the biggest leap of anyone in the Atlanta system last year, coming off a 2017 season in which he showed stuff and promise and still posted a 5-plus ERA in High-A. Atlanta's player development staff did a wonderful job with him in 2018, getting him more on line and helping him repeat his delivery with more consistent tempo. He also learned to slow himself down on the mound and pitch more like a starter who needs to pace himself. He'll work with three pitches that can all show plus: a fastball that averaged 93 in the majors, a hammer curveball and a power changeup with split-like action. His control is probably 45 now and his command 40, but that's progress from where he was a year or two earlier, and he's still developing.
He won't turn 23 until June, his arm is loose and quick, and he's a tremendous athlete, all of the elements you'd want to see if you were going to project a pitcher to throw more or better strikes. Even as is, Toussaint is going to miss a lot of bats and pitch near the back of a rotation, but each step forward in command moves him closer to the top end, where his ceiling rests.
27. Keibert Ruiz, C, Los Angeles Dodgers
Age: 20 (7/20/9
Bats: S | Throws: R
6 feet | 200 pounds
Top level: Double-A | 2018 rank: 97
The Dodgers are such strong believers in Ruiz's potential that they jumped him to Double-A last year after only 38 games at High-A, even though he was just 19, making him the Texas League's second-youngest regular last year behind only Fernando Tatis Jr. Ruiz more than held his own, hitting .268/.328/.401 with an impressive strikeout rate of just 8 percent, down more than a third from 2017 even with the promotion.
Ruiz is a switch-hitter, with a left-handed swing that's ready now, while his right-handed swing, the less important side, needs some refinement. He has plus raw power that he has just begun to access in games. His catching continues to improve, and he's a solid to above-average pitch framer, though he'll probably never be more than average as a receiver or thrower. He won't need to be an above-average regular, given his feel to hit, emerging power and the position he plays. Even just plain-old average defense back there should make him a top-three catcher in his league.
28. Brendan Rodgers, SS, Colorado Rockies
Age: 22 (8/9/96)
Bats: R | Throws: R
6 feet | 180 pounds
Top level: Triple-A | 2018 rank: 29
Rodgers was the third overall pick in 2015 behind
Dansby Swanson and
Alex Bregman, and so far, he has delivered on the promise of his bat, hitting for high contact rates everywhere he has played and always showing good power for a middle infielder. He has been held back by minor injuries every year, never playing 120 games in a season.
There's still some question as to whether he stays at shortstop; his hands and arm are both plus, but he's a below-average runner, and his first step might not be quick enough for the position, though he could be plus defensively at second or third. He can hit, though, and should hit for average and power, even without considering the boost he might get in Denver -- someone who should hit in the .290-.310 range with 25 homers a year, not walking as much as you'd like but producing enough for any position to make him an above-average regular for a long time.
29. Francisco Mejia, C, San Diego Padres
Age: 23 (10/27/1995)
Bats: S | Throws: R
5-foot-10 | 180 pounds
Top level: MLB | 2018 rank: 7
Mejia's bat would profile at any position, but the possibility of his being a catcher long-term is what makes him a potential star. He has more power than most people realize, seeing as he has never hit 20 homers in a season. His 2018 total of 17 between Triple-A and the majors is his career high, but he was also just 22. His hands are lightning-quick, and he's a true switch-hitter, better the past two years from the right side but more than capable from the left, with strong bat control on both sides.
Behind the plate, he's a work in progress but still more likely than not to end up a catcher. He has at least a grade-70 arm, and he's a good enough athlete to get to fringe-average, with a work ethic that Cleveland had long praised. His hands are fine, not great -- certainly not
Austin Hedges' hands -- but good enough that I think he'll get close to average as a receiver and somewhere just below that as a framer. Even if he's a 45-grade defender overall, with his potential to hit .300-plus with some walks and 25-30 homers a year, he'd be a superstar.
30. Ian Anderson, RHP, Atlanta Braves
Age: 21 (5/2/9
Bats: R | Throws: R
6-foot-3 | 170 pounds
Top level: Double-A | 2018 rank: 48
Atlanta's system is loaded with arms just in Double- and Triple-A, but Anderson has the highest upside of any of them when you consider the body, delivery, stuff and potential command and control. Anderson has always had a good arm, but 2018 was the year he became a more complete pitcher, throwing more and better strikes (cutting his walk rate from 12.1 to 9.9 percent despite two promotions), going from a barely there changeup in 2016 to an occasionally plus change last year and staying healthy for 24 starts.
Anderson has had a plus fastball since high school, routinely working at 93-97 mph now, and his curveball will still show plus, though he had days last year when his changeup was his best secondary pitch. He has a great pitcher's body and uses his 6-foot-3 frame well for huge extension toward the plate, so his stuff plays up as hitters get so little time to react to it. He still needs to keep improving his command, which is about a 45-grade right now, but the rest of the ingredients are there for a No. 2 or better starter.
31. Jesus Luzardo, LHP, Oakland Athletics
Age: 21 (9/30/97)
Bats: L | Throws: L
6-foot-1 | 205 pounds
Top level: Triple-A | 2018 rank: Unranked
Oakland picked up Luzardo in the mid-2017 trade that sent relievers
Sean Doolittle and Ryan Madson to the Nationals, and the move has worked out better than they could have hoped, with Luzardo pitching so well in his first full pro season in 2018 that he finished the year in Triple-A. Luzardo will pitch with a grade-60 fastball and 70 changeup and has superb command of both, considering his youth and his inexperience -- he turned 21 in September and has just 152 pro innings since he underwent Tommy John surgery right before he was drafted.
His breaking ball is inconsistent and slurvy at 82-83 mph, but he'll show some average ones, and he gets a little extra deception against lefties from the slight cross-body action in his delivery. He's advanced enough to pitch in a big league rotation later this year, with No. 2 starter ceiling that's limited just by health and the quality of his breaking ball.
32. Jazz Chisholm, SS, Arizona Diamondbacks
Age: 21 (2/1/9
Bats: L | Throws: R
5-foot-11 | 165 pounds
Top level: High-A | 2018 rank: Unranked
Chisholm is going to do for baseball in the Bahamas what Andruw Jones did for baseball in Curaçao and Aruba. He's utterly electric on both sides of the ball and plays with enthusiasm and energy that will make him a huge fan favorite -- and, by the way, he doesn't do anything average, with plus tools across the board, including bat speed, power and running speed. He's a dynamic player, with skills to affect the game in the box, on the bases and at shortstop.
Although Chisholm will strike out some, between his aggressive approach and a swing that can get big, his hand-eye coordination is strong, and he's still learning some aspects of pitch selection and recognition, with less than 900 pro plate appearances under his belt in three years. He's still very projectable physically and likely to end up with plus or double-plus raw power. But he is quick and agile enough to be an above-average shortstop even as he grows, and his ability to stay at the position will be more a function of footwork and timing, things he can learn with repetitions.
You can dream on a 25-homer, 25-steal hitter here with a high batting average and above-average defense at shortstop, which would make him an All-Star and one of the best middle infielders in the league.
33. A.J. Puk, LHP, Oakland Athletics
Age: 24 (4/25/95)
Bats: L | Throws: L
6-foot-7 | 220 pounds
Top level: DL | 2018 rank: 13
Puk was primed for a huge year in 2018, coming off a successful 2017 in every regard and looking better than ever in the Cactus League, but then his elbow screamed and he ended up missing the year with Tommy John surgery.
When healthy, Puk works with a plus fastball and plus curveball, both aided by his 6-foot-7 frame and a delivery that gets some added deception, especially on the fastball, along with a much-improved changeup that was no worse than average in 2017 and was often better than that. He isn't a great athlete, but he has size and a delivery he repeats well, which was a major reason his command and control took huge leaps in 2017. Look for him to return to competitive pitching this summer, and it isn't out of the question that if he has no setbacks and the A's are competing, he could help the club in a limited role in September.
34. Justus Sheffield, LHP, Seattle Mariners
Age: 23 (5/13/1996)
Bats: L | Throws: L
6 feet | 200 pounds
Top level: MLB | 2018 rank: 16
Traded from the Yankees to the Mariners in the
James Paxton deal, Sheffield should go directly into Seattle's rotation and has No. 2 starter upside that depends almost entirely on the development of his command. He has stuff, up to 97 mph velocity while sitting at 93-94 mph from the left side, which he complements with a slider and changeup that will both show plus and a curveball that probably needs to hit the dustbin given his other weapons. He's extremely athletic, and his arm action is easy, with great arm acceleration.
His command and control are both still below average, with grades of 40 and 45, respectively. His ability to go through a lineup a third time depends entirely on improving in that area, both to manage his pitch counts so he isn't at 102 pitches in the fifth inning and to get the swing-and-misses he should be getting with this kind of stuff. He turns 23 in May, so there's time, but the challenge is before him and his new organization to convert this package into a frontline starter.
35. Sixto Sanchez, RHP, Philadelphia Phillies
Age: 20 (7/29/199
Bats: R | Throws: R
5-foot-10 | 185 pounds
Top level: High-A | 2018 rank: 23
Sanchez throws what might be the easiest 100 mph fastball in pro baseball, and he does so from a small, 5-foot-10 frame (despite being officially listed at 6 feet) that makes it hard to believe you saw what you just saw when he does it. He throws it for strikes at will and has had success primarily off that pitch. While his secondary stuff has lagged, the Phillies have worked with him on a new grip and release for his slider that have the pitch up to 91 mph with tighter, sharper break than before, a pitch that could be a difference-maker for him.
Sanchez was shut down in June with elbow inflammation and never returned; he was at instructional league and was scheduled to go to the Arizona Fall League but suffered a setback and was shut down for the rest of the year. His size, or lack thereof, has always been a concern for his future as a starter. If he stays in the rotation, he's a potential ace, with a high floor as a huge K-rate reliever in high-leverage work.
36. Matt Liberatore, LHP, Tampa Bay Rays
Age: 19 (11/6/99)
Bats: L | Throws: L
6-foot-5 | 200 pounds
Top level: Rookie | 2018 rank: Ineligible
After Casey Mize, Liberatore was the top draft prospect on my board to sign with an MLB team this year, but he slipped to the 16th overall pick for what I can describe only as silly draft reasons -- there was no good baseball reason for it, and the Rays couldn't believe their good fortune when he was still there at their pick. Liberatore is, to borrow a scouting term, boring good -- he does so much so well, without any clearly plus-plus tool or pitch, that it's a little easy to overlook him. A tall, lanky lefty who throws up to 97 mph but whose fastball sits more in the 90-94 range, Liberatore also throws a curve, change and slider, with the curve his best secondary pitch, and he works to both sides of the plate with his fastball.
Liberatore is athletic -- he had one of the better pickoff moves I saw last spring. He repeats his delivery well from the windup, though when I saw him in March he was rushing to the plate from the stretch, a relatively easy thing to correct in pro ball. He has shown plus velocity, and if he gets there, he might be an ace, but the present stuff, projected above-average command and general athleticism all point to a ceiling as a No. 2-3 starter even without it.
37. Alex Verdugo, OF, Los Angeles Dodgers
Age: 23 (5/15/96)
Bats: L | Throws: L
6 feet | 205 pounds
Top level: MLB | 2018 rank: 36
Verdugo is ready to be some team's everyday right fielder after two very good years as a young regular in Triple-A, where he posted one of the 10 lowest strikeout rates in the PCL each season. Verdugo is tooled up, with an 80-grade throwing arm, above-average speed and defense, and above-average to plus raw power that hasn't really played in games yet. His approach is contact-oriented, but in BP he will grip and rip, showing big pull power that, given his eye at the plate, he should be able to bring to game at-bats often enough for 20-25 homers a year.
The elite contact skill is rare in MLB today; only nine big leaguers struck out less than 12 percent of the time in 2018. Verdugo was at 11 percent in his two Triple-A seasons. If he converts that skill and his raw strength -- he's maxed out physically, so there's no projection here -- into game power, he's going to make some All-Star teams. If not, he's still a solid everyday player with his defense and his ability to hit for average and get on base at a .360-plus clip.
38. Jarred Kelenic, CF, Seattle Mariners
Age: 19 (7/16/99)
Bats: L | Throws: L
6-foot-1 | 196 pounds
Top level: Rookie | 2018 rank: Ineligible
Kelenic became the highest-drafted player to be traded in his draft year since MLB changed its rules on trading recently drafted guys, and Kelenic went from the sixth overall pick by the Mets to a deal with the Mariners for
Edwin Diazand the bad half of
Robinson Cano's contract. Kelenic was the best prep position player in the draft, both in my view and in the industry consensus. He really was limited only by geography: He's from Wisconsin, so his spring season was short (he didn't play for his high school, playing with a local travel team so he could get in more games for scouts), and his competition wasn't great.
Watch on ESPN+
He's a tool shed, though, with 70-grade raw power, a 70 arm, plus speed (at least now), above-average range in center and the potential at least for a plus hit tool. He's extremely well put-together, without a ton of projection left, though he still looks like he just started shaving. He destroyed GCL pitching and had a strong finish in the Appalachian League after a slow start there, earning raves from pro scouts at both stops. His future comes down to how much he hits, because his secondary skills are strong enough to make him a superstar if the hit tool plays out on the field.
39. Nolan Gorman, 3B, St. Louis Cardinals
Age: 19 (5/10/00)
Bats: L | Throws: R
6-foot-1 | 210 pounds
Top level: A-ball | 2018 rank: Ineligible
Gorman had some draftitis in the spring, trying to do way too much to impress scouts when he already had grade-80 power that was unmatched in the draft class. Freed from pre-draft pressure, he performed beyond all expectations last summer, skipping the Gulf Coast League, hitting .350/.443/.664 in the Appy League and finishing with Low-A Peoria at age 18, where of course he struggled. It speaks to how advanced he looked in short-season ball and how confident the Cardinals are in his bat and his makeup that they challenged him like that.
While he struck out too often for Peoria, that's likely going to be his game: a lot of strikeouts, some walks and prodigious power, the 30-40 homer a year kind of power that changes games and will sit him right in the middle of a lineup. He's best suited to third base, at least for now, needing work on the fundamental aspects of playing the position, but he has enough raw ability to end up average there with some effort. His future is really about the power, though. If he hits enough to get to that power, and I think he will, he's going to fight for home run titles for a long time.
40. Jon Duplantier, RHP, Arizona Diamondbacks
Age: 24 (7/11/94)
Bats: L | Throws: R
6-foot-4 | 225 pounds
Top level: Double-A | 2018 rank: 64
Duplantier missed the first half of 2018 with a sore hamstring and biceps tendinitis, a bit worrisome since a shoulder problem caused him to miss his sophomore season at Rice (where arm injuries have been as routine as midterms) in 2015. When he came back, he was as good as he has ever been, including a full stint in the Arizona Fall League, where he was throwing 92-96 mph complemented with two above-average breaking balls that can run into each other and showing good feel for a changeup.
Duplantier looks the part, with an athletic frame and fast arm, and he has an idea of what he's doing, working well to both sides of the plate, though it's still with below-average command. His delivery isn't perfect, with some stiffness out front when he lands, and three arm issues in the past four calendar years is worrisome. He has at least No. 2 starter upside if he can stay healthy for a full season, as he did in 2017.
41. Gavin Lux, SS, Los Angeles Dodgers
Age: 21 (11/23/97)
Bats: L | Throws: R
6-foot-2 | 190 pounds
Top level: Double-A | 2018 rank: Unranked
The question on Lux when the Dodgers took him in the first round in 2016 out of a Wisconsin high school was whether he'd develop the strength to make enough quality contact. He could play shortstop, had good instincts, showed a mature approach and all that fun stuff, but he clearly needed to get stronger. He has answered that question in resounding fashion, and the Dodgers have praised him for putting in the work required to get to this point, with a composite .324/.399/.514 line as a 20-year-old in a season split between High-A and Double-A and with one of the 10 lowest strikeout rates of any regular in the High-A California League.
Lux's swing was never an issue, and he even had some loft for future power, so when the strength came last season, he started to hit for average and put some balls in the seats all at once -- and he remains an above-average defender at short with great hands and instincts. I've heard that the Dodgers declined to include him in trade talks last summer, and it's easy to see why, since he looks like a no-doubt regular at short who'll be at least above average for a long time.
42. Alex Reyes, RHP, St. Louis Cardinals
Age: 24 (8/29/94)
Bats: R | Throws: R
6-foot-3 | 175 pounds
Top level: MLB | 2018 rank: 27
Who knows? Reyes made his pro debut in 2013 and now has a career total of 407⅓ innings across six seasons, with just 89 innings in the past three years and no single-season total above 110. He missed all of 2017 after Tommy John surgery, then tore a lat muscle in his first major league appearance in 2018, ending that season too. Reyes will pitch with a grade-80 fastball, thrown up to 101 mph with life, a plus or better changeup and a power curveball that could be plus if he finished it better out front. His delivery has always concerned me, as he has a short stride and abrupt finish that is part of why the breaking ball doesn't always get the depth it should. I know scouts who still argue his curve is plus and that he's a future No. 1 starter even with his history of injuries -- elbow, lat and shoulder back in 2015.
They might be right, given the arsenal and arm strength, but between the injuries and the below-average command he has shown when healthy, I see a lot of reliever risk here, albeit a high-end reliever who'd likely post a huge strikeout rate. That's the difficulty of projecting Reyes to handle a starter's workload when he has pitched so little in the past three years.
43. Nolan Jones, 3B, Cleveland Indians
Age: 21 (5/7/9
Bats: L | Throws: R
6-foot-4 | 185 pounds
Top level: High-A | 2018 rank: 80
Jones was a first-round talent in the 2016 draft, No. 11 on my board that year, but he slipped into the second round on signability concerns. Cleveland, who took Will Benson in the first round, drafted Jones and paid him $2.25 million to sign. Benson has flopped, but Jones has emerged as the team's top position-player prospect on the heels of a huge year split between Low- and High-A in which he showed a broad, balanced mix of tools and skills at the plate. He drew 89 walks last year, sixth-most in the minors, behind five players older than he was, only one of whom might be considered a prospect at this point.
Jones is tall, and his swing can get big, but he has strong hands and can keep them inside the ball to go the other way, so while I expect some swing-and-miss, I don't expect
Joey Gallo-level strikeout rates, and he is already showing plus power that should end up at least at a 70 grade. The debate on Jones is his ultimate position; he's athletic enough for third base but very big for his age, and there's a real chance that he has to move off the dirt to right field, where his plus-plus arm would be an asset. There's a lot here that reminds me of
Kris Bryant around the same age -- similar swings, similar size and athleticism, though Jones bulked up younger than Bryant did. I think even in right field, he'll be a high-OBP/30-homer guy, with his ceiling really defined by how well he controls his swing-and-miss as he moves up to Double-A.
44. Chris Paddack, RHP, San Diego Padres
Age: 23 (1/8/96)
Bats: R | Throws: R
6-foot-4 | 195 pounds
Top level: Double-A | 2018 rank: Unranked
The Padres picked up Paddack in the
Fernando Rodney deal in 2016, only to have him blow out his elbow in his third start after the trade and miss all of 2017 while he recovered. He came back in 2018 as good as ever, and had the Padres been contending in 2018, he almost certainly would have seen the majors in September. Paddack works with a 60-grade fastball and 70 changeup and has plus command of both pitches, truly exceptional for a 22-year-old without much pitching experience -- he has thrown just 177⅔ pro innings in his career. He'll work both of those pitches to both sides of the plate and especially likes using the changeup in to right-handed hitters, a pitch those batters rarely see.
Paddack's limitation is his breaking ball, which he throws in the mid-70s, average if you like it, a grade 45 pitch if you don't. The argument that he'll barely need it with two other plus pitches seems valid to me, especially since his fastball plays up, thanks to huge extension out front in his delivery. He's an easy midrotation starter who could be a top-20 starter in the game if he holds up physically and that curveball ends up at least a solid-average weapon for him.
45. Cristian Pache, CF, Atlanta Braves
Age: 20 (11/19/9
Bats: R | Throws: R
6-foot-2 | 185 pounds
Top level: Double-A | 2018 rank: 57
Pache has a high floor because he's the best defensive center-field prospect in the minors; he might be an 80-grade defender right now and looks like he'll end up at that level either way, with reads and routes that earn constant comparisons to Andruw Jones, who has become the gold standard comparison for defense in center. I said last year that I believe Pache would come into power, despite his grand total of zero pro home runs through 2017, and he came through with nine homers in 122 games between High-A and Double-A at age 19.
The only question you'll hear on Pache is about his ability to control the strike zone. He's a swing early and often kind of guy, drawing just 18 unintentional walks in the regular season but also striking out only 97 times, even though he was the Florida State League's youngest regular, so it's a question of approach and swing decisions, not of being overmatched by stuff. He'll probably never be a high-OBP guy, but he's making so much contact at such a young age and does everything else so well that I think there's All-Star upside, 20-25 homers per year with a high batting average and 15-20 runs saved per year on defense.
46. Adrian Morejon, LHP, San Diego Padres
Age: 20 (2/27/99)
Bats: L | Throws: L
6 feet | 175 pounds
Top level: High-A | 2018 rank: 72
The Padres gave Morejon an $11 million signing bonus in 2016, part of their huge spending spree on the international market that year, and when he has taken the mound, he has more than justified their expenditure on him. Morejon's stuff made a huge jump across the board last year, as he averaged more than 94 mph and showed huge spin rates on his fastball and curveball, along with the plus changeup he'd already shown prior to 2018.
Just Missed |
Top 100:100-51 |
50-1 | Impact 20 (Fri. Feb. 1)
•
Team rankings: Top farm systems (Mon. Feb. 4) | Division-by-division (Tues. Feb 5-Sun. Feb. 10)
He has had trouble staying healthy, with just 27 starts and 128⅓ innings in two years, including two DL stints in 2018 with a triceps injury ending his season in mid-August. He has looked impressive whenever he has pitched, and there's still some upside remaining, but the key for him in 2019 will be making 20-plus starts and showing that he can hold up without more arm trouble under a starter's workload.
47. Travis Swaggerty, CF, Pittsburgh Pirates
Age: 21 (8/19/97)
Bats: L | Throws: L
5-foot-11 | 180 pounds
Top level: A-ball | 2018 rank: Ineligible
Swaggerty had a down year for South Alabama before last year's draft, pressing to try to improve his draft stock by hitting for power that he doesn't necessarily have. But he played more like his previous self in pro ball, focusing on contact rather than power and letting his other tools, including his plus speed, come into play. Swaggerty should be more of a classic leadoff type than a middle-of-the-order bat, with contact and OBP skills as well as the ability to steal 30 bases, along with good to great defense in center boosted by a plus arm.
I had one scout tell me he put an 80 on Swaggerty's arm strength in pro ball. His contact rate will tell the tale: When he tried to pull the ball too much at South Alabama, facing some very weak competition, his strikeout rate soared, but a more balanced, line-drive approach should keep the K's down and his OBP up to make him an above-average regular.
48. Corbin Martin, RHP, Houston Astros
Age: 23 (12/28/95)
Bats: R | Throws: R
6-foot-2 | 200 pounds
Top level: Double-A | 2018 rank: Unranked
Martin was jerked around in his draft year at Texas A&M after coming into the spring with some first-round buzz and ended up falling well into the second round, where the Astros signed him for $1 million. He looks like he should have been a first-rounder now that his velocity is sitting at 93-94 mph as a starter, touching 97, among four average or better pitches including a slider that flashes plus, a power low-80s curveball and a hard but effective changeup.
High-A hitters barely touched him -- he threw 19 innings, facing 70 hitters, and allowed just four hits -- and he was effective the rest of the summer in Double-A, even though he was just a year out of college. He's big with broad shoulders, built like a midrotation starter, and the velocity looks easy coming out of his hand. If there's a knock on him, it's that he threw too many strikes last year and could try to use his off-speed stuff for more swinging strikes out of the zone. From college reliever to a prospect with a No. 4 starter floor and No. 2 starter upside in 18 months is a heck of a transition.
49. Dustin May, RHP, Los Angeles Dodgers
Age: 21 (9/6/97)
Bats: R | Throws: R
6-foot-6 | 180 pounds
Top level: Double-A | 2018 rank: Unranked
May would already have been a top-100 prospect with his sinker and curveball, but he has added a third weapon in a cutter that has boosted his ceiling even higher. May is very athletic with a great arm that has him running his 93-94 mph sinker up to 97 and has power to the curveball, with the sinker getting ground balls and the curveball missing bats. That new cutter at 90-91 has been unhittable when he has used it, though he has just started incorporating the pitch since midseason and doesn't use it as much as the other two weapons. He doesn't have much of a changeup, but the cutter might be an alternative to improving that, and lefties haven't done that much better against him than right-handed batters.
He also hardly walks anybody, just 4.2 percent of batters in High-A last year and just 7.0 percent as a pro to date, though his command is at least half a grade behind right now. His delivery isn't that pretty, but he has been healthy as a pro and appears to have the three weapons to be at least a No. 2 starter, with a ceiling beyond that as we see how he uses the cutter and as his command evolves.
50. Luis Patino, RHP, San Diego Padres
Age: 19 (10/26/99)
Bats: R | Throws: R
6 feet | 192 pounds
Top level: A-ball | 2018 rank: Unranked
Patino has some of the most electric stuff of any prospect in the minors, and that's not just my word -- every time I asked any scout or exec about him, "electric" showed up in the descriptions. Patino is a 6-foot right-hander with a huge stride and exceptional extension out front, so he's bumping the high 90s with life up in the zone, dominating hitters with that pitch. He'll show two breaking balls that blend together, but he's probably going to settle on one, his high-spin-rate slider, and he still needs to develop a workable changeup because left-handed hitters ate him alive last year (.345/.421/.457, compared with .140/.197/.173 against right-handed batters).
He's small but athletic and repeats his delivery well. If you're going on pure upside, he's in the top 25 or so with the Hunter Greenes and Sixto Sanchezes of the prospect world, but there's real reliever risk here -- one scout who liked Patino said the whole package "screams reliever" -- between the size and need for a third pitch, which keeps him toward the middle of the rankings.